So 1 thing I want to reiterrate, unlike you and Dave who want to conjecture, there is an actual process and rules/procedures in all of this.
The 40 school isn’t a brooks doughtie rule, or usat rule, it’s guidelines setup by the NCAA themselves. So it doesn’t matter if you bust through the door and get it done in 2 years, or if you limp through and make it by the skin of your teeth in year 10. You’ve made the initial finish line by achieving that. Full stop. Nothing less, nothing more.
Secondly, when you suggest men or MTR as an option, it’s clear you have no real understanding of how NCAA college athletics works. Any male participation sport would never get off the initial process. It wouldn’t even have been up for discussion, full stop. EVERYONE in the sport would love to have men’s ncaa triathlon, that is a way hell of a lot easier sell than women. But that was never going to be an option, no one would even suggest it. So you suggesting USAT errored by not atleast seeing isn’t reading the room, full stop. So forget that “hate” on USAT for that “error”. So just remove any notion that men needed to be in the ncaa sport…like pssst I would LOVE to have men’s ncaa tri, everyone would, but the reality is, that just isn’t an option. Just trust me, I know you love to conjecture and come up with wild scenarios to suggest I don’t know what I’m talking about…but sometiems just trust the experts.
For an sport to get even brought up, 40 schools have to sign off on saying “yeah this is a good idea, I agree to put it in the emerging sport status”. That isn’t automatic agreement to actually sign on to have the sport on campus, that just means 40 AD’s/Presidents need to say “yes put this sport in ncaa”. Once that happens, you then have 10 years to achieve 40 schools obtaining sport sponsorship. Women’s rugby has been stuck in purgatory of emerging sport status
If the sport makes championship status, the likelihood it gets stronger than it’s current capacity, is much higher than if it falls back into emerging sport status (it’ll be a repeat of women’s rugby stuck with 15 teams but still being an ncaa sport for women’s movement). The scuttlebutt is that schools are in the “waiting” game and will not spend money to fund it during the emerging sport status. Again when it’s a championship sport, the ncaa then covers the costs of the postseason, where now the school has to cover said cost to any championhips. So it actually has a better chance to grow when it becomes full time status, even though there is zero chance we have even 100 schools ever. The schools that have been added over the last few years are “bigger” universities that have likely better resources and the ability to be successful than some of the smaller liberal arts in the middle of no where schools.
So when you say even if it makes championship status it’ll still be an issue, that’s almost irrelevant at that point. It will have made the finish line, full stop.