chaparral wrote:
Also, Republicans are going to have to address their young voter problems. Just think about it. People that are close to 40 are going really remember only 4 presidents, Clinton, GWB, Obama, and trump. Do you think they are going to be very open to Republicans when the two ones of their adult hood are GWB and trump?I don't think its a question of young voters - it may be a question of all voters if current trends continue. Think about it: since 1992, there have been the following elections:
- 4 Outright wins by Democrats (Popular Vote & Electoral College): 92, 96, 08, 12
- 1 Outright win by Republicans: 2004
- 2 Republican electoral college wins where they lost the popular vote: 2000, 2016
If I'm the Republicans, I'd be worried about long term trends - especially as they look to squeeze ever more votes out of a shrinking share of the population. The electoral college can only come through for them up to a point, and even then it isn't always on their side - Obama had electoral college advantages over both Mcain and Romney. They're likely to keep the advantage in 2020, but if Texas stays blue/purple, suddenly that's 38 electoral college votes that they couldn't count on previously - or in other words... Ohio and Pennsylvania!