OT -- SPOILER: CIA overestimated WMD threat

Well, today a bipartisan senate panel confirmed what we all already know (all except, of course, the Bush administration) – There was no real factual basis for believing that there were arms in Iraq.

Senator Pat Roberts, the Kansas Republican who heads the panel, said this morning:

“Before the war, the U.S. intelligence community told the president, as well as the Congress and the public, that Saddam Hussein had stockpiles of chemical and biological weapons, and if left unchecked, would probably have a nuclear weapon during this decade. Well, today we know these assessments were wrong. And, as our inquiry will show, they were also unreasonable and largely unsupported by the available intelligence.”

“…the key judgments in the October 2002 national intelligence estimate on Iraq’s WMD programs were either overstated or were not supported by the raw intelligence reporting.”

Finally, he noted that “a collective group-think” caused ambiguous evidence to be elevated to the level of conclusive evidence.

**It’s hard to know what to do with this report. On the one hand, it restates the obvious. It reconfirms what we’ve known for quite some time. On the other hand, it is yet one more mind-blowing reminder of the degree to which this administration doesn’t understand the concept of accountability. **

**For starters, no one has been held accountable for the two massive intelligence failures of the intelligence community. Only now is George Tenet leaving office, and, from all appearances, he left on his own, and not because Bush asked him to. As I said yesterday, if Bush and Cheney had not willfully lapsed into the same “group think” as the intelligence community, they should have been livid that they were embarrassed by the intel community and flayed people alive. But they haven’t done that. **And I suspect that that’s because they, too, wanted to build a case against Iraq by focusing on selective evidence. Their apathy belies their complicity.

An even more staggering example of how accountability has gone out the window is the stunning fact the administration is still insisting that Iraq had WMD, despite not having found a trace of them in 1.5 years. And despite the conlcusions of such reports. Bush is still trying to feed us the same line of BS, and any self-respecting citizen should be pissed. Even if you are conservative, you should not accept a president who either fails to take responsibility for his mistakes (and that is the charitable interpretation) or who thinks that you’re so stupid that he will keep feeding you explanations that so evidently have no foundation in truth. That’s when you’re basically giving up on democracy.

**Hopefully, the silent majority will hold Bush accountable in November. But, so far, it doesn’t seem too troubled by the shameful picture you see when you connect the dots – the false motives for war (no WMD, no Hussein-al-qaeda link), the continued assertions that these motives exist despite all evidence to the contrary, the destructive international “diplomacy” that destroyed our ****standing in the world, the loss of American troops (it topped 1,000 today), the thousands of soldiers missing limbs, the lack of post-war game plan, the lack of exit strategy, the torture in prison, the justification of torture by Justice Department lawyers, the lack of substantive progress on the al-qaeda front (Osama is still out there and when was the last time you heard of any major figure getting nabbed? you have to go back to Khalid Sheik Mohammad who was arrested in early 2003), the attempt to subvert the very foundations of our justice system (you don’t get a lawyer or a court date? it’s called habeas corpus, buddy!), the Patriot Act that lets the feds search library records but not records of recent gun purchases (what kind of illogically ideological crap is that?), the list goes on and so apparently does insanity in the US. **

Rumsfeld says that the administration “don’t know what it don’t know”.

He says that just because they are not there does not mean that they are not there.

And just because they can’t be found doesn’t mean that they won’t be found.

And we will keep looking until we stop looking.

He has his best intelligence men on it now.

So they’ve rehired Chalabi again?

Without Chalabai they wouldn’t have the few witnesses that they had. Unfortunately most of these witnesses have now dissappeared into the swiss bank account neverland.

Bush said tonight that the war is still justified since it was a pre-emptive strike against the intent of the Iraqis. Of course they had nothing to strike us with but nonetheless they were thinking about it. Our best intelligence, which has now been completely and totally discredited, showed that this is what they wanted to do.

That’s our story and were sticking with it no matter how moronic we look.

The CIA was responsible for the NIE in 2002.

Paul O’Neill said the President drew up plans to attack upon entering the office, before he had seen intelligence.

The CIA has been a convenient scapegoat and whipping boy for administrative errors since its inception. It is part of its function.

For the many fine, hard working and bright people in service of the Central Intelligence Agency, this is unfair, insulting and just plain wrong.

Because of the covert nature of some of the CIA’s intelligence gathering, storage, analysis and interpretation they are a convenient target. They can’t defend themselves. Oddly, the Defense Intelligence Agency and the National Security Adiministration never seem to take the heat for intelligence “errors” (which arguably are not errors at all).

Blaming the CIA for a “spurious” incursion into Iraq is exactly and precisely the same as blaming Ozzy Osbourne for teen suicide and “Catcher in the Rye” for serial murder.

It’s stupid. But it is convenient.

I would hope the President and the Pentagon would have plans in place and up to date to invade Canada at all times too. We pay the military to be prepared for any situation.

So is your point that the President was making sure we were prepared? He would probably plead guilty to that one.

According to O’Neill, the President sought a way to invade Iraq:
http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2004/01/09/60minutes/main592330.shtml

This initiative was not based on intelligence from the CIA.

Sy Hersh, who broke the Mai Lai and Abu Gharib stories, writes about the intelligence cabal here:
http://www.newyorker.com/fact/content/?030512fa_fact