Why is it that malls aren’t typically of a more mixed-use than just retail and chain dining? We have family in Melbourne, Australia and within 15 minutes of their suburban home there are two malls that are always busy, just absolutely slammed. Their use of space is much more mixed – small practice doctor’s offices, pharmacies, grocery stores, stores similar to Target, some local dining, indoor farmer’s markets at times, specialty shops, post office, etc. Rather than it being a place where you go just to look at the same stuff you can buy online for less money, it’s a place where you can go and get an entire day’s worth of errands done in one spot. There are other malls not far from them that are more like the purely retail focused American malls, and those tend to be pitiful, sad existences.
The mall near my house is awful – a sad food court, closed up shops everywhere, Macy’s used to be nice and now is dilapidated and dirty. There are only two reasons to set foot in there – to physically return an online Gap purchase or to hit a phone screen repair kiosk. The town where I grew up had a mall that was similarly dying or dead and repurposed itself into an outdoor mall – far fewer stores but those it has are bigger retailers like Sierra Trading Post, World Market, DSW, TJ Maxx, Nordstrom Rack, maybe now an REI, etc. When I’m back there it’s easy enough to just hit the one store I want to stop at (STP) since it’s right outside, which is something I wouldn’t do if I had to trudge through an entire indoor mall just to get into one store.
Retail these days is weird. Kohl’s apparently started embracing Amazon competition by now accepting Amazon returns in-store, trying to entice people through the doors in hopes some will buy there. It might be a smart play in a sea of retail stupidity.
The mall is dead. One of my best friends works for Simon Property. Their assets are positioned well and financially they’re in a good spot but their own internal analysis sees U.S.** mall square footage declining by 40%** over the next five years.
But isn’t a huge % of mall sqft taken up by the anchor stores?
Half theorizing here and half asking. I’d think they make up a lot of sqft.
Yes they do. However, the nature of retail CRE is very much win or lose. You won’t see, long term, malls where the anchors go but the smaller retailers stay. The vast majority of those leases have co-tenancy clauses so when occupancy falls below a certain threshold or a certain anchor leaves all the other tenants have the right to terminate.
So when one says that mall square footage will fall by 40%, that’s not anchors going dark but rather entire malls shutting down.
Long term I think some of the malls that go dark will be repurposed in interesting ways. I know Lockheed Martin is eyeing a busted mall in Oviedo FL (just outside Orlando) as an office/manufacturing campus. I’ve heard of proposals to turn other busted malls into hospitals. However for any of those alternate uses to make sense the price needs to be $0 IMO.