Trump getting played on N. Korea

What’s the harm in trying?

No harm but Trump will leave the talks telling everyone how NK is capitulating and, of course, reality will tell a different story.

Pretty much the same thing with every topic that Trump discusses.

There is what Trump says and then there is reality. The are never the same thing.

But every President tells us BS. Did Obama’s treaty with Iran really make us safer? Was Bush’s war really a success? Did Clinton really not have sex with that girl? Was Nixon not a crook? Anyone expecting their politicians to be honest should be repeatedly whacked with a hammer. And that goes for ALL politicians.

I think that’s called a false equivalency. It’s like saying everyone lies, so a husband who tells his wife her ass doesn’t look fat in a dress is the just the same as the one who tells his wife he’s not having an affair with his co-worker (and does it over and over in every way possible way day after day).

I think every President lies. And everyone in Congress too. It’s the nature of politics. When’s the last time a political group stood up and said they suck? Or we lied just to get the vote? Or yes our candidate is awful but yours is even worse? There is no false equivalency here. If I can go back to a quote from the 2016 election I think you will get my point:

“The media’s need to cover “both sides” of every story makes no sense when one side has little regard for the truth.”

Maybe he’s not lying. Which is an even scarier thought.

You know they say Comedy = tragedy + time. This could be hilarious in a few years.

Did Obama’s treaty with Iran really make us safer?

Yes, it did. I mean Iran not having nuclear weapons makes us safer. Add to that if Iran developed nuclear weapons, Saudi Arabia would probably want them also.

What’s the harm in trying?

No harm. The dialogue should continue.
The problem is that this President disparaged every predecessor (DEM and REP) as ineffective and weak. He made it clear that they all failed and that he would succeed because of the TRUMP factor.
This boastful, egotistic approach and complete lack of self awareness is at best embarrassing to the US, and more likely harmful in the long run as ally’s faith in US diplomacy will plummet.

Did Obama’s treaty with Iran really make us safer?

Yes, it did. I mean Iran not having nuclear weapons makes us safer. Add to that if Iran developed nuclear weapons, Saudi Arabia would probably want them also.

“Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has maintained that Iran does not have nuclear weapons under the premise that such weapons are forbidden by Islam.”

Does that statement make you more likely to believe Iran or does it make you fall on the floor and laugh uncontrollably? Because I have to wipe the tears off my eyes every time I read it, it’s so damn amusing.

Did Obama’s treaty with Iran really make us safer?

Poor Obama never got the old, “No harm in trying,” I guess. A lot of people are apparently willing to give North Korea the old college try despite 50 years of rock-solid evidence, But those same people knew for damn sure there was no point in trying with Iran, who actually did stop their nuclear development by all available evidence (as opposed to North Korea, who are right now publicly shoving it in our faces).

I also love how under Obama “sanctions” were this naive silly thing that everyone knows never works. But now Trump sanctions are this manly strongman move.

Of course there are hypocrisies on both sides. I’m just pointing out these ones in play now.

The sense to a second meeting to me is this: Trump did get played in the first summit. He committed to more than he should. Was vague and without specifics throughout in his private discussions. Loose ends now abound and he is returning to tie them up and provide a bit more clarity and a little less chummyness.

But then, will he even be around to fix his mess?

Did Obama’s treaty with Iran really make us safer?

Yes, it did. I mean Iran not having nuclear weapons makes us safer. Add to that if Iran developed nuclear weapons, Saudi Arabia would probably want them also.

“Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has maintained that Iran does not have nuclear weapons under the premise that such weapons are forbidden by Islam.”

Does that statement make you more likely to believe Iran or does it make you fall on the floor and laugh uncontrollably? Because I have to wipe the tears off my eyes every time I read it, it’s so damn amusing.

I don’t believe the Ayatollah, but I don’t know that has to do with the JCPOA.

Did Obama’s treaty with Iran really make us safer?

Poor Obama never got the old, “No harm in trying,” I guess. A lot of people are apparently willing to give North Korea the old college try despite 50 years of rock-solid evidence, But those same people knew for damn sure there was no point in trying with Iran, who actually did stop their nuclear development by all available evidence (as opposed to North Korea, who are right now publicly shoving it in our faces).

I also love how under Obama “sanctions” were this naive silly thing that everyone knows never works. But now Trump sanctions are this manly strongman move.

