Based on my last few 10K times, I was in better run shape in Sep. 1:26 will be a stretch.
Seriously though, the only reason to go do CW at least once is because it is part of the sport and I want to experience it just once…the good and the bad.
I averaged around 230W for my last three half Ironmans in Aug/Sep. Will be interesting to see how fast one goes for what power number even dropping back after each group passes.
Anyway, what makes the pack worse is actually people who think you can ride off the front and escape. All this does is jack up the speed of the pack as successive guys put in 300-400W surges. That’s why the pack goes so fast because a whole whack of guys are taking Cancellara style pulls (except they can only do it for 30 seconds). If everyone drops back as required, no problems, but one would be an idiot to assume that anyone give an inch.
I’m cool with that. If you see me way off the back at T2, you’ll know that its not cause my bike fitness sucked (it is actually really good right now)…it’s just that I chose to do a different race with a small subset of like minded guys in my age group.
Dev