A**rguable, certainly. And you’re right in that that’s been the argument in support of business with China. I’d say that so far, it’s not working too hot, and in China’s case, has the added drawback of wrecking our economy. But let’s say that in the long term, China ends up more free and democratic- 50 years from now, they’re less brutal than they are now, thanks in part to open trade. Do you think that the transformation is entirely one way? I don’t- I think the influence is a two way street. **
I don’t really see this point, the US is going to become a more brutal society because of the exchange? From what vantage? Government? Citizenry? You can make a case for cheap goods hurting jobs but I’ve seen no evidence of importing societal ills from china.
And how many of the crimes of the Chinese state does such a policy make us complicit in over that time? Do you think that the dissidents jailed in China are much comforted by the fact that Yahoo’s business dealings in China might one day lead to a more free China? *Is *Yahoo helping develop a more free China, or is Yahoo being coopted by the Chinese government to further censorship and maintain control? (Just for example.)
I don’t buy the complicity argument from a human rights stand point but the complexity of issues for and against trade go far beyond human rights. There’s a balance of “national interest” ranging from economic to security to human rights and in the long run somebody will be able to make your argument because our security and economic interests will outweigh our human rights goals and responsibility. (and I don’t have a problem with that) But, China is a much different and more complex story than Cuba.
Again, though, if it’s always the case that open trade is more effective at bringing about change, we should abandon sanctions altogether- South Africa shouldn’t have been isolated, Iran should not be isolated, we should buy more, not fewer, diamonds, etc and so on.
Same thing here, each country has a different balance of national interest issues and I don’t claim to be expert on any of them. But, when you look at Cuba, we have little military fear or economic fear of this little island so it’s primarily a human rights/democracy issue and our sanctions do more to empower Castro than to hurt him. For 50 years we have been Castro’s greatest weapon of propaganda against his people.
JJ