weather.com predicts a high of 87 degrees with about 85 degrees by noon. The thing confusing me is that they have a 20% chance of precipitation but there is also a weather advisory for some kind of storm system coming through.
Do you guys have any additional weather info?
Here is the text from the advisory on weather.com now for Sunday, September 11. Does this affect the race area?:
…COLUMBIA-DANE-DODGE-FOND DU LAC-GREEN-GREEN LAKE-IOWA-JEFFERSON- KENOSHA-LAFAYETTE-MARQUETTE-MILWAUKEE-OZAUKEE-RACINE-ROCK-SAUK- SHEBOYGAN-WALWORTH-WASHINGTON-WAUKESHA- 310 PM CDT THU AUG 18 2005
COLUMBIA-DANE-DODGE-FOND DU LAC-GREEN-GREEN LAKE-IOWA-JEFFERSON-KENOSHA-LAFAYETTE-MARQUETTE-MILWAUKEE-OZAUKEE-RAC INE-ROCK-SAUK-SHEBOYGAN-WALWORTH-WASHINGTON-WAUKESHA- 310 PM CDT WED SEP 07 2005
A LOW PRESSURE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY SOUTHEAST THROUGH SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON.
SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW PRESSURE AND COLD FRONT. THROUGH 330 PM…THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL MOVE EAST THROUGH MARQUETTE…GREEN LAKE…FOND DU LAC…AND SHEBOYGAN COUNTIES. OTHER STRONG STORMS WILL AFFECT PARTS OF COLUMBIA…DANE…AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES THROUGH 400 PM… ESPECIALLY IN THE AREA FROM BEAVER DAM TO COLUMBUS TO WAUNAKEE.
GUSTY WINDS TO 40 TO 50 MPH…HAIL UP TO 1/2 INCH IN DIAMETER…AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINS ARE POSSIBLE WITH ANY OF THE STORMS. ISOLATED STORMS CAN BECOME SEVERE AND PRODUCE LARGE…DAMAGING HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH.
Don’t feel bad. I’ve lived in Wisconsing all my life and rarely understand the forecast.
That’s the first I’ve seen of bad weather, other than the heat and humidity. The counties listed cover most of southern Wisconsin. The race is in Dane county with Iowa county being to the west. I guess I’ll toss a light rain jacket in the bag. I’m just volunteering, but will be busy hauling dnf’s if the heat and humidity are as forecast. A cold front and a little sprinkle might be very welcome, but hail and high winds would be bad.
In Wisconsin in the late summer it is not uncommon to have afternoon thunderstorms because on hot days there is so much moisture in the air it just had to come down at some point. We’ve had two short thunderstorms this week in the afternoon and then the weather cleared up and was sunny again by 5pm.
we may have an afternoon storm tomorrow but it shouldn’t rain all afternoon. hopefully at least 
What the internet is trying to tell you is that weather men really have no idea what tomorow will be like.
Here is the 24 hour aviation forecast for the region, the times are in GMT so for Wisconsin I think you subtract 6 hours so the last weather reference will be the start of the race.
**METAR text:** **KMKE 101552Z 17008KT 6SM HZ SCT070 29/18 A3015 RMK AO2 SLP206 T02940178** **Conditions at:** KMKE observed 1552 UTC 10 September 2005 **Temperature:** 29.4°C (85°F) **Dewpoint:** 17.8°C (64°F) **Pressure (altimeter):** 30.15 inches Hg (1021.1 mb)
Winds: from the S (170 degrees) at 9 MPH (8 knots; 4.2 m/s) Visibility: 6 miles (10 km) Ceiling: at least 12,000 feet AGL Clouds: scattered clouds at 7000 feet AGL Weather: HZ (haze) Forecast for: KMKE Text: **KMKE 101554Z 101612 17008KT 6SM HZ SCT070 ** Forecast period: 1600 to 1700 UTC 10 September 2005 Forecast type: FROM: standard forecast or significant change Winds: from the S (170 degrees) at 9 MPH (8 knots; 4.2 m/s) Visibility: 6 miles (10 km) Clouds: scattered clouds at 7000 feet AGL Weather: HZ (haze) Text: **FM1700 15012KT 6SM HZ SCT070 ** Forecast period: 1700 UTC 10 September 2005 to 0100 UTC 11 September 2005 Forecast type: FROM: standard forecast or significant change Winds: from the SSE (150 degrees) at 14 MPH (12 knots; 6.2 m/s) Visibility: 6 miles (10 km) Clouds: scattered clouds at 7000 feet AGL Weather: HZ (haze) Text: **FM0100 17007KT P6SM FEW250 ** Forecast period: 0100 to 0800 UTC 11 September 2005 Forecast type: FROM: standard forecast or significant change Winds: from the S (170 degrees) at 8 MPH (7 knots; 3.6 m/s) Visibility: 6 miles (10 km) Clouds: few clouds at 25000 feet AGL Weather: no significant weather forecast for this period Text: FM0800 20006KT 5SM BR SKC Forecast period: 0800 to 1200 UTC 11 September 2005 Forecast type: FROM: standard forecast or significant change Winds: from the SSW (200 degrees) at 7 MPH (6 knots; 3.1 m/s) Visibility: 5 miles (8 km) Clouds: clear skies Weather: BR (mist)
Five stars… My take on this is the conditions will be warmish but favorable. The wind speeds seem light. Temperature a bit high but not very different from what everyone has been training in.
