http://images.intellicast.com/...raphic/HurTrack2.gif

3rd option... it hits both.

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How does Danny Hart sit down with balls that big?

Buddy of mine was looking at a 6 month job in Turks and Caicos over the winter. That plan might change soon as T&C is right in the bullseye forecast for Friday.

Cuba is going to get wholloped.

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Long Chile was a silly place.

Puerto Rico likely will get hammered and cannot afford to. They are bigtime in debt problems and understaffed at their power utility.

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They constantly try to escape from the darkness outside and within
Dreaming of systems so perfect that no one will need to be good T.S. Eliot

I am boarding a flight now to GA. Then tomorrow I head to AL and MS. All along the coast line in each state. Supposed to fly out of NOLA Friday am. I see some changes in my plans. Also supposed to be back in Savannah, GA next Monday. I am expecting to cancel that trip as well.

No place can afford to get hit.

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_____________________________________
DISH is how we do it.

Yeah. We are in full customer support mode getting them product that has been wiped out from store shelves.

We urge them to have hurricane inventory but 90% never do and then are scrambling at the last minute.

Harvey has got everyone on edge so people are trying to get ahead of this one.

Funny, I was going to post about it. So who is getting ready for it here besides me?

not to be dramatic but if a CAT5 hit Houston right now life as you know it could cease to exist. We have reservoirs holding billions of gallons of water that if they break will flood most of the city. The gas shortage would be bad, the fertilizer shortage would be worse.

Source?? Per the current data, Barker and Addicks are at 115,000 and 155,000 acre feet, respectively. Combined, that's 88 billion gallons. Still a lot of water, but most of the trillions that rained on Houston have made their way into the gulf. Each reservoir is draining at about 10,000 acre feet per day, meaning in the next 10 - 15 days, they will be close to empty.

A storm remotely equal to Harvey could overwhelm the reservoirs again and possibly cause them to break, but even if Irma headed to the Houston area, it would take many days to arrive.

As far as flooding the city, if the reservoirs were to break today, it would definitely wreak havoc on certain areas, but I doubt it would flood the entire city (the Buffalo Bayou corridor would certainly take a nasty hit, as well as downtown). The city is roughly 427,000 acres, compared to 270,000 acre feet at the moment, which translates to 7.6" per acre, which obviously would be concentrated in certain areas at several feet, and others would be left untouched.

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There are three kinds of people, those who can count, and those who can't.

All i know is the Dolphins-Bucs game will likely have to be relocated or moved to an earlier date. So that's a major inconvenience for us NFL fans, which is pretty devastating.

I forget, does Brady underinflate or overinflate for hurricane force winds?

Neither, hurricanes form in low pressure environments so the ball will automatically deflate itself, like friggin magic!

I'm in Atlanta, but family in Florida is planning to evacuate to my home as early as Friday to get ahead of traffic. I'm stocking up on a few things in the event power goes out from wind or what not if the storm moves north. My area seems to lose power at the drop of a hat, and if I have extra house guests I want to be prepared. Sister in Tallahassee reporting that some gas stations are empty and grocery stores out of water already. At least people are paying attention.

I am ready for Irma. I am ready, big time.

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How does Danny Hart sit down with balls that big?

P.S. - Jose just formed.

I am ready for Jose too. And Hose B.

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How does Danny Hart sit down with balls that big?

Didn't you move there not too long ago ? Is this your first big storm or were you from an area that gets them ?

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"I think I've cracked the code. double letters are cheaters except for perfect squares (a, d, i, p and y). So Leddy isn't a cheater... "

Yes, just moved here in June. I came from Kansas so certainly used to extreme storms and tornadoes, but much much much less widespread damage.

It's the age-old "would you rather be in a tornado or hurricane-prone area?" Tornado for me. Much less time to get wound up and stress out, you head to your shelter for an hour if you're in a threatened area, and unless you are in the direct path - minimal damage. The most damage I had in the 30+ years I lived there was tree limbs down, a few small trees uprooted from straight line winds, occasional hail damage but never enough for roof repairs. I did work for a factory that was directly hit by a mile-and-a-half wide tornado in 2012 -- extensive damage, manufacturing was suspended for a week, factory roofs blown off, gas leaks, power lines down across the road, glass everywhere from windows blown out, etc. I had to be escorted into my building wearing a hard hat to retrieve my laptop. But compared to the devastation of a Harvey or potentially an Irma, tornadoes seem so much less impactful.

