. . . PTN reported that there are 11 wild card slots up for grabs with 3 for the men and 8 for the women.
. . . there will be no race during their season that has everyone present
have laid out their plans, . . . will be very interested in the wild cards because no doubt those folks will help make the race a little more interesting. And no matter who shows up for their first commitment, there will be a series leader with some narrative going forward to the next stop… . . 8 of 20 women missing in the first race is for me still a significant number. Obviously, I know that that the athletes are contracted to race a minimum of 5 races plus the grand final so there are bound to be missing athletes in the start lists. But that weakens the appeal of the series if the PTO wants to attract a new audience. If the T100 races are the gold standard events in the sport, why then are contracted athletes skipping some of the events?
On the narrative, let’s go back to the women’s race. Say Annie Haug wins Miami. The narrative can be that she won because Ash Gentle didn’t race and we’ll have to wait until Singapore to see. So my guess is that won’t stop unless we get to see the highest ranked athletes racing consistently together which the PTO promised.I calculated upthread that the design (number of regular races and contracted number required to race) means an average of 4 missing per regular season race (7 of them): my revision is an average of 5.3 Eight not racing Miami is above average, but on the plus side it does mean that those athletes giving it a miss will be racing one another (and four fifths of the others) in nearly every race.
Gentle made this point in a quality set of answers in Kelly’s pod interview which I thoroughly recommend (first 58 minutes): https://podcasts.apple.com/...on-hour/id1595443343
The other deduction I make is that there will be no wild cards available (unless injuries) in Dubai for any non-contracted last chance saloon drinkers. Plenty for the women at Ibiza and a veritable feast for non-IM men in Las Vegas.
All 20+20 will race the Grand Final (on the coast of the Arabian peninsula) together with any athletes who have accumulated points from (guessing) at least two wildcard racing opportunities (I cannot see who those WPros could be, even short course, maybe Waugh if she doesn’t get GBR selection).
You ask: “Why then are contracted athletes skipping some of the events?”
(WPRO) Some have Olympic fish to fry (K, D, S). Sodaro and Watkinson have IMNZ. But for the other 3 (LCB, Gentle and one other) because they are super sensibly taking a season long view of the racing and want to put in a solid foundation and use the extra 5 weeks before Singapore to do so. The T100 Series World Championships will be decided on an athlete’s best 4 scores (with the GF offering a ~50% bonus). So it makes complete sense to ‘make sure’ (to the extent possible by racing schedule design) that you’re still fully fit in November.