BarryP wrote:
Not sure where you were going with that, so feel free to elaborate.
Nn that note, even if we look at just the murder rate, the US is the worst developed country in the world at 4.88/100,000 ranking 126th out of ~200ish countries. Most of West, South, and Northern Europe of murder rates at 1/8th to 1/4th of the US.
You're a smart and honest guy, so I'm genuinely interested in your perspective on this. I'm a gun owner, but have a hard time dismissing those numbers. How do they look if we, say, control for gang violence, poverty, etc.?
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Firearm related homicides track that way. Overall homicide rates donât. I donât understand why we want to divorce methods of homicides from the overall homicide rate. And, why should we disregard blighted urban areas when it comes to firearm deaths? It seems to me that you want to avoid any statistical measures that donât support your point, which is why youâve steadfastly neglected to avoid answering why countries with far lower gun ownership rates have higher suicide rates than the US. Also, many want to compare US firearm deaths to developed countries, yet it seems to me that in many ways, the US is more like itâs Western Hemisphere neighbors than it is to Europe. How many European countries are dealing with transnational gangs, like the US is?
To be honest, I'm not totally sure where I was going with some of that myself... :)
But, if you look at the rest of the discussion between me and oldandslow, he posted a really good link to an article in the Guardian that showed how gun homicides are really quite concentrated in this country:
https://www.theguardian.com/...-violence-in-America The fact is, the majority of gun violence in this country is concentrated in very small areas, even within violence prone cities. Chicago has a horrendous murder problem, but only in small areas; most of the city is quite safe. According to the article 50% of the gun homicides occur in areas with around 25% of the population. I haven't done any checking to see what happens to the US murder rate if you subtract that from the overall, but it has to make a dent.
The other point you bring up is poverty, which I'm sure correlates to gun homicides, but I don't think it's causal. The book "Ghettoside" is very illuminating; a lot of black on black homicide (at least in LA in the time period that was scrutinized) was driven largely by the fact that the vast majority of black on black on homicides went unsolved (due to understaffed and under resourced homicide departments) and unpunished, leading to a cycle of violence as communities determined that if justice was to be done, they had to handle it themselves. This fed on itself as people became increasingly distrustful of police due to their seeming lack of concern of black on black crime, which led to almost no cooperation with police, which led to a further decreased ability to catch perpetrators...a vicious cycle of violence that spiraled out of control.
Interestingly, though, it appears that NYC has hit upon a successful strategy of community policing that aims to build trust between the police and those they serve:
https://www.nytimes.com/...city-crime-2017.html (although the article does state that some criminologists don't think that the changes are what's driving the decline). But, for some reason, NYC has drastically reduced the number of murders....286 for 2017, as opposed to 650 for Chicago. Certainly, there is something going on in NYC that perhaps could be replicated in other violence prone communities.
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