Standings seem to be clearer after Placid.
It looks like 2 to 4 athletes are clear favorites to win the Series with 2 main contenders, with 2 other lesser favorites
1- Foley, he won 9 945 out of 10 000 (max possible pts) and would ‘only’ need 4 460 points, so within 9’ of the winner to take the lead before Kona-
2- Marquardt, 11 856 out of 12 500, no bad results and in Kona he should benefit from being with strong swim-bikers especially Laidlow to try to gap other contenders like Foley
3 -Mignon yet he would need 4785 to catch Marquardt.
Those 3 are all qualified to Taupo so the Serie may be decided only in December !
4- Lange could potentially still win it but it will be tough, he will need 2 very good IM AND a better result at a 70.3 to make up for his gap to Foley and Marquardt. I expect him to race Zell Am See on 1st. September, it is only 2 weeks after Frankfurt but only kilometers away from his home so 2 races without flights/time adaptation.
5- Rodriguez Hernandez IF he races well in Frankfurt and scores 1 good 70.3. The fact that he did not race since May raises eyebrows.
Some contenders are out of the race, possibly out of top 10 after Placid
Skipper, Lieferman and Hanson. For Hanson the current rankings are misleading as 5 results are taken into account and Kona will replace Oceanside and his 2 IM score of 8 045 is quite weak compared to 8 922 for Guilloux or 8 726 for Kallin for example
In my standings Guilloux who currently ranks 3rd with 11 154 can be used as a measuring stick as he has raced 2 IM and a 70.3. With the same criteria Hanson has only10 585 pts
We will have to wait until Frankfurt for many contenders. Again trying to compare apples to apples, looking at athletes with 1 70.3 + IM
Lange 6620 with a win in FRA would jump to 11 620 (so still behind) and 4 535 to ‘catch Guilloux’
Currie 6 852 points - winning 11 852 / needs 4300 to ‘catch Guilloux’ TQ
Hogenhaug 5 846 needs 4300 to ‘catch Guilloux’ - no KQ but TQ
Weis a T100 athlete struggling on this circuit who would factor more on this distance, but i haven’t heard that he is racing Frankfurt
Barnaby 6 691 like Hogenhaug still chasing his Kona slot but is TQ
Teagle 6 687 NO KQ or TQ
Wurf 6 543 KQ
Schuster 6 525 KQ
Petersen 6 420 but not sure he will racing Frankfurt as he has his KQ
An interesting fact is that so far the 4 winners were real outsiders and their seeding by trirating before races : Rodriguez (not seeded), Burton 13th, Benito Lopez 4th and Foley 23rd