Thom wrote:
907Tri wrote:
As the election nears, Biden seems to be slipping more and more and Trump seems to be gaining more and more.
I'm not sure your perception matches reality.
You're looking at the wrong data. Electoral college matters more. Popularity and the popular vote don't always win. Trump has reversed course in every single swing state over the past 9 months or kept his lead. Also 538 in 2016 had Trump losing, but within the margin of error, people forget that point.
Wisconsin
Arizona
Michigan
Pennsylvania
Georgia
North Carolina
Nevada
So now is it that polls are not accurate anymore?
From 2020 election, he needs to reverse I believe 30 electoral votes? There is A LOT of combinations where that can happen above from the states he lost in 2020.
FWIW I will be voting Biden, but every day that goes on and wars rage, inflation holds, interest rates stay up, and inflation challenges people living daily, I think Biden's chances continue to decrease. That is where A LOT of independent votes will come from.