JasoninHalifax wrote:
There’s a lot of good 100 guys right now. Adrian, Dressel are obviously the top 2, but not far behind you’ve got Pieroni, Held, Haas on a good day, and by then maybe Michael Andrew will be able to stretch his 50 speed to a 100. Plus others I’m not thinking of. I think Farris’ best shot is gonna be in the 2free and maybe the 100 back. There Murphy and then a little gap to the rest. I love Grevers but I think he’ll be too old. (Prove me wrong, please!!!!)
He has Haas and Pieroni to worry about at either distance. Seliskar was magic in the 200 this past summer, and Dwyer's always a threat, but, beyond those 4, Farris would seem to have the field of 200 contenders well covered at the moment. Like you, I believe there's more depth in the 100 free, and it's more of a crap shoot to even get a relay spot. The difference between being getting a 2nd at Olympic Trials (and qualifying to swim the individual event plus at least one and maybe as many as 3 relays), and 7th, where you're completely out, be ~0.25 seconds.
As for Michael Andrew, I just don't see him as any kind of threat to Dean in the 100 Free. I can't, for the life of me, understand how he can be so pedestrian in that event, given his 50 free speed, and his emerging excellence at all 3 stroke 100's. Honestly, he presents a far bigger challenge to Farris in the 100 back than the 100 free.
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