I know my RD friends are in discussions with local permitting agencies/authorities on the feasibility of future events up to and including June. There is a lot of uncertainty around if these can be held safely by both the local permitting authority/ medical staff and even RDs. I agree with Brian, here.
I'm not an RD but all my clients are RD's - in some cases organizing some of the biggest running, cycling and triathlon races/events in Canada and a few in the U.S. Through some advocacy work that I'm doing for the business, I am in regular contact with many RD's all across North America each week!
Like a lot of things with Covid-19 - what we see is going to be very regionally specific. And ultimately local municipalities, who issue the permits are going to have the final say! An RD can plan as much as they like, for as many different scenarios as they like, or need to, but securing that permit is the final hurdle!!
For the Canadians on here, I hate to be the bearer of bad news, but I would be VERY surprised if we see any "normal" triathlons this year. We may see some smaller, Time Trail format kind of events with heavy protocols and social distancing in place. All running, cycling and other endurance sports races/events in the country through to about June 1, have already cancelled, postponed(if they can) or gone virtual! Makes sense - right now the gathering limits for people right now in most parts of the country outdoors is 5 or zero!! A LOT has to happen between now and June, for say even a couple hundred people together together.
Ounce deeper into the Fall, (unfortunately well past Triathlon Season here in Canada), I can see the possibility of some larger, getting-close-to-normal, running ad cycling races/events. I think the Live Music Concert Business, another business that has been absolutely hammered by all of this, is targeting the Fall of this year, for a start of some Concert Events. For us in the Endurance Sports Race/Events Business - they are a good business, to follow, because there are many similarities in terms of gathering and congregation.
Prediction - We'll not fully get back to normal in the Endurance Sports Race/Event Business, until 2022! (Trust me - because my livelihood depends on this business, I would love to be proven completely wrong about this. Unfortunately, I've had to make plans for Worst Case)
Steve Fleck @stevefleck | Blog