Of course there are hypocrisies on both sides. I’m just pointing out these ones in play now.

Little doubt Trump is getting played here, but Obama got played by Iran, and because the agreement was so bad Early warningof inspections, military sites that are off limits altogether, etc) we don’t get to see it…that’s the difference. So you’re right that the inspectors have returned good reports, but it’s for incomplete look at what’s going on there, so of limited value. Meanwhile, the cost has been huge, Obama going very easy on an increasingly aggressive Russia (till his last couple months), not following through on a Syria red line, the result being large amounts of casualties of massive human migration that’s unsettled Europe and prompted waves of nationalism, and a big (US funded) increase in Iranian ability to foment problems throughout the ME (see the Iran-Saudi proxy conflict in Yemen, and the related US involvement, as example one). So, lots of cost, and really unknown gain.

 Not sure what sanctions you are talking about, but if you look at the years leading to the Iran deal, congress repeatedly pushed (and passed) sanctions on Iran, bipartisan sanctions that the Obama admin fought, and in the end pubs credited for bring Iran to the table.  You can reason out your POV on that result, but at least those sanctions are not the ones to which you refer.
  • Little doubt Trump is getting played here, but Obama got played by Iran, and because the agreement was so bad Early warningof inspections, military sites that are off limits altogether, etc) we don’t get to see it…that’s the difference. .

Ok, there seems to be a real lack of understanding on this deal and the methodology. Yes, there was warning, but access to Military sites was allowed. It just required more warning and very low standard of proof. Now you may say, but they have 20 days of warning. Well, the nuclear weapons experts on our side agreed to that amount of warning. Why, did they agree to that? Because over the decades the US and others have researched this. They have actually done experiments when we take down old nuclear weapons facilities, they have experts go in and try and scrub the evidence. Then they have another team go in and try and find that evidence. Through these programs we have a very good idea of what is required to hide evidence and they will not be able to do it in the time they have. In addition after the warning, that site will be watched like a hawk by observers, so any coming and goings will be monitored and could easily catch things leaving the site. Not to mention national assets of the US and others that would catch things once they leave buildings. Also soil and air samples can be taken around the site that would give away the game.

Seriously, we have experts in this sort of thing that have spent decades working on the problem. These are not politicians, but experts in the technical aspects of this that developed this deal. It is really really hard to hide this stuff and you just can’t clean up a site in a couple months.

  • Little doubt Trump is getting played here, but Obama got played by Iran, and because the agreement was so bad Early warningof inspections, military sites that are off limits altogether, etc) we don’t get to see it…that’s the difference. .

Ok, there seems to be a real lack of understanding on this deal and the methodology. Yes, there was warning, but access to Military sites was allowed. It just required more warning and very low standard of proof. Now you may say, but they have 20 days of warning. Well, the nuclear weapons experts on our side agreed to that amount of warning. Why, did they agree to that? Because over the decades the US and others have researched this. They have actually done experiments when we take down old nuclear weapons facilities, they have experts go in and try and scrub the evidence. Then they have another team go in and try and find that evidence. Through these programs we have a very good idea of what is required to hide evidence and they will not be able to do it in the time they have. In addition after the warning, that site will be watched like a hawk by observers, so any coming and goings will be monitored and could easily catch things leaving the site. Not to mention national assets of the US and others that would catch things once they leave buildings. Also soil and air samples can be taken around the site that would give away the game.

Seriously, we have experts in this sort of thing that have spent decades working on the problem. These are not politicians, but experts in the technical aspects of this that developed this deal. It is really really hard to hide this stuff and you just can’t clean up a site in a couple months.

A number of problems, here are a couple: if you remember, there was a side deal that allowed Iran to do the soil collecting itself:
“The chief of the U.N. nuclear agency acknowledged Monday that samples used to determine whether Iran tried to develop a nuclear weapon were collected by the Iranians instead of agency experts, but insisted the probe stands up to strict agency standards.
Such sampling of soil, air or dust from equipment is usually done by the International Atomic Energy Agency’s own experts. But IAEA chief Yukiya Amano confirmed that Iranians carried out that part of the probe at Parchin, where the agency suspects that explosive triggers for nuclear weapons might have been tested in the past.
Diplomats say Iran insisted on the compromise as a condition for any probe of Parchin.”
https://forum.slowtwitch.com/forum/?do=post_reply_write;quote=1;parent_post_id=6810034

and as to the military sites:

“Inspectors with the International Atomic Energy Agency, the United Nations organization tasked with monitoring Iran’s nuclear facilities, have not requested access to military sites since the agreement went into effect, according to experts monitoring the process.”
https://www.latimes.com/world/asia/la-fg-iran-nuclear-20170830-story.html

Did Obama’s treaty with Iran really make us safer?

