Login required to started new threads

Login required to post replies

Ironman Psych Sheets (updated for 2019)
I still may try to improve the predictions with more back testing of the algorithm, but for now I am using the same process as 2018 which worked pretty well.

2019 Psych Sheets
Ironman Texas Psych Sheet (January 10 start list)
Ironman Santa Rosa Psych Sheet (February 5 start list)
Ironman Boulder Psych Sheet (March 4 start list)
Ironman Wisconsin Psych Sheet (April 5 start list)
Ironman Maryland Psych Sheet (June 7 start list)
Ironman Lake Placid Psych Sheet (March 1 start list)
Ironman Canada Psych Sheet (May 1 start list)
Ironman Louisville Psych Sheet (July 9 start list)
Ironman Florida Psych Sheet (May 20 start list)
Ironman Chattanooga Psych Sheet (July 9 start list)
Ironman Arizona Psych Sheet (August 8 start list)
(country information wasn't available for some of the start lists, so for two athletes with the same name in different countries, I'm not making a distinction right now)

2018 Psych Sheets
Ironman Wisconsin Psych Sheet (July 5 start list)
Ironman Florida Psych Sheet (August 1 start list)
Ironman Louisville Pysch Sheet (August 9 start list)
Ironman Chattanooga Psych Sheet (July 3 start list)
Ironman Maryland Psych Sheet (July 2 start list)
Ironman Arizona Psych Sheet (April 5 start list)
Ironman Cozumel Psych Sheet (November 1 start list...harder to parse the start list, so there may be some missing data)
Ironman World Championship Psych Sheet (tried a different algorithm since most everyone has great past results)

Here is the background context for this project:

"Ironman races post a participant list, but it is typically just in alphabetical order. It's hard to know how many people are in your age group, how many Kona slots your age group will have, who the competition is, and how you stack up against it. I wrote a program that parses the participant list, calculates expected Kona slot allocations, looks up USAT rankings and best past IM/70.3 results, and tries to rank people by age group. It also shows if people have already qualified for Kona and if they started in Kona a particular year."
Last edited by: triryan: Aug 31, 19 17:21

Edit Log:

  • Post edited by triryan (Cloudburst Summit) on Jun 16, 18 23:00
  • Post edited by triryan (Cloudburst Summit) on Jun 16, 18 23:01
  • Post edited by triryan (Cloudburst Summit) on Aug 16, 18 17:43
  • Post edited by triryan (Cloudburst Summit) on Aug 24, 18 18:02
  • Post edited by triryan (Cloudburst Summit) on Aug 24, 18 21:12
  • Post edited by triryan (Cloudburst Summit) on Aug 24, 18 21:17
  • Post edited by triryan (Cloudburst Summit) on Oct 21, 18 18:16
  • Post edited by triryan (Cloudburst Summit) on Nov 2, 18 21:38
  • Post edited by triryan (Cloudburst Summit) on Nov 2, 18 21:38
  • Post edited by triryan (Cloudburst Summit) on Jan 19, 19 19:42
  • Post edited by triryan (Cloudburst Summit) on Feb 20, 19 21:22
  • Post edited by triryan (Cloudburst Summit) on Mar 8, 19 18:40
  • Post edited by triryan (Cloudburst Summit) on Mar 29, 19 21:49
  • Post edited by triryan (Cloudburst Summit) on Mar 29, 19 21:52
  • Post edited by triryan (Cloudburst Summit) on May 5, 19 15:09
  • Post edited by triryan (Cloudburst Summit) on May 18, 19 18:19
  • Post edited by triryan (Cloudburst Summit) on Jun 17, 19 20:01
  • Post edited by triryan (Cloudburst Summit) on Jun 29, 19 13:28
  • Post edited by triryan (Cloudburst Summit) on Jul 31, 19 0:02
  • Post edited by triryan (Cloudburst Summit) on Jul 31, 19 20:15
  • Post edited by triryan (Cloudburst Summit) on Aug 31, 19 17:21