Wherever it hits, it'll be expensive. Whether its Puerto Rico, FLA, GA, SC, NC or gulf coast, ultimately the US taxpayer will be on the hook for this.
The GOP will have to reverse the planned $1B in cuts to FEMA, and that will give Trump an out on getting from his wall promise. I suspect he may even change his tune on climate change, but try to put the blame on China for releasing all the greenhouse gasses.

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Remember - It's important to be comfortable in your own skin... because it turns out society frowns on wearing other people's

Good point

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They constantly try to escape from the darkness outside and within
Dreaming of systems so perfect that no one will need to be good T.S. Eliot

Do we have choices? I'm looking at a visit next late spring to Islamorada on the Florida Keys so my choice would be for a hard right turn out into the ocean.

It's a binary choice. Do you want Hillary or Trump? Pick your poison.

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How does Danny Hart sit down with balls that big?

However, due to the very significant pressure drop a hurricane brings with it he may actually need to inflate. I hope the Pats have a good meteorologist on staff.

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ΜΟΛΩΝ-ΛΑΒΕ
we're doomed

Been through a number of hurricanes. Couldn't imagine a tornado. I guess it comes down to what you know. Plus hurricane parties can be fun.

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"I think I've cracked the code. double letters are cheaters except for perfect squares (a, d, i, p and y). So Leddy isn't a cheater... "

I am, in Miami. I told my wife to fly to her sister's house in NOLA and take our 7 week old son w/ her. She declined. Doesn't want to abandon me or the dog. Probably mainly the dog.

It's too early to panic but not too early to prepare. They just cancelled Miami-Dade schools on Thursday. UM is closed for the week i believe.

We're in Gainesville, so probably safer than you, but still, it's worrisome. Grocery stores have not been emptied yet.

Parents live in Port St. Lucie. Father started boarding up the windows. This will be their 2nd hurricane since they moved down 5-6 years ago.

Im in Naples . Will be putting up storm shutters all day tomorrow and thursday for clients and for both of my properties.
My parents live in Marathon . Very worried for them.

My brother is in Naples too. He wants sandbags. Do you think they help? I'm planning on getting some and fedexing them as amazon is out of anything for delivery this week. But there is still availability at stores in Colorado.

We're flying down to Orlando tomorrow morning and for Disney till the end of next week. My parents are driving down tonight. Worse case if it looks like we're gonna get more than wet we'll just drive back up to auburn for Sunday/Monday and head back down Tuesday.

I get with Harvey fresh on everyone's mind that people are a little on edge. However. You'd think based out my cousins and uncles reaction all of Florida will be destroyed and uninhabitable for years. No one even knows where in Florida it may hit at this points.

I live in Florida. I've been in Minnesota and Omaha for 3 months working hail storms (all but one week has been in Omaha). I told LT83 that while most Floridians don't want the storm to hit because it will damage their house - I don't want it to hit because I'm afraid it will extend my storm season for another 2 months.

But, if it does hit the US, I'll probably get to go home for a couple of days before heading off to wherever they need me.

I really, really, really need to grow my software company so I can leave the storm chasing to younger people.

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"Go yell at an M&M"

And? They don't even know I feel it will hit mainland Florida yet or what path it will take if it does.

If the eye goes through Naples and back out to the gulf most of Florida won't be affected.

I wasn't debating that it's a big hurricane or that it'll do damage where it hits.

Best part of hurricanes.... they spawn tornadoes

Your wife needs her head examined

My parents are in Port St. Lucie, too. I'm in Gainesville and I'm stuck in between whether I should really stock up and take this thing seriously or just... idk. not. lol.


How am I going to upload my data to strava if the power goes out?

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@floathammerholdon | @partners_in_tri

It's only been about 3 decades since HS physics, but I'm still fairly sure the ball's perceived inflation is a function of the pressure differential between inside & out, so lower pressure outside will cause it to expand like friggin magic instead. You can test it by buying a bag of chips at sea level and driving it unopened into the mts...

