So my wife and I just did our taxes and we’re getting screwed as usual because we’re DINKs (dual income no kids) and we are trying to find some ways to save. We’re considering buying a home to cross over the standard deduction barrier to where we can itemize, but until then we’re just looking at 2008 taxes.
If anyone can offer some thoughts or suggestions I would appreciate it! My wife and I both currently have traditional IRAs (past rollovers from old employer 401ks) and both also have Roth IRAs with low balances (we contribute as much as the employer will match at work and put the rest in the Roth IRAs). We currently are not contributing any additional to our traditional IRAs and they are growing just from earnings.
We haved owed about $2,000 the last couple of years and this year is no different. It’s not like we didn’t KNOW we were going to owe this year, but I would rather keep my money all year than pay extra taxes each month to the government. So anyway, I was trying to compare scenarios and have been getting lost in the details. But here is what I came up with:
Since traditional IRA contributions are tax deductible my wife and would both contribute $4,000 each for a total for $8,000 into our traditional IRAs, this would result in not having to pay $2,000 in taxes, but a small return of $500, so essentially a gain of $2,500. We would then reinvest the $2,500 gain, and take that on our taxes for next year, 2009. So I would be looking at a total traditional IRA investment of $10,500 (we do not reinvest the tax deductible savings for 2009 on the $2,500 reinvestment). I plug this in an online calculator, say I’m 30 years old, 35 years of growth, retire at 65, 8% average return with all else equal, no other contributions, no inflation, no withdrawls, etc. Total comes to be $106,000, post tax (33% bracket) of $71,000.
Now I compare that to placing $6,000 ($8,000 principal on hand minus the $2,000 we owe in taxes). In a Roth IRA, assuming the same of a retirement bracket of 33%, 8% average, 30 years investment, retire at 65, the online calculator shows $60,376.
So with this formula, I would come out ahead with the traditional IRA at $71,000 vs the Roth at $60,376. What am I assuming wrong here and what am I missing? I’m sure something, any help would be great. It looks as if I would HAVE to reinvest the $2,500 in tax deductible savings to come out ahead with the traditional, otherwise the Roth would trump. Thanks for the help!