Arguably, it did. But even ignoring that, did it make us less safe? Were there any other benefits that Trump threw away when he tossed the aside the deal?

Ask Boeing.

  • Little doubt Trump is getting played here, but Obama got played by Iran, and because the agreement was so bad Early warningof inspections, military sites that are off limits altogether, etc) we don’t get to see it…that’s the difference. .

Ok, there seems to be a real lack of understanding on this deal and the methodology. Yes, there was warning, but access to Military sites was allowed. It just required more warning and very low standard of proof. Now you may say, but they have 20 days of warning. Well, the nuclear weapons experts on our side agreed to that amount of warning. Why, did they agree to that? Because over the decades the US and others have researched this. They have actually done experiments when we take down old nuclear weapons facilities, they have experts go in and try and scrub the evidence. Then they have another team go in and try and find that evidence. Through these programs we have a very good idea of what is required to hide evidence and they will not be able to do it in the time they have. In addition after the warning, that site will be watched like a hawk by observers, so any coming and goings will be monitored and could easily catch things leaving the site. Not to mention national assets of the US and others that would catch things once they leave buildings. Also soil and air samples can be taken around the site that would give away the game.

Seriously, we have experts in this sort of thing that have spent decades working on the problem. These are not politicians, but experts in the technical aspects of this that developed this deal. It is really really hard to hide this stuff and you just can’t clean up a site in a couple months.

A number of problems, here are a couple: if you remember, there was a side deal that allowed Iran to do the soil collecting itself:
“The chief of the U.N. nuclear agency acknowledged Monday that samples used to determine whether Iran tried to develop a nuclear weapon were collected by the Iranians instead of agency experts, but insisted the probe stands up to strict agency standards.
Such sampling of soil, air or dust from equipment is usually done by the International Atomic Energy Agency’s own experts. But IAEA chief Yukiya Amano confirmed that Iranians carried out that part of the probe at Parchin, where the agency suspects that explosive triggers for nuclear weapons might have been tested in the past.
Diplomats say Iran insisted on the compromise as a condition for any probe of Parchin.”
https://forum.slowtwitch.com/...rent_post_id=6810034

and as to the military sites:

“Inspectors with the International Atomic Energy Agency, the United Nations organization tasked with monitoring Iran’s nuclear facilities, have not requested access to military sites since the agreement went into effect, according to experts monitoring the process.”
https://www.latimes.com/…-20170830-story.html

Ok, how does any of that address what I wrote?

Explain how the probe of parchin is hiding something? I think you need to learn the history of the site and how the deal works.

Yea, they had not requested access to a military site. I have never been to Alaska, does that mean I am forbidden from going to Alaska?

Did Obama’s treaty with Iran really make us safer?

Arguably, it did. But even ignoring that, did it make us less safe? Were there any other benefits that Trump threw away when he tossed the aside the deal?

Ask Boeing.

The agreement made us less safe because Iran is still continuing with it’s atomic program and they have help from NK. Why not ask Israel if they are more safe today?

Did Obama’s treaty with Iran really make us safer?

Poor Obama never got the old, “No harm in trying,” I guess. A lot of people are apparently willing to give North Korea the old college try despite 50 years of rock-solid evidence, But those same people knew for damn sure there was no point in trying with Iran, who actually did stop their nuclear development by all available evidence (as opposed to North Korea, who are right now publicly shoving it in our faces).

I also love how under Obama “sanctions” were this naive silly thing that everyone knows never works. But now Trump sanctions are this manly strongman move.

Of course there are hypocrisies on both sides. I’m just pointing out these ones in play now.

Little doubt Trump is getting played here, but Obama got played by Iran,/quote]

I guess the entire European Union also got played, but they just don’t realize it yet and remain signatories to the JCPOA. Sad!

Did Obama’s treaty with Iran really make us safer?

Arguably, it did. But even ignoring that, did it make us less safe? Were there any other benefits that Trump threw away when he tossed the aside the deal?