Who could do that? I think that's impossible. Especially if they drive through Colorado and stop at one of the shops. No way would they be able to test it that way.

More fun to put a bag of Fritos in the microwave.

Yeah I totally went backward with my example, the ball would overinflate at low pressure. Still, twas a (bad) joke.

My parents just told me they are going to ride in out in their ocean-front condo near Jupiter. They have done it before, but none like this one if it hits near them.

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________
It doesn't really matter what Phil is saying, the music of his voice is the appropriate soundtrack for a bicycle race. HTupolev

Some areas are pretty sturated just from the heavy summer rain season. Fire depts are giving them out but the lines are huge. If theres lots o rain ,old naples area and some parts of bonita springs are gonna need sand bags.

Leave the software work to younger people and focus on what you do and know you can make money doing. They'll get it moving faster than you!

Why is it that Home Depot always run out of plywood before a hurricane hits? Do people not keep a supply of some sort of protection in their garages?

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_____________________________________
DISH is how we do it.

I agree. I don't do any programming any more. I will help with formatting customer data when my programmer is really busy and needs help, but I haven't programmed in 5 years. Where I am important is in pre-implementation, customer support and sales. I'm the face of the company (not a pretty one, but still a face) to most of our clients and others in the industry.

I wish I could find someone good to take over, or at least help out, with sales. We just need someone who is already in the industry and understands the software enough that our clients would trust him. Our sales cycle is often 1-2 years, so someone on a pure commission basis isn't going to last long - and our revenue probably isn't strong enough to hire and support the type of person we need while leaving enough revenue to pay the owners.

It is a catch-22. I am currently the best person to market it, but the adjusting gig pays so well that I can't afford to walk away from it. We're not growing as quickly as we were because I'm out adjusting, but with a couple of months of adjusting work I can pay my bills for the year and not have to worry about the months when I'm just working the software company. My goal is to pay off our house so we're debt free and then focus on the software company. The longer I stay on storms, the closer we get.

I've spent 25+ years building startup software companies. If it's truly a valuable idea then get it funded (Crowdfunding sites can be excellent these days) and put a team together to manage it. Yes, it's dilutive, but there are many startup software companies in the startup graveyard because the founder refused any dilution.

Thanks! I just shipped him 50 bags. He just bought his house two weeks ago- but says it is draining well in the current rain and is one of the higher houses in Naples park. Any other tips for a newcomer in prepping? He is putting up hurricane shutters.

I just sent you a PM.

https://www.theguardian.com/...ic-caribbean-islands

GOAT of Atlantic Hurricanes.

Not good...

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___________________________________________
http://en.wikipedia.org/...eoesophageal_fistula
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cerebral_palsy
2020 National Masters Champion - M40-44 - 400m IM
Canadian Record Holder 35-39M & 40-44M - 200 m Butterfly (LCM)

The Carribean is going be in a world of hurt after this. If it keeps staying on the line they are looking at so could the Keys.

I told one of my friends in Naples he can come up to Disney and stay with us. if it doesn't look like we're in the pathway since Naples very well could be hit real hard.

She wisened up. Flying to Nola. She did admit that she doesn't want to leave the dog behind with me.

Truth be told, I kinda sorta want to see this thing first hand.

crate and take the freaking dog - while at it, take you too!

And it's so damned strong that it doesn't matter where it hits: you get out of any path it might take.

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"Go yell at an M&M"

Hes fairly close to the coast. If the storm turns up to the north just off the beach its gonna bring in alot of storm surge. Some of the models are showing more of a track to the east . Lets just hope that trend continues.

Friend of mine was at Disney for a hurricane a few years ago. They closed the parks the day the storm hit and went down to minimum staff. He was at the Grand Floridian which apparently has a large glass atrium where a guy played piano most of the day. My buddy said it was like a scene from the Titanic.

The models have shifted it right in my back yard. I'm hoping it continues the eastward trend, which I think it will. At least we won't get the north east quadrant (Typically the worst part of the storm.) that way.

The stores are completely out if water and I spent a half hour in line yesterday filling my car with gas. I spent another 2 hours at Home depot because two of my windows are unprotected and the wood we had rotted from not being used.

I've taken more Xanax in the last few days than I have in a month. My stomach is in knots and I can't eat.

