The TdF Uphill TT is on 18 July. Coming into the stage the riders raced on Hautecam where Tadej put 2:10 on Jonas and 3:35 on Remco. But this was almost 1000m of climbing in 13.5km
Here were historical times:
Hautacam fastest times
Year
Winner
Time
1994
Luc Leblanc
35:20
1996
Bjarne Riis
34:40
2000
Lance Armstrong
36:19
2008
Leonardo Piepoli, Juan Jose Cobo
37:28
2014
Vincenzo Nibali
37:21
2022
Jonas Vingegaard
36:34
2025
Tadej Pogačar
35:08
This is Lance catching Basso his 2 minute man in the Alpe d’Huez uphill TT but that was on 13.5 km at 8% so roughly the same stats as Hautecam
Today it was 2 minutes over 13ish Km, so I don’t think Tadej will close the 2 minutes tomorrow on Jonas, but it’s going to be a good carrot to have. I say he will close 1:20-1:30 at the top.
I bet jonas is on a tt bike, and tadej is probably on a v5rs with aero extensions. I bet they’re both ~7.1kg or so. Don’t discredit how fast these guys go uphill, and there’s some flat road to start. The extra weight has a minimal impaft.
I think Jonas wins tomorrow and some inflammation or whatever else from Pogi’s crash the other day leads to a bad day for him (and he finishes 2nd). It won’t be much time in Jonas’ favor, but we’ll all get some hope that maybe the rest of the TdF will be competitive (which it won’t be).
I was wondering if Pog gave it a go 1 day after crash to avoid the 2 day after crash effect on the TT day and build a buffer. Jonas looked spent finishing on Hautecam and was around 40 seconds slower than 2022 Jonas. Also if Jonas is on the TT bike is he going with a 1x or 2x with tighter gear spacings (by the way was he on 1x or 2x on Hautecam.
I also wonder if any sprinters are in jeopardy of the time cut today? I assume not, but you never know. I can’t recall sprinters missing time cuts on previous uphill TTs. The grupetto always looks pathetic on uphill stages, but then you look at their times and compare to amateur times and they are leagues ahead.
Roglic is the current leader, his average speed was 16.7 mph. Surprised that he used a TT bike, I thought if overall speeds are that slow it would make more sense to be on a road bike. Not sure if they allow clipons?