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College football: what we learned
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What did we learn this weekend, regarding college football and the playoff picture?

I’ll offer:

There’s not much sense ranking teams with several weeks to go other than media hype and increasing fan interest. The volatility at the top can be substantial over the last few weeks.

When it comes to who will beat who and how badly, when “top” teams collide we don’t know jack.

Going undefeated looks better and better, regardless of conference and/or strength of schedule. (I’ll stand by my prediction that an undefeated Power Five champ will always get in.)

Some teams fold like a cheap suit when they get hit in the mouth and their hopes and dreams start to slip away (looking at you Notre Dame and Georgia). Others, love them or hate them, seem to find a way to grit it out (Alabama).

So, what did we learn?
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Re: College football: what we learned [DieselPete] [ In reply to ]
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well we learned that Army is 8-2 and undefeated at Michie Stadium this year! Yesterday's 'w' against the demon deacons weren't pretty but we got er done.

next up N. Texas in Denton and then a two week break before defeating Navy and bringing the CIC trophy home where it belongs :-)

/r

Steve
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Re: College football: what we learned [Steve Hawley] [ In reply to ]
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Steve Hawley wrote:
well we learned that Army is 8-2 and undefeated at Michie Stadium this year! Yesterday's 'w' against the demon deacons weren't pretty but we got er done.

next up N. Texas in Denton and then a two week break before defeating Navy and bringing the CIC trophy home where it belongs :-)

/r

I'm really impressed how well Army has played this year. You should be proud. Army Navy has the potential to be a close evenly matched game.
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Re: College football: what we learned [DieselPete] [ In reply to ]
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We learned the SEC is overrated again. Alabama was exposed.
Wisconsin runs the table and they are in
Miami is better than expected
OU may be worthy of a bid
The whole process is BS and 6 champs and 2 at large is the way to go
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Re: College football: what we learned [DieselPete] [ In reply to ]
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Notre Dame sucks. Yeah baby. Say it loud.

"The great pleasure in life is doing what people say you cannot do."
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Re: College football: what we learned [jkca1] [ In reply to ]
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jkca1 wrote:
Notre Dame sucks. Yeah baby. Say it loud.

Didn’t see that score coming. Miami may be for real.
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Re: College football: what we learned [windywave] [ In reply to ]
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windywave wrote:
We learned the SEC is overrated again. Alabama was exposed.
Wisconsin runs the table and they are in
Miami is better than expected
OU may be worthy of a bid
The whole process is BS and 6 champs and 2 at large is the way to go

I think the 5+3 is the future and will happen after one conference from the Power Five gets left out a few years in a row.

Why 6+2? From the AAC, MAC, Sun Belt, Mountain West and Conference USA, which can make a facts-based argument that it is better than the others? What would the criteria even be? Out-of-conference record over some number of years against the Power Five and against the other “mid-majors”?
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Re: College football: what we learned [DieselPete] [ In reply to ]
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We learned that the Cougs are 9-2. The mad scientist, Mike Leach, is for real. The last three years' win totals will be 9,8 and 9+(hopefully). Looking at WSU's record since he took over in 2012 makes it obvious. They struggled for a few years until his recruits started all playing, then they started winning. People want to play for this guy.

Go Cougs!
Last edited by: zed707: Nov 12, 17 12:37
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Re: College football: what we learned [DieselPete] [ In reply to ]
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That James Madison has the longest winning streak in D1 football. Yes the FCS is D1.

All I Wanted Was A Pepsi, Just One Pepsi

Team Zoot, Team Zoot Mid-Atlantic

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Re: College football: what we learned [DieselPete] [ In reply to ]
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DieselPete wrote:
windywave wrote:
We learned the SEC is overrated again. Alabama was exposed.
Wisconsin runs the table and they are in
Miami is better than expected
OU may be worthy of a bid
The whole process is BS and 6 champs and 2 at large is the way to go

I think the 5+3 is the future and will happen after one conference from the Power Five gets left out a few years in a row.

Why 6+2? From the AAC, MAC, Sun Belt, Mountain West and Conference USA, which can make a facts-based argument that it is better than the others? What would the criteria even be? Out-of-conference record over some number of years against the Power Five and against the other “mid-majors”?

