Slowman wrote:
wetswimmer99 wrote:
Slowman wrote:
a power meter 20 years ago cost north of $2000. what does it cost you today? a carbon disc wheel cost you $2000 30 years ago. what does it cost you today?
I believe 30 years ago, HED disc wheels were about $350 or $400 for their standard weight disc wheel, and their ultralight version, which was maybe 100 grams light was another $100 more. Zipp discs in the late 1980s to early 1990s were all sub $1000, the 950 (Model name equal to wheel weight) and 1150 (cheaper and heavier wheel). I remember the Zipp reps used to put the 1150 on the ground and stand on them to show their ‘durability’. As to the earliest, custom made, low volume produced discs, I’m sure they were more, but I don’t think that’s a good comparison. The Campy Ghiblis were pricey when they came out (well over $1000) and so were the Accel Falcons, which were supposedly sub 800 grams. The J Disc, heavily used by sponsored athletes Pigg and Riccitello could be had for under $300. Anyway, lots of competition came pretty quickly in the late 80s / early 90s and prices were competitive.
Zipps Super 9 Carbon Clincher retails today for $2731, which is, adjusted for inflation, not cheaper at all than their wheels 30 years ago. As their top of the line wheel was sub $1000 in 1989. Inflation is roughly 100% over the last 30 years, so a $750 wheel should be selling for $1500 to be price equal. There are lots of cheaper disc wheel options today, inflation adjusted, but there are clearly some that are more, such as the Zipp. I currently own Zipp products, HED products, Shimano, and SRAM (including etap), and don’t have a dog in the SRAM pricing discussion, as I imagine they have done market research to price it the highest they can, and still sell the volume of units they wish to sell.
i first met steve hed in 1986 i think. i remember his first disc as $700. no cheaper. but maybe your memory is sharper than mine.
i don't think your zipp argument is pertinent here. i'm saying that halo products eventually flow down to commodity pricing, if you're patient. that happened with every tech you ride. you're arguing that no, that's not true, and as evidence you're supplying from today... another halo product!
no, today's zipp $2731 wheel is not evidence. that wheel, somebody's going to make it 5 years from now for half that price. i'm not saying zipp's halo product in 5 years is going to half what it costs now. there will always be a halo product out there. shimano will make a halo product. but in 7 years that basic tech will have flowed down to another shimano product line half that price, or cheaper.
we keep having this argument here. there's just a cohort of folks who're offended by halo products. this happens with every launch. it's the gay marriage problem, rebadged. the very existence of something happening 2 blocks over somehow makes your marriage less satisfying. i just don't understand that mindset.
I'd like to step into the pricing discussion.
The examples of people bringing in TVs is off-base in the details each time; HDTV and LCDs are very mature technology, so each model year tends to start slightly lower than the previous was at launch and then drop over the year. This is more like when LCD TVs first became commercially available; those were very expensive even in '90s dollars. Same for OLEDs. The TV sitting in front of me is the nicest I've owned and is a humble 55" TCL that I got for under $400 at Costco (thanks, early adopters!). If this were 20 years ago I'd certainly have a CRT in front of me, but looking forward to when the flat-panels plunged in price (and plunge they did).
The example of the IA is perfect as well though. That launched at what, $15k? Now you can get the IA10 with Di2 for a third of that, and less for the IA16 with mechanical shifting. And power meters didn't just drop in price recently; I started this whole thing about a decade ago when SRMs were north of $2k and Powertaps were huge, heavy, and cost $1200 (maybe more). And you had to send it back in for battery replacement, and it didn't work with GPS natively. The price has been coming steadily down over the years for all measurement locations.
In cars you can't look at the price of the vehicle itself but rather what you get for that price. Let's just look at safety - now you get a dozen airbags, traction control, stability control, ABS, and who-knows-what else rolled into your car by default. For less real money than that same car cost twenty years ago, and for added fun you get more power and lower emissions. Those technologies all first became available on expensive luxury cars.
That time that I got into cycling and triathlon, Campy had just release 11-speed. I got 10-speed 105 and stayed with 10-speed until this winter. I'm sure I'll be riding 12-speed eventually, maybe under the name R8200. In the meantime, I'll be riding and racing, and know that if the guy with AXS beat me it's probably because he trained more. I might still be on 10-speed if I hadn't wanted to upgrade to Di2.
The point is, ladies and gentleman, that speed, for lack of a better word, is good. Speed is right, Speed works. Speed clarifies, cuts through, and captures the essence of the evolutionary spirit.