He will definitely be on the podium for fastest Cameron. Just not sure if he can be on the top step.

I think Wurf is going to podium. If he is in contention he will dig deep on the run (something he has avoided in racing) and keep that in the mid 2:50s I believe.

Edit: Forgot to add, Cam is looking very very fit.

The only person standing in Cam's way is Ed Baker.

Ok, if he can swim fast enough to catch Starky and can 2 man TTT with Starkey, then the game of the win is on.

[/quote]

He will definitely be on the podium for fastest Cameron. Just not sure if he can be on the top step.[/quote]

Cameron Brown may have something to say about this.



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Once, I was fast. But I got over it.

Isn't he almost 50?

Brown, yes, if you round up (46).

I like his chances, especially if he makes front pack. He has been cruising all of his IM runs this year, and if he makes front pack he would break the course record with a 3h marathon. Depending on the wind the race can really turn to his favour big winds mean a bigger gap to the runners.
If weather is favourable, I'm predicting 48+4:10 (new record)+2:55

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Terrible Tuesday’s Triathlon

yeah, he has a chance because he has the ability to put pressure on everyone else on the bike.
wurf has stated that he did not overbike last year, he just didn't have the running legs having only recently switched from being a pure cyclist. he says his running doesn't really improve by biking easier so he takes the time where he can get it. i get the impression his running has improved massively in the last year though - he wasn't really training it much initially, being cautious about picking up the run effort. anyone thinking him a non-factor and letting him disappear on the bike could have a nasty surprise when he doesn't come back as easily as expected on the run. i'm not saying he will win or even podium, just that he could be a big factor in how the race plays out and if everything goes his way then a top result is not out of the question. if he finds himself still out front deep into the run it will be very interesting to see what he can really do

He swam 56 in Switzerland (does anyone know if that was wetsuit legal?), Where he finished 3rd, then finishes 2nd at Challenge Almere to someone I've never heard of (even with this amazing 2:52 run the Wurfers are touting- anyone got a GPS measurement of that course?)... And people here are predicting he beats the Kona course record????

That is absolutely nuts. I understand we like dudes who talk a big game, but sorry, he's not going to be on the podium. If he can't win a D race like Almere he is not going to be anywhere close to world champion.

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Ed O'Malley
www.VeloVetta.com
Founder of VeloVetta Cycling Shoes
Instagram • Facebook

His swim has been so-so the past year, but you can’t take any of his race results for what they are since he is just usung them as a catered training day. He switches off on the run and uses it to practice racing, nutrition etc. Watch Bob’s interview with Kienle or Wurf and they’ll tell you the same thing.
I do believe the 2:52 was a bit short, so prob a 2:54, but again that wasn’t all out. I don’t have him as my favorite, but i can definitely see how the race could play out extremely well for him.

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Terrible Tuesday’s Triathlon

record speed biking might not be a surprise for a ex-tour de france cyclist but it is amazing that he can swim front pack and run sub 3s with the seasonsed itu,olympic, ironman guys - full credit



most triathlon pros find it hard to do 2 or 3 ironmans in a year - while wurf did 6 ironmans plus some full iron distance workouts in training (see Babbit interview) and on top of that the training camps with chris froome in the mountains ... that performance is unbelievable!


on Babbit he says he likes to beat triathletes at thier own craft - so he doesnt even think of himself as a triathlete or identify with the sport - which might be fair since he only started a few years ago


one thing thats kind of less cool is how he often has a go at pros in his interviews/social media .... it reminds me of the films where the unknown bandit races into town on his horse in a cloud of dust , loaded guns in each hand and starts randomly shooting up the place ..... facepalm moment

"Computer says No"

Brits will get that.

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29 years and counting

He also stated he did (when he told Sebi and Sanders he tried to pave the way for them - LOL). Cam changes his tune so often that I'm not sure if he's trolling or just doesn't know what his actual opinion is.

On a normal day Wurf does not win and it is really hard to podium.

But again, on a normal day Lange does not win it either and he still did it last year. There were certain things that aligned and made this possible: easy conditions, Frodeno injured and Sanders making pacing mistakes.

So Wurf certainly needs things playing out in his favour:

1. Very hard conditions on the bike so that überrunners are too far behind or screwed.

2. Sebi having an off day (jours sans/ mechanical etc.)

3. Sanders doing something very silly

With all these things playing out a podium or even win is possible.

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10k - 30:48 / half - 1:06:40

Let’s just celebrate having another dynamic like Wurf in the race. The permutations that he adds, along with fellow bike nut cases Starky and Lyonel only makes it so much more interesting. Real pity we don’t have frodo. Burgs need to be acknowledged here too for being very accessible (though I did give him female advice once and it went over his head), hope to see him early into T2. Understand that EB has a friendly hot date at the finish line so he is definitely the smokie. Gomez to be picking up bits and pieces of himself just past the aid station coming out of the lab, Lange to repeat care of aero savings of 20,231 watts on the bike, runners rule here.

i think i'd put him in the jurgen zack category - he rides ~10 faster than the rest of the 'good' cyclists near the front of the pack, as did jurgen back in the day (~4:14 to ~4:25). jurgen never won kona but did podium, and generally did his best when he saved a few percent on the ride in order to run better. just my guess - for the record i'm stunned by how well wurf swims as a 'pure' cyclist.

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https://lshtm.academia.edu/MikeCallaghan

http://howtobeswiss.blogspot.ch/

Surely it depends how much help Froomey has given him all winter.

Nailed it.

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https://twitter.com/mungub

I don't think that just because he says he's not trying hard that we should believe it's true. He tried over and over to get under three in the run with several disappointments. Then he does it at Switzerland and calls it his pinnacle running achievement. We're supposed to believe what had previously been impossible for him was now just an easy stroll? I don't buy it.

And I can't see him suddenly getting 8 minutes faster on the swim in Kona than he was at other races this year ... I mean he was like 18th pro out of the water in Switzerland or something.

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Ed O'Malley
www.VeloVetta.com
Founder of VeloVetta Cycling Shoes
Instagram • Facebook

agreed . . . i'm not sure how cynical you are, but i am.

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____________________________________
https://lshtm.academia.edu/MikeCallaghan

http://howtobeswiss.blogspot.ch/

I see Wurf in the top 10, likely not top 5 and no way will he podium. Too many guys have a better overall SBR than Wurf has at this point.

Podium is a big maybe, win is unlikely.

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2020 National Masters Champion - M40-44 - 400m IM
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