dalava wrote:
In this age of "money ball", maybe someone did some number crunching and figured out that the risk/reward analysis favors an open 3-pointer vs 2. My anecdotal observation is that for these guys, the percentage of open 3 vs 2 is pretty close.
Exactly, a 3 pointer is worth 50% more points than a 2 pointer and you are only something like ~15% less likely to make the shot. So even though you make less shots, you score more point. But there are other big advantages. It spreads out the defense, so defenders can't help each other and makes double teaming more difficult. Now your center is basically always in a 1 on 1 situation. Also, with the defenders spread out, it opens up lanes to drive towards the basket. That is why it is so effective.