The gap between the AAC as a whole and the "P5" is significantly less than the gap between the other 4 and the AAC. The reason they won't include them is money. What I'd really like is TV money mutualized over all conferences and teams.
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Re: College football: what we learned [windywave] [ In reply to ]
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I’m wide open to being convinced that the AAC is better than the other mid-major conferences but I need some data. Whatcha got?
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Re: College football: what we learned [DieselPete] [ In reply to ]
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DieselPete wrote:

I’ll stand by my prediction that an undefeated Power Five champ will always get in.

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Well, that's just common sense.

Pink? Maybe. Maybe not. You decide.
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Re: College football: what we learned [japarker24] [ In reply to ]
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japarker24 wrote:
DieselPete wrote:

I’ll stand by my prediction that an undefeated Power Five champ will always get in.

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Well, that's just common sense.

On another thread there were posters taking the position that an undefeated Wisconsin team would be left out.
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Re: College football: what we learned [Patrick E] [ In reply to ]
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Patrick E wrote:
jkca1 wrote:
Notre Dame sucks. Yeah baby. Say it loud.


Didn’t see that score coming. Miami may be for real.

Agreed. Miami played a hell of a game. On top of that Kelly's teams just do not show up for the games that count. Sure they can dominate mid-season, but towards the end where every game counts, the Irish just can't pull it off. I expect them to lose to Stanford next week as well.
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Re: College football: what we learned [DieselPete] [ In reply to ]
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DieselPete wrote:
I’m wide open to being convinced that the AAC is better than the other mid-major conferences but I need some data. Whatcha got?

Head to head AAC versus both P5 and the other 4?
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Re: College football: what we learned [windywave] [ In reply to ]
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windywave wrote:
DieselPete wrote:
I’m wide open to being convinced that the AAC is better than the other mid-major conferences but I need some data. Whatcha got?

Head to head AAC versus both P5 and the other 4?

That would be great. If someone showed me the AAC does X against the Power Five and the other conferences do somewhat or even much worse and that the AAC does X against the other mid-majors, then I could be convinced. But I need some numbers. And over some number of years.
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Re: College football: what we learned [Billabong] [ In reply to ]
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Billabong wrote:
That James Madison has the longest winning streak in D1 football. Yes the FCS is D1.

The Dukes? I wanted to watch the JMU - Richmond game but could not find it anywhere. Really good football played in the FCS.
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Re: College football: what we learned [DieselPete] [ In reply to ]
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DieselPete wrote:
windywave wrote:
DieselPete wrote:
I’m wide open to being convinced that the AAC is better than the other mid-major conferences but I need some data. Whatcha got?

Head to head AAC versus both P5 and the other 4?

That would be great. If someone showed me the AAC does X against the Power Five and the other conferences do somewhat or even much worse and that the AAC does X against the other mid-majors, then I could be convinced. But I need some numbers. And over some number of years.

Over the past three years AAC is 30 and 6 against the other non P5 conferences. Good enough?
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Re: College football: what we learned [windywave] [ In reply to ]
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windywave wrote:
DieselPete wrote:
windywave wrote:
DieselPete wrote:
I’m wide open to being convinced that the AAC is better than the other mid-major conferences but I need some data. Whatcha got?

Head to head AAC versus both P5 and the other 4?

That would be great. If someone showed me the AAC does X against the Power Five and the other conferences do somewhat or even much worse and that the AAC does X against the other mid-majors, then I could be convinced. But I need some numbers. And over some number of years.

Over the past three years AAC is 30 and 6 against the other non P5 conferences. Good enough?

Good start! Let’s say that puts them above the other mid-majors. Now can we put them in league with the Power Five? How are they against the Power Five and which Power Five is the worst against the other Power Five? Is there a big achievement gap there or no?

But 30-6 is definitely eye catching to me.
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Re: College football: what we learned [DieselPete] [ In reply to ]
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DieselPete wrote:
windywave wrote:
DieselPete wrote:
windywave wrote:
DieselPete wrote:
I’m wide open to being convinced that the AAC is better than the other mid-major conferences but I need some data. Whatcha got?

Head to head AAC versus both P5 and the other 4?

