japarker24 wrote:
Andrew90 wrote:
1. Frodeno - no weakness. Don't think Kienle can run with him, Sanders/Lange maybe if they came off the bike with him... big ask. 2. Lange
3. Kienle
Women
1. Ryf
2. Crowley
3. Charles.
Can't wait!
Care to expand on your men's picks & tell us where you think Sanders will end up?
Sure. As I said Frodeno has no chink in the armour. He's gonna come out of the water a few minutes ahead of Kienle and Sanders. Given his cycling strength, he can come off the bike with them with relatively fresh legs. In reality, if he really put the hammer down he could probably come off the bike with a lead, but he doesn't need to.
Lange has shown he is a weapon on the run, but I don't think his bike is quite there to have him in contention for the W.
I expect we could see something similar to last year, Kienle spends a lot of tickets on the bike to get to the head of the race which means he will struggle to pump out lower than a 2.48 say. The only way Jan loses if Kienle is able to get 5 minutes into him coming into T2 - he is a good front-runner so that's what I'd be aiming for if I was Sebi.
Sanders is a bit of a wild card, and I think he could definitely be top 5. His weakness is obviously the swim and he's relatively unproven on the marathon here (as far as I know). I'd probably have Hoffman as another top 5 candidate as well.