I'm at zip code 33462, you can google that to see where the storm is relative to my house.

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"When the power of love overcomes the love of power the world will know peace." Jimi Hendrix

Stay safe. Have her go to Pat O's and raise one for you.

I never realized that Disney World was so limited to when you could visit.

My former and wife's current employer, Nationwide, pulled out of Florida for both auto and homeowner's for the most part a few years ago because the exposure was too high. That decision is looking like a pretty good one right now. Wow, looking like it will run end to end.

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I'm beginning to think that we are much more fucked than I thought.

Are you staying ?

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"I think I've cracked the code. double letters are cheaters except for perfect squares (a, d, i, p and y). So Leddy isn't a cheater... "

I hope to. I have impact windows, generator, jugs of H2O and stores of food. I'm in coconut grove...Not in a flood zone.

I know, a cat 4/5 laughs at that level of prep but I'd feel safer at home w the pup then on the road headed to Tampa or Daytona.

You got enough beer to last too? Just making sure you're completely prepared.

My brother rode out one when he lived in FL. It wasn't supposed to be bad but something shifted and they got hit pretty good. He said it was like a train running over the house with the shaking and noise.

Stay safe if it hits.

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"I think I've cracked the code. double letters are cheaters except for perfect squares (a, d, i, p and y). So Leddy isn't a cheater... "

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"Politics is just show business for ugly people."

"The worst hurricane in recorded history"

LOL. Lots of people are starting to sound like Trump, big on rhetoric, not so much on facts...

It's the strongest Atlantic hurricane on record IIRC from the news brief this morning

The quote above: "Texas: We just had the worst hurricane in recorded history" is what I was referring to in terms of facts...

Especially since they are probably going to close'er down.

Latest models have it moving east, which is the best of all possible scenarios.

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"When the power of love overcomes the love of power the world will know peace." Jimi Hendrix

I'm in Savannah, GA, which is on the coast of GA, on the SC border. The current truth is that we're right in the crosshairs. We got whacked last Fall, but usually the Hurricanes miss us to the N and hit Charleston (SC), or miss us to the S and hit Jacksonville (FL). But I'm always the optimist.

Last Fall's hurricane was a pita. We fled inland for 3 days. I got to town as soon as they allowed folks to re-enter the county. Family came home the next day. Our block was w/o power for several more days. We have a generator so were able to run the main fridge and the beer fridge.

Work was kind of a mess. I'm in IT and all of our voice links and 3 of 4 data links were down. So re-routing voice and data traffic time and again as our external links slowly came back up was a 24/7 pita. Didn't sleep for a couple days. Was like being back in the Army.

Wife wants to go ahead and rent a cabin in the N GA Mountains and have us head our with the boys and the dogs. But I need to stay closer to work. There'll be some discussions of this tonight.

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Books @ Amazon
"If only he had used his genius for niceness, instead of Evil." M. Smart

By measure of economic impact, Harvey will have been the most costliest storm in history.

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Favorite Gear: Dimond | Cadex | Desoto Sport | Hoka One One

Irma is the strongest hurricane ever to make landfall in the Caribbean.
Harvey wasn't even the strongest ever to hit Huston! 1900 Galveston was both stronger(15 mph faster) and the most deadly hurricane ever to hit the US. Harvey and 1900 were cat 4. Irma is a 5. So was Andrew and katrina. Matthew last year. Ivan and Hugo

Katrina cough cough Sandy cough cough

By measure of economic impact, Harvey will have been the most costliest storm in history.

If that is how they define "the worst hurricane in recorded history" then they would be right. Personally, I think that's not a great way to measure the worst hurricane.

I have a relative right of Lantana off 95 in nursing home. Gotta check on what's up with her. Her granddaughter would have to get her out. My parents are 20 miles north of you.

Sounds like you plan to ride it out, huh? Put in lots of screws in the window panels.

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It doesn't really matter what Phil is saying, the music of his voice is the appropriate soundtrack for a bicycle race. HTupolev

[/quote] Latest models have it moving east, which is the best of all possible scenarios.[/quote]

Unless you live in 32920 like me. At least I'm on the same electrical grid as Port Canaveral.

