Adman wrote:
oscaro wrote:
Some of the things you write are correct, however there is NO WAY Gomez can outrun Frodo by 7 min. He regularly runs 2:40 which would mean Gomez would have to run 2:33 which is not going to happen. I also don't think Gomez has a real shot at a gold in Tokyo as he will be too old.
As for Ali B I actually think he will do great things in ironman when he has fully decided upon it. And we will see next year if he's heading for Kona or Tokyo. I believe Ali would like a triple/quadruple oly gold and get that cbe
It's definitely possible given JG has taken up to 2 mins out of JF in ITU. And given JF ran 2:45 last year, 2:38 isn't out of the question.
I honestly don't think AB can stay fit long enough to get to Kona in optimum shape. AB at 80% can win ITU races, but with the duration and conditions in Kona I doubt 80% would be enough to finish, given his unrelenting style.
Just because frodo ran 2:45 doesn't mean that was his best. He regularly splits 2:40-2:42 and I'm sure he could do that in kona if he needed to. Don't forget he won by 5 min last year.
Also just because someone has raced a shorter distance faster doesn't mean they will be equally better on longer distances. There are tons of examples of this in the running world, people who are great at 5/10k but don't transition well to marathon.
As I said before, 2:38 is absolutely possible in kona and will happen soon, maybe already this year. We have Patrik Nilsson who ran 2:39 in 35° Frankfurt as well as Lange. If they are battling it out for a podium it will be fast!
As for Ali, ironman training will be less taxing on his body, and he has also said that steady efforts actually suit him better. Have no doubt he would crush full distance as he is a class above in all disciplines.
Terrible Tuesday’s Triathlon