70.3 Geelong - Predictions and race day

Thanks. Interesting facts out of the results:

  • Top 5 (top 6 if you include Aaron Royle, but he made the move a couple of years ago now) are directly coming from ITU.
  • Jimmy Whelan won the ex-pro cyclists battle in the end, finishing just in front of Cam Wurf and Benny Hill (Will Clarke too?).
  • Josh Ferris paid for staying with the front bunch on the bike with a sub-par run. But lots of promise considering his young age and overall talent.
  • Of the other short course regulars, beyond the top 5 obviously, both Brandon Copeland and Jumpei Furuya showed what used to be ex-ITUers weakness on the bike in long course (and struggling to run off of it too). Not sure about the Japanese athlete, but Copeland is still very much short course focused (just won Oceania champs in Devonport).
  • Same (and not surprising really) from Charlotte McShane on the women side. Except she then ran fast, but lost so much time on the bike.
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There was no ex-cyclist battle; Wurf rode a 62/19 for the entire ride due to a mechanical

how do you have a $30000 bike or $60000 or whatever it was and you get a mechanical? That is part of the battle I guess…

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And access to supposedly good bike mechanics…

Thorsten’s analysis ftw:
https://www.trirating.com/70-3-geelong-2025-analyzing-results/

Dont know…but i had my Di2 Dura Ace go from 100% to flat overnight a few weeks back for no apparent reason. I suppose these things happen…

Great article over here by @Ironmandad : IRONMAN Pro Series Kicks off in Geelong with Internet Outage Derailing Live Coverage - Slowtwitch News

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Jelle Geens and Aaron Royle put out a nice post race podcast in which they emphasized what a huge advantage the 12 meter draft distance was for them. Riding sub 2 hours on less than 300 watts and being bored while sitting in makes of a swim, runner’s race.

The Daily Tri take:

NEVER happens to me, but I’m on 105 mechanical hahahaha

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They did not say they had an advantage, they agreed the results wouldn’t change (Geens T100 win over MvR supports that with results) but definitely agreed that it is too easy for a pro race and the distance should change to 20 m to avoid 45 kph averages on ~280 W which is obviously easy for them.

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You’re entirely correct. I did a poor job expressing myself as to what Jelle and Aaron meant to convey.