trail wrote:
windywave wrote:
Eyeroll emoji
It's a valid point. I will accept that there could be some situations where an armed populace can play a role. But most of those situations are where the armed forces are either sitting out the conflict, or else the armed forces can be turned (as they can possibly be turned in Venezuela - we'll see).
The Chinese armed forces are loyal, strong, and ruthless. They will just slaughter you, and disappear your extended family.
The eyeroll in Tiananmen is for the pleasant fairly tale that some recreational firearms in the hands of loosely organized amateurs stand any chance whatsoever against the PLA or People's Armed Police.
I agree with most of what you wrote. However I feel the calculus changes in China if the citizens had been armed.
This is all based on what i have read but my understanding is the Bejing military district soldiers were unwilling to attack their neighbors (it was more than just students protesting) so the Chinese had to bring in divisions from the sticks. The amount of armor was negligible relatively speaking. IIRC a couple of hundred PLA vehicles were destroyed during the rioting. The nascent protests throughout the country ceased after the slaughter.
Had the populace been armed, as I said before, it had the potential to be much bloodier. Maybe the leadership declines the violent approach in light of that. Perhaps the outlying soldiers wouldn't have been available since they would be needed at home to quell unrest. Maybe an armed insurrection takes place and a revolution occurs. Maybe there's no change in the outcome except more dead bodies on both sides. The armed citizenry opens up more possibilities.