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Lifeguard: "Do you need help?" Me: "No, that's just my butterfly."

I know the place you're talking about. Just west of the I. I live about 3 miles east of there.

They look like they have the place pretty well packed up. I drive by there on my way home from work, I'll peek at the windows and stuff.

I have Bahama shutters so all I have to do is put them down and bolt them to the wall. Only 2 widows don't have them and I have boards for them. I just need to put them up, about an hours work total. I'll do it Friday after work.

Cleaning the patio and the back yard, that's not easy. I don't have a garage so all that shiot has to go into the house. A small house at that. I'ts gonna be a very long, uncomfortable couple weeks if this storm hits.

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"When the power of love overcomes the love of power the world will know peace." Jimi Hendrix

Latest models have it moving east, which is the best of all possible scenarios.[/quote]

Unless you live in 32920 like me. At least I'm on the same electrical grid as Port Canaveral.[/quote]
As of 2 PM today it'll go through my front yard, right into yours. :(

http://www.wptv.com

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"When the power of love overcomes the love of power the world will know peace." Jimi Hendrix

Planning on seeing Gary Hall Sr?

I didn't know his camp was there but that might be something to do. Thanks.

Can someone explain this whole bottled water shortage to me?

Is is really so hard to dig out some plastic bottles from the recycle bin, rinse and fill with tap water? It always amazes me how much people will pay for bottled tap water.

Combined they won't equal the forecasted amount for Harvey. So what's your point?

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Favorite Gear: Dimond | Cadex | Desoto Sport | Hoka One One

I did qualify my comment with "By measure of economic impact." Is it the most powerful storm in terms of wind. Nope.

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Favorite Gear: Dimond | Cadex | Desoto Sport | Hoka One One

Trump's not gonna let Jose over the border.

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“Read the transcript.”

It's not hard to dig out some plastic bottles and rinse...if you don't mind risking getting sick.

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"Go yell at an M&M"

Pretty unlikely unless it's been sitting in a bin for a long time. You could add a couple drops of bleach if you're paranoid.

Irma has now been aimed right at Savannah for the last several news cycles. Unless the track changes, it looks to hit us Monday afternoon. We've rented a house in the N GA mountains for Sat-Tue. The coastal GA counties have already been put on "emergency" status by the guv. We expect evacuations to be "recommended" on Fri and mandatory on Sat. Work and home is all a dither. Big pita.

We had to evacuate last Fall because of Hurricane Matthew. Took most of week to get power back. That was a pita too. That said, it's kinda cool how utility trucks come from all over the country to help the hard hit region recovery quickly.

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Books @ Amazon
"If only he had used his genius for niceness, instead of Evil." M. Smart

Got any science on the probabilities of getting sick filling old water bottles or other containers and drinking from them for a couple weeks? To be clear, I don't understand FishyJoe to be talking about digging them out of a landfill.

Better yet, follow the old protocol of filling the tub with water. Yeah, wash your tub first, but that's not too complicated for most folks who wash their glasses with sufficient frequency to not get sick drinking out of them. And those that don't wash their glasses will do fine out of an uncleaned tub as they have plenty of tolerance, just as humans had in days past.

Also don't think folks even in worst case scenario are planning on living in Florida for six months before getting fresh water supply. This ain't TWD.

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________
It doesn't really matter what Phil is saying, the music of his voice is the appropriate soundtrack for a bicycle race. HTupolev

Just read storm surges could be 10-20 ft when hits Bahamas. I presume T and C would be the same. Most of those islands are not more than 10 ft above sea level. Logistically getting help there will be hard too. I hope they evacuate as many people as they can.

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They constantly try to escape from the darkness outside and within
Dreaming of systems so perfect that no one will need to be good T.S. Eliot

Storm surges tend only get that high with a larger land mass when the water has nowhere to go. Hurricane Matthew was feared to produce a storm surge of 15 feet on New Providence last year, but it was much less than that in the end because the water can just go around the island. Freeport had a larger storm surge from Matthew because Grand Bahama is a larger island.

But in this case the wind will do as much, if not more, damage because the wind speeds are so high. Florida will have a worse problem of both the wind and a storm surge.

Devastation where Irma has hit so far. Stunning. Feeling sick in my stomach for all in the path.

