Andrew90 wrote:
It was a bizarre race so many (favourites) fell apart... Docherty, Bockel, Jacobs, Raelert etc. Think the uber-bikers wrecked the legs of many great athletes.
And yet if you look at the power files, it wasn't anything crazy, at least from an AVERAGE power standpoint. One thing I notice whenever I look at the power files of the guys in that front group is how high the VIs are. I don't think it's so much the pace. I think it's the surges. And with 27 guys in that front group this year, I think it was probably very surge-ey.
Bike position and equipment still counts for a lot. Not surprising that The podium was made of up guys with very good wheels, frames, & helmets and generally very good positions (FVL position is, ironically, the worst of the podium, but he makes up for it by running the stubby helmet, which is very likely better than if he chose a long tail helmet with his more upright position). Luke McKenzie's watts were not anything insane. In Kona? In the heat and humidity? Yes, it's impressive. But many of the guys who blew to pieces can hold similar power.
I also wonder to what extent the drafting effect mitigates cooling. We had a tailwind coming out of town, which already meant reduced airflow. Add in the reduced airflow from riding with 20+ guys in an environment that is already challenging and I wonder if that doesn't make the bike more taxing than it otherwise would be.
3.87w/kg - what Luke held - is not extraordinary. It's very good. But it should not be enough to blow guys to pieces. It's not enough - from a strict average standpoint - to say that guys were gonna drop like flies trying to match that pace.
With all the power files now being made public, I think it's more likely the tactics (surges, jockeying, etc), possibly the draft and reduced airflow (especially with a tailwind out of town, which is common), and possibly a hotter than normal swim this year that really blow guys to pieces. When you look at the average power, it's just not dramatic enough to explain the complete detonation of so many athletes.
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