That would be great. If someone showed me the AAC does X against the Power Five and the other conferences do somewhat or even much worse and that the AAC does X against the other mid-majors, then I could be convinced. But I need some numbers. And over some number of years.

Over the past three years AAC is 30 and 6 against the other non P5 conferences. Good enough?

Good start! Let’s say that puts them above the other mid-majors. Now can we put them in league with the Power Five? How are they against the Power Five and which Power Five is the worst against the other Power Five? Is there a big achievement gap there or no?

But 30-6 is definitely eye catching to me.

19 wins over the P5 in the past two years before this season
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Re: College football: what we learned [windywave] [ In reply to ]
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windywave wrote:
DieselPete wrote:
windywave wrote:
DieselPete wrote:
windywave wrote:
DieselPete wrote:
I’m wide open to being convinced that the AAC is better than the other mid-major conferences but I need some data. Whatcha got?

Head to head AAC versus both P5 and the other 4?

That would be great. If someone showed me the AAC does X against the Power Five and the other conferences do somewhat or even much worse and that the AAC does X against the other mid-majors, then I could be convinced. But I need some numbers. And over some number of years.

Over the past three years AAC is 30 and 6 against the other non P5 conferences. Good enough?

Good start! Let’s say that puts them above the other mid-majors. Now can we put them in league with the Power Five? How are they against the Power Five and which Power Five is the worst against the other Power Five? Is there a big achievement gap there or no?

But 30-6 is definitely eye catching to me.

19 wins over the P5 in the past two years before this season

Against how many losses? And why not count this season?

If they play, say, .400 football against the P5 and a P5 also plays around .400 (or anything much under .500) against the other P5, I can be converted. But I also think it has to be over five years or more.
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Re: College football: what we learned [DieselPete] [ In reply to ]
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DieselPete wrote:
windywave wrote:
DieselPete wrote:
windywave wrote:
DieselPete wrote:
windywave wrote:
DieselPete wrote:
I’m wide open to being convinced that the AAC is better than the other mid-major conferences but I need some data. Whatcha got?


Head to head AAC versus both P5 and the other 4?


That would be great. If someone showed me the AAC does X against the Power Five and the other conferences do somewhat or even much worse and that the AAC does X against the other mid-majors, then I could be convinced. But I need some numbers. And over some number of years.


Over the past three years AAC is 30 and 6 against the other non P5 conferences. Good enough?


Good start! Let’s say that puts them above the other mid-majors. Now can we put them in league with the Power Five? How are they against the Power Five and which Power Five is the worst against the other Power Five? Is there a big achievement gap there or no?

But 30-6 is definitely eye catching to me.


19 wins over the P5 in the past two years before this season


Against how many losses? And why not count this season?

If they play, say, .400 football against the P5 and a P5 also plays around .400 (or anything much under .500) against the other P5, I can be converted. But I also think it has to be over five years or more.

Because the article I read was written in July
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Re: College football: what we learned [windywave] [ In reply to ]
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windywave wrote:
DieselPete wrote:
windywave wrote:
DieselPete wrote:
windywave wrote:
DieselPete wrote:
windywave wrote:
DieselPete wrote:
I’m wide open to being convinced that the AAC is better than the other mid-major conferences but I need some data. Whatcha got?


Head to head AAC versus both P5 and the other 4?


That would be great. If someone showed me the AAC does X against the Power Five and the other conferences do somewhat or even much worse and that the AAC does X against the other mid-majors, then I could be convinced. But I need some numbers. And over some number of years.


Over the past three years AAC is 30 and 6 against the other non P5 conferences. Good enough?


Good start! Let’s say that puts them above the other mid-majors. Now can we put them in league with the Power Five? How are they against the Power Five and which Power Five is the worst against the other Power Five? Is there a big achievement gap there or no?

But 30-6 is definitely eye catching to me.


19 wins over the P5 in the past two years before this season


Against how many losses? And why not count this season?

If they play, say, .400 football against the P5 and a P5 also plays around .400 (or anything much under .500) against the other P5, I can be converted. But I also think it has to be over five years or more.

Because the article I read was written in July

Fair enough.

This week we learned what pretenders the Hurricanes are. Got to think the committee will be rooting for Clemson to beat them up. That would clear up one potential headache.
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