Duffy has looked great this year but it is hard to tell to what extent her running has improved versus a down turn in the rest of the field. The best 4 Brits and Jorgensen have been consistently 1-2 notches better than Duffy on the run, and they are all absent this year. The best we have are some splits against ladies like Ueda, Gentle, Zaferes. Duffy has compared favorably to all those. One thing seems clear though: Duffy runs better than most off a hard bike and does best when she is able to dictate the race tactics. I thinks she wins this weekend but has to run head to head with someone better than she has run against so far this year.