I’ll be attempting a BQ at the end of August (8/27), and my training plan (Higdon Advanced 1) calls for a tune-up HM. The plan has it at week 9, but I’ll be running it this weekend (5/28) at the end of week 5. FWIW, the BQ attempt will be my first ever marathon, although I’ve completed a number of HM’s and HIM’s and in the past. I have slowly increased mileage since Feb, running 51 miles last week, with an expectation of peaking around 60-70 mpw in July.
My BQ time is 3:05 so I’ll be shooting for sub 3:02 and I’ve been training accordingly. Training has been consistent and in line with expectations. Assuming 26.4 miles, MP should be in the 6:50 - 6:55 range. To give some idea of recent workouts, I recently ran a 13 mile long run @ 8:04/mi on 147 avg HR (max is 205+) and an 8.75 mile run w/ 5 miles @ 6:45/mi on 164 avg HR (for the whole run). Last year, I ran the same HM, in worse shape and weighing a good 10 pounds more, in 1:36 on a 186 avg HR.
What I’m wondering is how I should strategically run this race. In general, if I truly race something, I give it everything I’ve got and I can barely walk the next day. While I know this would be the best indicator of my current fitness, I feel like the hit to training is not worth it when my real goal is to BQ on 8/27. On the other hand, I obviously want to run hard enough that I can get a decent feel for where I am at this point.
So I’m asking for the collective wisdom of ST to help me decide between the 3 options below:
1. Race the HM - go all out looking for a sub 1:25 time, with a likely 3-5 day impact on training
2. Progression Run - run the first 10-15k at MP, then build pace into the finish where I’d be around 10k pace, with a likely 1-2 day impact on training
3. Marathon Test Run - run it like it’s the first half of the marathon, taking gels and keeping it at MP looking to finish as fresh as possible, with no material impact on training
Currently, I’d say I’m leaning towards #2 or #3. To be perfectly honest, there’s a good chance that even if I plan on doing #3, I will end up running it as #2. If there’s a chance I’m competitive in the AG or I just feel really good, I would probably push the pace, knowing myself. But I also feel like planning on #3 and actually running #2 is less bad than planning on #2 and racing the whole thing because I got sucked into a lead(ish) pack that happened to be just a little bit faster than my planned pace.