STP wrote:
I started serious swimming at 12 and am 54 now although once I "retired" at 22 I have not considered myself a total endurance workout nut but, I am also not sure I can fairly elevate what I have been doing because of bias (see below). The science makes perfect sense to me. But, it is just saying there is a risk, not that everybody is going to have heart trouble. I just chalk that risk up to one of the many risks I accept as (primarily) a cyclist these days - increased skin cancer risk from hours in the sun, crashes (already have a nice collarbone plate and a nice collection of other scars), overuse injuries (my shoulders were already in rough shape from swimming before I started regularly slamming them into the road but my knees seem to be holding up), cars, and any of the number of weird ways you can get hurt on a bike.
I think many of us gladly accept these types of risks and, adding in a small chance of heart trouble to the pile is not going to get many people to quit. Although we all should be mindful of the risk so we don't ignore symptoms we see in ourselves or our friends.
What I do find amazing though is the prevalent mindset that "this must be good for me and therefore there is not risk at all" thought process. There are some seriously deluded people out there. I have a little of that but it is amazing that lots of people seem to be in full fledged denial that their training and competition regime could have any negative risks at all.
Good post.
A lot of people don't seem able to think in anything other than simple yes/no, good/bad ways. The world doesn't work that way. It's all shades of grey and trade offs. So many seem threatened by the idea that at some point endurance sports may increase the likelihood of heart issues. That doesn't mean that the other health benefits of exercise have gone away. It just means that at a certain point you may have exceeded the "dose" of exercise that's optimum for promoting health. It doesn't mean that the medicine (exercise) isn't still good for you overall.
Also, keep in mind what the numbers mean. A five fold increase in the chance of AF sounds scary, but what it really might mean is that instead of 1 person out of 1,000 it's now 5 out of 1,000. Journalists always present the numbers this way, because it makes for more interesting reading than presenting the actual numbers. Without knowing the actual numbers, saying there's an x% increase in risk doesn't tell us anything.
Edited to correct the math.
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Don Larkin
Reach For More
http://www.reachformore.fit/
USAT Lvl1 Coach, NSCA-CPT, NASM-CPT, BS Exercise Science