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It doesn't really matter what Phil is saying, the music of his voice is the appropriate soundtrack for a bicycle race. HTupolev

And much of that area is going to be hit again this weekend by Jose. Two major hurricanes in less than a week.

That's very cool. After Sandy my moms neighborhood had been without power for days. A convoy of about 15 trucks from South Carolina or somewhere showed up one morning and got things back on in a few hours. I also think it's great when they have them staged close by before or during the storm ready to go.

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"I think I've cracked the code. double letters are cheaters except for perfect squares (a, d, i, p and y). So Leddy isn't a cheater... "

As bad as Harvey was for the region I live in, I would much rather have days of rain and flooding than a hurricane. When Ike came through here a few years ago, the devastation was more severe. The post-Ike damage was much worse than post-Harvey. Sure more people have been displaced with Harvey, but houses are still standing. Hurricanes suck.

Here in NJ after Sandy, we had a tree service from Minnesota (IIRC) living in our neighborhood, they had so much work to do. I asked them, and they said they couldn't give away the trunks and branches for wood chips since the market was flooded.

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"Go yell at an M&M"

If you have the choice between wind damage and water damage you take wind damage every time unless we are talking about wind damage that turns houses and buildings into matchsticks. Then it doesn't matter. Pick your poison at that point. Flood damage is generally far worse. Damaged houses "are still standing" but it's a misnomer to a large degree because the longer a house goes without clean up or demo to flooded parts of the house, the house could end up being a total loss as the mold and rot will happen fast in hot and humid conditions. They can become quickly uninhabitable. All those homes flooded along the Addicks and Barker reservoirs will eventually be bulldozed to the ground. They won't be able to get to them for months and by then the home is long gone from a livability standpoint. We haven't scratched the surface yet as to the homes that will be a total loss.

I spent some time in New Orleans after Katrina and saw first hand what flood damage does to homes that couldn't be attended to within a reasonable time. There were entire neighborhoods bulldozed because people weren't able to get moldy and rotten stuff out of there for a couple of weeks.

Ike worse than Harvey? Ike caused $37.5 billion in damage to the region. Harvey's bill is expected to reach $200 billion.

---

Favorite Gear: Dimond | Cadex | Desoto Sport | Hoka One One

Unless you live in 32920 like me. At least I'm on the same electrical grid as Port Canaveral.[/quote]
As of 2 PM today it'll go through my front yard, right into yours. :(

http://www.wptv.com[/quote]
Be safe.

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clm
Nashville, TN
https://twitter.com/ironclm | http://ironclm.typepad.com

Jose is going to be a glancing blow and head straight North according to NHC

My dad, who just passed away at the end of last year, we just sold his house on Hutchinson Island 34949. The island is like 100 yards wide and maybe 1 foot about sea level. The last big storm washed out parts of the road. I can't imagine what a good storm surge would do to that island. Step mother now has a golf course house maybe 1.5 miles inland from the intercoastal waterway and should fair better. Unless the big nuclear power plant in Fort Pierce gets washed away.

Apples and oranges.

With respect to Ike, you have the worst of both worlds - suffer enough wind damage and flooding isn't your concern, it's water coming in from above. But the end result is the same - plenty of interior work. But honestly, I'd take the rain of Harvey over a combination of storm surge, hurricane force winds, tornadoes being spawned, and plenty of rain. But then again, I've survived Harvey, Ike, Rita, and Allison without any major issues.

Usually its hard to appreciate the damage in pictures. But wow St. Maarten and barbuda and the virgin islands in those pictures massive devastation.

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They constantly try to escape from the darkness outside and within
Dreaming of systems so perfect that no one will need to be good T.S. Eliot

I agree. Katrina and Harvey both sickened me but damn, Irma across those islands nearly caused me to vomit. Gut wrenching for sure.

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_____________________________________
DISH is how we do it.

For what it is worth, you have offered me some solace. I was, as I said, sick to my stomach earlier. Hadn't been affected like that in a while.

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________
It doesn't really matter what Phil is saying, the music of his voice is the appropriate soundtrack for a bicycle race. HTupolev

I'm seeing all these photos of the evacuation, but I haven't seen them reverse the flow on the interstates to double capacity.

