Meanwhile, we’ve all seen where companies state or advertise that their frame is the fastest “UCI-legal” or is faster than certain other UCI-legal frames. My understanding is this is because those bikes did not do better than non-legal bikes like the Lotus and the Airfoil Pro.
I think you have to be careful assuming that. If you are pitching to protour teams, then it is important to assess the competition. There are, for example, a lot of things that can be done within the UCI parameters to make a bike more aero than the competition that are not always present on a non-UCI-compliant design. The first three that I’d name would be:
- the hidden brake of the Hooker, now present on the Felt DA and the new Specialized
- the integrated front end fork/steerer combo, seen on the Look, Felt DA, and BMC TT01
- the curved seattube of the P3 that has been copied by many, many manufacturers
So, I actually don’t find the UCI restrictions to be as limiting as some people say. It is somewhat lore that a non-UCI bike will be faster than a UCI-bike. I say that because I’ve never seen anything that proves this. Look at Burrow’s monoblade fork. The monoblade fork actually tested worse than a traditional fork because the extra material required to make the fork strong enough to withstand the unique loading increased frontal area too much. The monoblade fork MIGHT have been faster if it could have been made strong enough with less material, but that technology did not exist at the time. Which gets us to what may actually be at the heart of the whole debate. A two-triangle design is a tremendously strong shape from strictly a structural standpoint. So, when you get into the limitations of existing materials, then you may end up with a limitation there. I.e., it is entirely possible that you need a minimum of X-grams of carbon fiber to make a frame that is structurally sound. And ultimately, the best possible design that utilizes those X-grams of carbon may very well be a double-diamond, or that at least, you can’t (with today’s technology) make a frame that is faster than a double triangle given that you need to use a certain amount of material. Put another way, why is the Airfoil Pro not substantially lighter than a bike with a seattube? I think, though accurate frame weights are notoriously hard to come by, that it is certainly among the lightest TT frames, but not measurably lighter. The answer, I think, is that you needed to move the material you took away when you removed the seattube, and had to put it somewhere else. And, it’s been suggested (not by me, though I may agree) that the redistribution of that material ultimately can negate the benefit of chopping it out in a particular place.
Now, this isn’t always the case, since by you own calculations, the airfoil beat the Talon (though the frames aren’t identical in terms of tube shapes except for the missing seat-tube, are they?), but the talon is not necessarily the “best in class” UCI-legal TT bike. The Softride is a rather extreme example. Look at how thick the downtube section of that bike is (and I’ve heard it was still quite poor in terms of lateral stiffness, a criticism that I have not heard about the Airfoil). There is no way, with current technology, that you could have made a softride with a P3C downtube that would have been rideable. You needed to make the bike stronger. Would it be possible, for example, to have even made the Airfoil out of aluminum? I tend to think not. And carbon represents a wonderful material for making a bike that can handle the load of frame that does not have a truss (if you think of the double-triangle design as a diamond with a cross-truss), but you do need to make it differently. It is certainly possible that it might be faster, but I don’t think you can take it for granted. The Lotus was (and is) a very fast bike. But it’s not obvious that violating the UCI’s aspect ratio rules is a good thing. You could very easily make a tube with a huge AR that was very deep (which would probably sell very well). But it would probably stall at quite low yaw angles, and perform quite poorly. I believe Josh from Zipp spoke about this regarding rim depth. There is a reason the 808 is 81mm deep. They chose not to go deeper for a reason. Of course, deeper sells wheels, but I haven’t seen any data showing that the 90mm HED Stinger or 100mm Blackwell thumps the 808. I’ve actually not seen any data that even shows it beats the 808. But I guarantee if I made a 110mm wheel, it would sell, regardless of performance. I think this same logic can apply to a non-UCI bike. People assume it is faster, but why? The assume the double-triangle frame is a limitation, but is it really?
There continue to be rumblings of “independent” tests comparing all these frames. But they have yet to materialize. It’s left to people to test their own. I will say that I know of a bunch of riders who’ve been to the tunnel who choose to ride the Airfoil, and I think that says a lot. And Macca did set a PR on his Kona marathon after making the switch to the Airfoil (did the watts saved, even riding in the front group, give him fresher legs? It’s very possible). But the test was not you sitting him down and saying “let’s put you on the fastest bike available.” It was you saying “let’s put you on the fastest Kestrel available.”
I think the Airfoil is a very aerodynamic bike. I don’t think that the fact that it does not conform to UCI requirements gives it an inherent advantage though.