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OFFICIAL Kona Prediction Thread
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Ryf. Gomez.

Who you got?

Ryf is better than everyone else and confident enough to take her time reeling in Lucy slowly on the bike. Even if Lucy makes it to T2 first (she won't), Daniela will run her down.

Lots of strong bikers this year will lead to some epic blowups on the run. With Frodo out I'll just pick the second best triathlete walking around planet earth.

/kj

http://kjmcawesome.tumblr.com/
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Re: OFFICIAL Kona Prediction Thread [kjmcawesome] [ In reply to ]
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Sanders

Ryf
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Re: OFFICIAL Kona Prediction Thread [kjmcawesome] [ In reply to ]
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Sanders
Ryf
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Re: OFFICIAL Kona Prediction Thread [kjmcawesome] [ In reply to ]
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Sanders
True
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Re: OFFICIAL Kona Prediction Thread [kjmcawesome] [ In reply to ]
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Sanders
Gomez
Currie

Ryf
Charles
Hall

10k - 30:48 / half - 1:06:40
Last edited by: ToBeasy: Oct 11, 18 2:08
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Re: OFFICIAL Kona Prediction Thread [kjmcawesome] [ In reply to ]
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Starykowiz will Make Triathlon Great Again
Helle Frederickson
Last edited by: maliki: Oct 10, 18 13:49
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Re: OFFICIAL Kona Prediction Thread [kjmcawesome] [ In reply to ]
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Sebi
Braden
Lange

Ryf
Charles
Miranda
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Re: OFFICIAL Kona Prediction Thread [kjmcawesome] [ In reply to ]
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Lange, Sanders, Sebi, Gomez, Currie

Ryf.........HJ, Rinny, Charles, Crowley
Last edited by: sjc166: Oct 10, 18 13:46
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Re: OFFICIAL Kona Prediction Thread [kjmcawesome] [ In reply to ]
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Gomez, Lange, Hanson

Charles, Ryf, Jackson
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Re: OFFICIAL Kona Prediction Thread [kjmcawesome] [ In reply to ]
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Sanders will have a poster of Gomez up in his pain cave by Halloween
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Re: OFFICIAL Kona Prediction Thread [kjmcawesome] [ In reply to ]
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Gomez
Wurf
Nilsson

Ryf
Charles
Carfrae

Terrible Tuesday’s Triathlon
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Re: OFFICIAL Kona Prediction Thread [ In reply to ]
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Sanders

Ryf
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Re: OFFICIAL Kona Prediction Thread [kjmcawesome] [ In reply to ]
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Braden Currie
Daniela Ryf
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Re: OFFICIAL Kona Prediction Thread [kjmcawesome] [ In reply to ]
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Ryf
Rinny
Charles
True
Haug

Gomez
Sanders
Lange
Kienle
Amberger

808 > NYC > PDX > YVR
2024 Races: Taupo
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Re: OFFICIAL Kona Prediction Thread [kjmcawesome] [ In reply to ]
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Males:
  1. Lange - People still underestimate the course and run course record holder. Its funny by now. Ohh and he still didnt show his full running potential - yet.
  2. McNamee - he is a beast in disguise of a sheep. Last year I made the mistake to underestimate him even though I was aware of him.
  3. Gomez - He is not van Lierde. So his 1st Kona is most likely Lange/Frodeno style. And thats 3rd place.
  4. Sanders - Normally a podium and even championship contender. Yet the combined power of Lange/McNamee/Gomez hunting each other down Ali Drive is nothing he can handle. No way.

Wild cards and dark horses (in descending priority):
  • Nilsson - just because he could do it - he has the potential to be in the Lange/McNamee/Gomez/Sanders league. Yet he should show that potential before its too late.
  • Kienle - I just dont see how he has the run to compete with Lange/McNamee/Gomez/Nilsson/Sanders, yet on a good day he might? And he has the experience... Yet I do believe it needs one or two DNF or penalties ahead of him to get on the podium.
  • Dreitz - its his first Kona. Yet he is one of the few who sometimes excel to an almost unbelievable level. Races where he swam ok to good, biked almost like Kienle/Wurf/Starky and still hammered a rock solid fast run. Its almost stupid to fully ignore him. Yet he probably faces the fate of most first time Kona - athletes... something goes awkwardly wrong.
  • Will Clarke - too easy to forget about him. Even more when seeing his past result. But he has the swim and the run and even the bike if you dig deeper. On a perfect day on the bike... he can make it to podium. Anything possible from 25 - 2.
  • Matt Hanson - might sound like a weird pick. And he might most likely fail and not even hit TOP10. Yet on the perfect day he can... touch the podium.