My wife and I just commented on this while watching the morning news. They show miles and miles of backed up roads heading north from the Keys and then the greater Miami area, and like two dumbasses driving in the south bound lanes. Why haven't contra-flow lanes been implemented yet? Ridiculous.

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Favorite Gear: Dimond | Cadex | Desoto Sport | Hoka One One

I am fundraising for Houston and will be going in a week to meet with people and buy goods with the money raise. My friends 20 yo son is coming with to help. I am not ready to see the distruction.
Please donate to FreehugsfromCalifornia.wordpress.com
If anyone is taking up a personal and transparent fund for the Caribbean, I will gladly donate.

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_____________________________________
DISH is how we do it.

My brother was in Home Depot just south of Orlando yesterday afternoon and just for grins checked out the plywood aisle. There were 20 or 30 people sitting around in chairs just hoping that some plywood comes in; they been there since 6 AM.

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I miss YaHey

So, you live in Florida and you don't have a stash of plywood just for this type of thing? Sorry, not sorry, but you are about to get what you deserve.

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How does Danny Hart sit down with balls that big?

I'm guessing to continue to allow the flow of supplies into the area. That'll be shut down by the end of the day today.

Disney world closed through Monday

FDOT decided to repave northbound lanes on I-95 in the middle of hurricane season too. Personally, I'd work the southbound lanes this time of year but that's just me.

Ain't that the truth? People are not happy.

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_____________________________________
DISH is how we do it.

Because they closed? Maybe they should stay open to strengthen the gene pool

Interesting that none of the computer models, NONE of the computer models, 3 days ago showed the hurricane going W of FL.

Savannah GA's "mandatory" evacuation starts in 27min. An awful lot of folks have already left town tho. Wife evacuated with the boys yesterday. I'm home with the dogs. Neighbors and I are planning a block party tonight.

Work has been rough. 18hr days as we worked to execute our disaster recovery plan. This is going to be a nice vacation. The dogs are having an especially good time with me being home and playing with them all day.

---

Books @ Amazon
"If only he had used his genius for niceness, instead of Evil." M. Smart

Looks like it's now going up the Gulf side of Florida and Miami doesn't look like it's going to take as bad a hit.

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Favorite Gear: Dimond | Cadex | Desoto Sport | Hoka One One

Tell that to Chad Meyers will you?!

Interesting that none of the computer models, NONE of the computer models, 3 days ago showed the hurricane going W of FL. //

Not once they merged all the different individual models, but I think I heard there were like 50 or so in the European and 21 in the US models. When those were broken out individually there were some models showing the exact path it is on now. So someone will be the prediction winner once it is all over, but man those early US models were way off as compared to the European. They have consistently been well east of the actual path while the European has been pretty much spot on. I think they both didn't think it would hit Cuba so hard and that threw a wrinkle in the upward trajectory from that point.


Man I have a really good friend who lives in a condo in Naples within a 1/4 mile of the beach and he was still there as of yesterday. In the early models it looked like they would get hit hard, but not the brunt of the storm, now looks like he may get the worst of it. He is an ex world class swimmer, 30 year lifeguard and Fire Paramedic though, so don't expect to see him drowning. I joked that he will probably be all over the news on Monday doing reduces to others that are not so water proficient..

I checked the archives and the models from 3 days ago showed a 10% chance that Tampa would get hit. As Monty said, some of the models had it going west, but more had it going east so they showed that as the most likely path. If you read the NHC text discussions they clearly stated there was a high degree of uncertainty as to when it was going to turn north. The problem is when they put out their cone of uncertainty, most people associate that with how wide the storm is. The cone actually represents all the potential tracks the center of the storm might take and west Florida was always covered by the cone.

I have a friend who lives in Nassau, Bahamas. He said it was pretty much a non issue on that island. No damage to the place he rents. Even the garden/trees are fine.

Last year it was much worse there.

If Irma ends up being a non event in FL I'm taking the over on the number of dead for the next big hurricane hitting FL

If Irma ends up being a non event in FL I'm taking the over on the number of dead for the next big hurricane hitting FL //

No kidding. And I remember a lone model way back that had it shooting the gap between Cuba and Florida and heading for Texas!! I wonder if that is still a long shot, heading towards New Orleans and then slamming Texas with a ton of rain. Man they do not need that right now, barley dried out from the last one..