Good luck! Go get 'em!
Kevin Mackinnon from ironmanlive.com summed it up beautifuly in a pre-race update of his:
“It’s an Ironman … it’s not supposed to be easy.”
I was a HUGE bundle of nerves this morning and tried to take a nap this afternoon. Could not sleep for the life of me. Worrying about tacks, wind, heat, humidity, possible hail with tornado-esque winds…whatever. You can’t do anything about it…accept it and move on…oh…and watch Napoleon Dynamite. I needed a laugh.
Right you are ahoodlum. That is the mindset of a person who will have a good race tomorrow. Best wishes.
This is for you and your 2000+ friends:
Thanks Tom, very well spoken.
I passed Clas in the hallway this morning, but didn’t get a chance to say hi. I’m racked next to the pros so I know Bjorn is here, but I haven’t seen him yet.
Managed a half hour nap this afternoon, but now I’m just sitting with my feet up trying to think about something else.
All that means too F’n hot for me to compete. I’ll watch while sipping beers on State Stret
Here is the latest TAF for the Wisconsin Area, its in aviation format so I hope everyone can read it, it seems like the weather looks good :))))))
**METAR text:** **KMKE 110052Z 16009KT 7SM FEW250 26/17 A3010 RMK AO2 SLP188 T02560172** **Conditions at:** KMKE observed 0052 UTC 11 September 2005 **Temperature:** 25.6°C (78°F) **Dewpoint:** 17.2°C (63°F) **Pressure (altimeter):** 30.10 inches Hg (1019.4 mb)
Winds: from the SSE (160 degrees) at 10 MPH (9 knots; 4.7 m/s) Visibility: 7 miles (11 km) Ceiling: at least 12,000 feet AGL Clouds: few clouds at 25000 feet AGL Weather: no significant weather observed at this time Forecast for: KMKE Text: **KMKE 102321Z 110024 15012KT 4SM HZ SKC ** Forecast period: 0000 to 0100 UTC 11 September 2005 Forecast type: FROM: standard forecast or significant change Winds: from the SSE (150 degrees) at 14 MPH (12 knots; 6.2 m/s) Visibility: 4 miles (6 km) Clouds: clear skies Weather: HZ (haze) Text: **FM0100 16008KT 4SM HZ FEW250 ** Forecast period: 0100 to 0800 UTC 11 September 2005 Forecast type: FROM: standard forecast or significant change Winds: from the SSE (160 degrees) at 9 MPH (8 knots; 4.2 m/s) Visibility: 4 miles (6 km) Clouds: few clouds at 25000 feet AGL Weather: HZ (haze) Text: **FM0800 20006KT 3SM BR SKC ** Forecast period: 0800 to 1400 UTC 11 September 2005 Forecast type: FROM: standard forecast or significant change Winds: from the SSW (200 degrees) at 7 MPH (6 knots; 3.1 m/s) Visibility: 3 miles (5 km) Clouds: clear skies Weather: BR (mist) Text: **FM1400 21008KT 6SM HZ SKC ** Forecast period: 1400 to 1600 UTC 11 September 2005 Forecast type: FROM: standard forecast or significant change Winds: from the SSW (210 degrees) at 9 MPH (8 knots; 4.2 m/s) Visibility: 6 miles (10 km) Clouds: clear skies Weather: HZ (haze) Text: FM1600 22013KT P6SM SCT060 Forecast period: 1600 UTC 11 September 2005 to 0000 UTC 12 September 2005 Forecast type: FROM: standard forecast or significant change Winds: from the SW (220 degrees) at 15 MPH (13 knots; 6.8 m/s) Visibility: 6 miles (10 km) Clouds: scattered clouds at 6000 feet AGL Weather: no significant weather forecast for this period
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60% humidity is good. I would melt.
Good luck everyone!!
Dave
I didn’t check the rest or the posts here, but for the best and most accurate weather forecasts go to
Click on the Madison area-ish area of the Wisconsin map and look. Virtually every other Web site and service draws their forecasts from the NWS.
I should have pasted this earlier…so you don’t have to click:
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ifps/MapClick.php?MapType=3&site=ARX&CiTemplate=1&map.x=298&map.y=222
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