I am thinking about renting a disc wheel for the NYC Triathlon (relatively flat bike course) on June 27th. I’ve been told by the cycle shop that the disc can increase speed 2 - 3 miles per hour, but I’ve also been told by a very knowledgeable cyclist that if there is even a modest cross-wind it could slow you down. Last year I did the bike leg in about 1:10 or about 21 mph average and this year I think I can get to about 1:06 or about 22.5 mph.
So, forgetting about the cost to rent the disc, how much improvement can I really expect?