They keep mentioning this northern turn. So far nothing. As of right now through the next 12 hrs or so is the worst case here in Naples for this supposed turn. On shore winds are gonna push a lot of water . Maybe 5-10 ft.
My uncle stayed in Marathon. I pray for him that this keeps tracki g west for a while longer.

You're oriented on Tampa. I'm talking about the GA coast. The truth 48hrs ago had the hurricane coming right at us. But now, the hurricane is now more a threat to Mississippi than the GA coast.

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Books @ Amazon
"If only he had used his genius for niceness, instead of Evil." M. Smart

I just got home to Panama City, FL after spending almost 3 months on the road. While it would be nice to work close to home, I'll be okay if stays clear of PC.

Not sure who is mad? The 10 idiots who want to be outside in this crap? Epcot was basically dead today and it was perfect weather minus some rain. Hopefully Tuesday will be the same. All the hotels are doing something different but Contemporary has all its restaurants open and they will be doing kids activities and movie marathons tomorrow and monday. It looks like Disney is going to have 80mph winds max but mostly around 60s so it shouldn't be too bad.

A bunch of people from southern Florida came up for the weekend. According to the news a lot of people in Tampa are pissed since the weather channels
basically only went off the US models and not the European ones they're now rushing to evacuate.

Good luck to everyone in FLA. Hoping it's not too bad and everyone riding it out stays safe.

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"I think I've cracked the code. double letters are cheaters except for perfect squares (a, d, i, p and y). So Leddy isn't a cheater... "

My brother is just south of Orlando and they have a drinking game going where everyone has to drink when they hear "hunker down". So I had 20 or more of my friends text him "hunker down".

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I miss YaHey

I just got on the interweb after being away since early morning. I did get a call from Dad four hours ago and he told me about the change in forecast He's not too worried anymore (Juno Beach). Hope you are feeling more at peace, friend.

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It doesn't really matter what Phil is saying, the music of his voice is the appropriate soundtrack for a bicycle race. HTupolev

I'm up early this morning. What a mess this is going to be. We saw this one coming in slow motion but it's just so hard to evacuate the number of people they have to move. Think of all the nursing homes that require staffing to keep going and then you have to move those people. Prayers for Florida people.

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They constantly try to escape from the darkness outside and within
Dreaming of systems so perfect that no one will need to be good T.S. Eliot

This sucks!!!!

I'm so over the wind, rain, and noise.

Let it be over already.

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"When the power of love overcomes the love of power the world will know peace." Jimi Hendrix

Yep. I remember Ike. Hours, and hours, and hours. Seemed endless, and nothing like your house making noises you've never heard before.

Hurricanes suck.

It's the sound of the wind. Woosh woosh.

And it really hasn't even started. Supposed to be worse at 8pm. 😕

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"When the power of love overcomes the love of power the world will know peace." Jimi Hendrix

What city/town are you in?

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How does Danny Hart sit down with balls that big?

And it really hasn't even started. Supposed to be worse at 8pm. 😕

Not sure if you noticed but the big story is not the hurricane, storm surge, lack of electricity, or flying debris. The big story is the bravery of the CNN anchors...

MSNBC is winning. Their reporter is lashed to a building... because too many cable news reporters have blown away bravely reporting previous hurricanes. "Stay safe."

Perfect day for scuba diving.http://cbs12.com/...hurricane-conditions

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DISH is how we do it.

Nova is around Lake Worth, per post above. East Coast, just south of West Palm Beach.

I'm afraid we're going to wake to stories, pictures, and video of destruction in South Florida. My parents are fine near West Palm Beach but their luxury condo with hurricane shutters had some water leaking in -- my dad said because some owners did not keep up their windows and storm shutters. But if that place had some problems (relatively minor), I'm guessing that many more less fortified places were hammered. And my folks were on other side of Florida from where eye hit.

Hang in there Nova.

Edit: As of now, around midnight, south of Jupiter, FL (Nova's area), is downgraded to tropical storm watch.

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It doesn't really matter what Phil is saying, the music of his voice is the appropriate soundtrack for a bicycle race. HTupolev