The SCt ruling probably is not much affected by which state(s) the appeal comes from. Presumably his Constitutional eligibility is the same in all states. There are some potential details in terms of the factual record being developed in CO vs another state, but I would guess that the SCt won’t tie its ruling to such details and will look for a more fundamental ground on which to base its opinion.
Which begs the question: If SCt rules in favor of the state and disqualifies Trump from that ballet, does it automatically take him off all state ballets, since it is a constitutional eligibility finding?
If that is the case, then why would the Trump campaign take that chance? It would seem to allow a few states to disqualify him and then be completely eliminated from the race.
I suppose the SCt has some discretion in how it frames its eventual ruling. But, I doubt the Court would want a situation where he is eligible in some states and not others. That would invite (even more) chaos. Would a Desantis-friendly SOS in FL kick Trump off the primary ballot there? So, the SCt likely would order that no state can keep him off the ballot for 14A reasons — or he is ineligible everywhere. While Bush v Gore may have been a dubious ruling, it showed an understandable appreciation for the practical needs to have a manageable election process.
If Trump loses in the CO SCt it’s hard to imagine him not appealing to a friendly SCt. Leaving such a ruling unchallenged poses two big risks for him: 1) that other blue states will kick him off the primary ballot, and 2) if he gets nominated many states will kick him off the general election ballot. There is risk that an appeal could convert a loss in CO and some other states into a nationwide loss. Given the composition of the SCt, that is probably a risk worth taking.
The challenge with this, in my mind, is that there is no clear remedy at the Federal level to prevent someone in this position from taking office if elected. If we assume that Mr. Trump is guilty of the disqualifying offense laid out in the Constitution, who is going to stop him from taking office? Is the Chief Justice going to decide on his own not to swear him into office? Is Pres Biden going to decide not to vacate the White House? Is the DoJ, or DoD, or some other arm of the Executive Branch going to stop it from happening?
It seems like the only place this can happen is at the State level, since we still give the States the authority to run their elections and determine who they are going to give their electoral votes to. So if SCOTUS or some other court takes away the States’ rights to determine who can be disqualified from their ballots, what enforcement mechanism does that leave us with for the 14th Amendment?
Did you read the judges ruling on Trumps teams reasons for throwing this out.
That is basically what she laid out. The constitution does not make it clear who or when a candidate is deemed not eligible, Therefore it falls to the courts to decide, because its not a given task to congress. I lost the link to here responses but there was lots of qoutes and citings, but thats the short answer.
Which then to me begs the question, based on what limited knowledge i have (which is very limited here)but what I believe to be true.
- Constitution gives the states the rights to run their own election’s and process.
- In the end the state sends a slate of electors to vote on the POTUS, congress simply certifies those results.
So does the Federal Courts have any authority to tell the states how to run their elections?
But its an interpretation of the constitution so isn’t that SCOTUS job?
Which in the end, is why I find this idea and these cases fascinating is you are getting into a lot of nuances of our election process and who has what responsibility. We the people don’t vote for the President, (not directly) you state electors do. So if a state wants to rule someone inelligable isn’t that the right of the state? Typing and thinking at the same time… could a state does a state have the right to restrict a presidential candidate (lets say a state put an age restriction of have to be under 70 to be a candidate in our state) Do they have the Constitutional right to do that? I don’t know. I know feds have power over between state commerce and a few other things. I don’t know about this. Clearly States have the right to make up their own environmental laws (California and its own CAFE, and other states have joined) Gun laws, federal i guess.