Females:
  1. Ryf obviously. She is at a level where they should send her to compete with the males. Just because she is so cool and fast. Problem is, she would still be at least TOP10...
  2. Charles
  3. Jackson

Am not that much into the female part so I took the obvious picks. Except: I hope for Huetthaler to DNF - but hey, thats how I see it.
Last edited by: heretic: Oct 10, 18 15:09
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Re: OFFICIAL Kona Prediction Thread [mdgreene] [ In reply to ]
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mdgreene wrote:
Sanders will have a poster of Gomez up in his pain cave by Halloween


lol

this

word

gomez, sanders, keinle
ryf , charles, rinny
Last edited by: d00d: Oct 10, 18 15:17
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Re: OFFICIAL Kona Prediction Thread [kjmcawesome] [ In reply to ]
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From what I can see at Trirating.com and Thorsten's report. A lot of the great swimmers are also great runners.
Maybe this year it will be a race from the gun on the swim leg with Gomez, Lange, Nilsson, Don, McName and Tutkin.
That can put pressure on the bikers and made them chase hard and early.

So they will all blow up on the run and the swimmers will be back after 20 miles.

Top three:
Nilsson
Gomez
Tutkin

For women
Ruf
Charles
True
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Re: OFFICIAL Kona Prediction Thread [kjmcawesome] [ In reply to ]
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Sanders

Ryf
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Re: OFFICIAL Kona Prediction Thread [kjmcawesome] [ In reply to ]
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1. Sander
2. Lange
3. Gomez

I think there will be a very good battle/chase between these three and then a bit of a time difference back to the rest of the field.

1. Lucy
2. Ryf
3. Rinny

I only put Lucy in front of Ryf because I think she has the right stuff to beat Ryf and if done correctly Ryf might just run out of Realestate to catch her. As dominate and awesome of a season as Ryf has had I think this might be Lucy's breakout moment. Then again, I am wrong all the time!
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Re: OFFICIAL Kona Prediction Thread [Cptnemo] [ In reply to ]
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1. Sanders
2. Gomez
3. Lange

1. Rye
2. Charles
3. Rinny

Let food be thy medicine...
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Re: OFFICIAL Kona Prediction Thread [kjmcawesome] [ In reply to ]
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Wurf
Ryf
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Re: OFFICIAL Kona Prediction Thread [kjmcawesome] [ In reply to ]
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I feel like as good as Lange is, Starykowicz throws a real wrench into things. Don’t get me wrong, I don’t think Lange is afraid of Starkey, not should he be as even he can’t put 25 minutes into Lange on the bike.

I can see a world where Sebi, Sanders, and especially Wurf feel as though, correct or not, that Starky shouldn’t get too far out in front causing Wurf, Sanders, and Sebi to really gap Lange and probably Gomez.

The trouble I’m having here is Gomez. I feel like he is in no mans land. I don’t think he can hang with Wurf and he is a good site better than Lange. So who does he ride with? Currie? Maybe?

Anyhow, enough rambling.

1. Kienle
2. Sanders
3. Gomez
4. Lange

Ladies:

1. Ryf
2. Charles
3. Haug

Sorry Rinny, too slow on the bike.

Dan Mayberry
Amateur a lot of things, professional a few things.
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Re: OFFICIAL Kona Prediction Thread [kjmcawesome] [ In reply to ]
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Gomez
Nillson
Keinle

Ryf - new course record. I've watched her interviews and Instagram and I've never her seen looking as fit EVER. I'd be surprised if she's not in the lead by mile 40 on the bike.
Haug
True
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Re: OFFICIAL Kona Prediction Thread [heretic] [ In reply to ]
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Is there an objective reason why most aren't giving Lange a chance?
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Re: OFFICIAL Kona Prediction Thread [Thorax] [ In reply to ]
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Might edit this on Friday...

Men

Top 3
Gomez
Sanders
Lange

2 Darkhorses
Currie
Cunama

Women

Top 3
Ryf
Charles
True

2 Darkhorses
Crowley
Rinny
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