Pyrenean Wolf wrote:
I'm pretty sure Cervelo will move, in order to counter Felt and QR mid-range disk brakes Tri bikes (4-7kā¬ range).
And also to counter next move from Trek and the big bad wolf.... Canyon
Cervelo P3 Disk, very similar to the P5 Disk, with similar (not yet satisfying) storage ?
4kā¬ for Ultegra mechanical + basic wheels
6kā¬ for Ultegra di2 + reasonable wheels
First pictures leak in Kona, then a 25 pages ST thread riddled with frustration of "why not yet launched" before an official presentation in march 2020 ?
4k (P3)
6k (P3)
8k (P5 + P3X)
10k (P3X)
12k (P5 + P5X)
16k (P5X)
looks like a stepped range :-)
my guess is that the P5X is going away. i may be wrong. maybe they'll reintroduce it based on the P3X frame and add some doodads to make it worth whatever the extra is. maybe bring back the 2pc pursuit bar and/or the travel case. maybe add an AM/FM radio. but the P3X is going to be the best frame in the PX platform, that's my guess. anything new will be a riff off this frame.
the old P5 mold and the U.S-built P5X mold will be retired is my guess.
which leaves us with the P2 and P3. i think QR has a strategic advantage over everyone else right now with the PR4 disc. If you want a really nice, well made, disc brake tri bike and you want to spend in the range of $3000, this is your bike. plus, because they have both paint and assembly at their chattanooga hdqt, they have some logistical mobility. this brand is ahead of everyone in this regard: canyon, cervelo, felt, specialized, trek. nobody can match this. are they making money? how well are they executing? i have no idea.
all of this could change tomorrow. but strategically that's how i see it. while cervelo did an outstanding, really outstanding, job with its aerobars, QR is relying on profile design, and PD is killing it with its aerobars. QR is saying, we'll stick to frames, we'll trust QR to make the bars. this has been a good wager for QR. the one area where cervelo has an advantage in front ends is with the speed riser. only tririg has realized the strategic advantage of this and has picked up on it.
so, pardon the digression, but cervelo is the other
disc brake tri bike maker, besides QR, that is hitting on all cylinders right now, and yes, i think you're right to assume that the next time you hear from cervelo about new tri bikes it'll be with a focus on the P2 and P3. i don't know this. but it would be the logical choice. what i can say is that i don't think anybody should wait to buy their sub-$4000 cervelo tri bikes. i have no tri bikes for the next several months on my "launch" calendar, tho i do have a tickler to check in with specialized on when the new shiv disc is shipping.
Dan Empfield
aka Slowman