Ask Boeing.

The agreement made us less safe because Iran is still continuing with it’s atomic program and they have help from NK. Why not ask Israel if they are more safe today?

Nope, we are now more safe, because they don’t have an atomic weapons program. The JCPOA allowed for a tightly controlled, more tightly controlled than they are obligated under the NPT, peaceful nuclear program.

**But every President tells us BS. Did Obama’s treaty with Iran really make us safer? **

When was Iran a threat to the U.S?

**But every President tells us BS. Did Obama’s treaty with Iran really make us safer? **

When was Iran a threat to the U.S?

You’re right, what was that idiot Obama thinking?!! Actually, I think the “threat” idea has more to do with developing a weapons program and efforts toward nukes, combined with the little Satan - great Satan rhetoric.

** I think the “threat” idea has more to do with developing a weapons program and efforts toward nukes, combined with the little Satan - great Satan rhetoric. **

True but Pakistan has a nuclear weapon and they are the ones how hid OBL and are a breeding ground for radical terrorism. Then there’s North Korea. They can fool Trump easily of course by giving him a few personal compliments but the rest of the adult world sees how they are developing a nuclear program. Then of course there’s the Saudis where MBS murders someone and Trump refuses to criticize them and cast doubts about his own intelligence agencies. Finally, there’s Russia who continues to do whatever they want in Ukraine and Crimea without a peep from the Whitehouse.

But destroying a nuclear agreement with Iran that was actually working is the extent of Trump’s foreign policy accomplishments. That’s quite a leader you got there.

**But every President tells us BS. Did Obama’s treaty with Iran really make us safer? **

When was Iran a threat to the U.S?

What do you mean? Even their civilian airliners are a threat; that’s why we have to occasionally shoot one down.

** I think the “threat” idea has more to do with developing a weapons program and efforts toward nukes, combined with the little Satan - great Satan rhetoric. **

True but Pakistan has a nuclear weapon and they are the ones how hid OBL and are a breeding ground for radical terrorism. Then there’s North Korea. They can fool Trump easily of course by giving him a few personal compliments but the rest of the adult world sees how they are developing a nuclear program. Then of course there’s the Saudis where MBS murders someone and Trump refuses to criticize them and cast doubts about his own intelligence agencies. Finally, there’s Russia who continues to do whatever they want in Ukraine and Crimea without a peep from the Whitehouse.

But destroying a nuclear agreement with Iran that was actually working is the extent of Trump’s foreign policy accomplishments. That’s quite a leader you got there.

Trump is not as easy to track on these things as you think. I agree with some of your points, but there is a big disconnect between his rhetoric and his actions; from selling missile defense systems to Poland (fulfilling a GWB pledge that Obama reneged on) to bombing inside Syria for chemical weapons use, to the actions covered below, Trump has been a much more aggressive FP POTUS, and while he is disliked by heads of many countries, he is also disliked by the bad actors, and I like that.

Pakistan
"The Trump administration will suspend most security assistance to Pakistan, the State Department said on Thursday, expanding its retribution over militant safe havens that U.S. officials blame for ongoing violence in Afghanistan.____
"

https://www.washingtonpost.com/...m_term=.a36cea0a682b

Russia
" “When you actually look at the substance of what this administration has done, not the rhetoric but the substance, this administration has been much tougher on Russia than any in the post-Cold War era,” said Daniel Vajdich, senior fellow at the Atlantic Council.

Take military spending: Trump sought to add $1.4 billion for fiscal year 2018 to the European Deterrence Initiative — a military effort to deter Russian aggression that was initially known as the European Reassurance Initiative. That’s a 41 percent increase from the last year of the Obama administration. The president also agreed to send lethal weapons to Ukraine — a step that Obama resisted. And Trump gave U.S. forces in Syria more leeway to engage with Russian troops.

“Those loosened rules of engagement have resulted in direct military clashes with Russian militants and mercenaries on the ground, actually resulting in one incident in hundreds of casualties on the Russian side,” Vajdich said.

The administration has also imposed sanctions on dozens of Russian oligarchs and government officials. And Trump has aggressively promoted U.S. energy exports, although so far that hasn’t created much competition for Russia’s oil and gas."

https://www.npr.org/...ghest-ever-on-russia

https://www.nytimes.com/...kistan-strategy.html