Kona Bike Count - Top 25 - 4 yr comparison

2011 / 10 / 09 / 08

Cervelo: 488 / 468 (462) (415)
Trek: 185 / 108 (90) (103)
Felt: 124 / 96 (92) (89)
Specialized: 122 / 113 (93) (66)
Scott: 96 / 98 (109) (103)
Cannondale: 79 / 72 (68) (68)
QR: 61 / 62 (52) (79)
Argon18: 57 / 58 (43) (less than 10)
Kuota: 55 / 77 (85) (117)
Orbea: 53 / 82 (56) (68)
Kestrel: 48 / 46 (54) (35)
Giant: 40 / 52 (40) (51)
Look: 34 / 48 (39) (48)
Ceepo: 34 / 28 (24) (less than 10)
Blue: 24 / 9 (8) (less than 10)
Guru: 21 / 40 (28) (27)
Ridley: 21 / 16 (12) (less than 10)
PlanetX: 19 / 11 (8) (less than 10)
Fuji: 17 / 10 (6) (less than 10)
Pinarello: 16 / 18 (26) (19)
Canyon: 14 / 4 (8) (less than 10)
Litespeed: 13 / 14 (18) (35)
Colnago: 12 / 11 (12) (less than 10)
Cube: 11 / 7 (12) (13)
Parlee: 11 / 6 (4) (less than 10)
Stevens: 11 / 17 (15) (less than 10)

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this is a disaster. Do bike shops not have excel?

ok, here it is. I did it by percentage although the numbers for 2008 are going to be wrong because all the less than 10’s screw up the total count.

http://i.imgur.com/3XOGU.png

interesting factoid: despite introducing a new TT bike (plasma 3) that has sex appeal and allegedly decent drag numbers Scott continues to decline.

Trek up 58% from last year.

but it’s still just a trek
.

Aren’t they up 71% over last year? ( (185-108)/108)

Not sure your graph is quite right. The list above only includes the top 25 of bike brands. This makes up something like 1,600+. Not the 1,800+ that actually started the race. So your % for each is a little high.

GIGO I guess. One does what what can with the data one is given.

In hindsight, Kuota had an amazing growth with the fraction of the spend of Trek/Specialized. I think it topped out at 128 in 2007, being #2.

Looking back, Kuota must have entered the market at the right time…at the same time, that brand has really fallen.

steady decline of Kuota bikes aswell. Down by more than 50%…

the entered market and norman kicked ass
then they lost norman
.

You are correct. I made a mistake. My bad.

Big Drops:
Kuota
Orbea
Look
Guru
Litespeed (~60% drop in 4 years! Ouch)

Big Jumps:
Trek
Felt
Specialized

In percentages, some of the very small companies made big pickups, especially Ceepo. They’re still not big players, but 38 bikes isn’t a bad showing. Gotta wonder if they hoped for more with being a major sponsor of the race…

steady decline of Kuota bikes aswell. Down by more than 50%…

Indeed, the numbers are what the numbers are. No question that Kuota received a big shot in the arm with Normann Stadler - but it’s rarely if ever that one dimensional in this business. Recent controversy aside, if you used this same analysis, Orbea, should be seeing a big jump in sales based on( until two months ago) the amazing run of great races at IMH that Craig Alexander had, while riding an Orbea. On the contrary, Orbea has been in decline.

Many can’t see or don’t understand the back-end of this - the stuff that you don’t see that goes on behind the scenes. What you see is the flashy product and the top athletes riding that flashy product - that’s the sexy part of it all. But there is all kinds of very un-sexy stuff going on behind the scenes that dives the success of a brand or a product in this market.

Heres’ an example: When I started working at Sugoi in the mid 90’s we surveyed all our existing accounts and a number of our top prospects. The number one complaint that was leveled at all apparel suppliers was - delivery: They were late. They were missing items. Stuff was back-ordered and then never shipped and so on. So what Sugoi decided to do was to start shipping all orders 100% in full and on time, even if it meant over-night shipping at great expense. Some shops were skeptical about this and balked at our slightly higher prices, but we would say, “You can’t sell and make money on what you don’t have in the store”!! Eventually they came around! And Sugoi started on a run then of more then doubling it’s business over the next 4 years! We had great product, but where we got the edge was in something behind the scenes that is really not that sexy, delivery!

most people who come into the bike shops in austin, come in “I need a tri bike”

they have no idea what brand they want. so what gets sold is largely a function of what bike shops choose to carry and what they advise people to buy.

interesting correlation here… the bricks are declining (Kuota, Orbea) and the aero bikes are climbing (Trek, Felt, etc.)

of course, Cervelo is staying the same, and that’s because in addition to their aeroness they are a cult favorite.

they have no idea what brand they want. so what gets sold is largely a function of what bike shops choose to carry and what they advise people to buy.

Ask anyone on the business side, distribution and delivery is HUGE!

Yep, the bike shop can’t foist it on the newbie if the bike ain’t AT the shop.

they have no idea what brand they want. so what gets sold is largely a function of what bike shops choose to carry and what they advise people to buy.

Ask anyone on the business side, distribution and delivery is HUGE!

I’m expecting the new trend to be customers walking into bike shops saying “I want to ride what TJ Tollakson is riding”. To that end, I’m stocking more athletic supporters in my fit studio.