dave_voyageur wrote:
First, I added those studies not to disagree with you per se, but only to introduce the higher quality literature to this debate (comprehensive reviews and meta-analyses, rather than one-off studies without control groups). The Bosquet meta-analysis showed clear reductions in effect sizes of performance improvements in tapers > 2 wk, which partially addresses the OP's question.
Second, VO2max is only one component of endurance performance (endurance performance = VO2max x % sustainable VO2max x efficiency or economy). Small reductions in 2 variables, VO2max and %VO2max (threshold) = relatively big changes in performance. You are playing with fire if you taper too long for a half-IM or longer event, in which thresholds play a critical role in determining the rate of substrate utilization.
Finally, I think part of the issue is that we seem to be using different definitions of "fitness." In the performance modeling sphere, fitness = positive training effects and fatigue = negative training effects and performance (or most observable physiological effects) = fitness - fatigue. You seem to define fitness as the observed responses (VO2max, muscle enzymes, etc.)
If you stop training, the impetus for the positive training effects will begin to decline but their decreased influence on the observable changes are masked by the quicker reduction of the negative effects. However, if fitness is defined as these observable changes, then indeed one could say that they go up or are maintained when training decreases.
Either way, the positive training effects decrease when training is reduced and care is needed to avoid tapering for too long.
Time of taper is just but one aspect. Meta-analyses often have to lump groups together that may be critically different. Two week tapers could be two weeks reduced volume or the same volume with reduced intensity or both reduced ... There was no need for controls in the Hickson studies. The goal wasn't to determine if reduced was better than continuing training status quo for another 15 weeks, it was to determine if levels could be maintained. Since it's cross-sectional study a "control group" serves no scientific purpose to that hypothesis.
I know that VO2max is but one index, that's why I provided others.
For the purposes that are being discussed "fitness" is the status of the measureable positive effects of the training (Aerobic capacity (RBC volume, plasma volume, cardiac output), mitochondrial biogenesis, glycogen storage capacity, etc). Performance is influenced by "fitness" and negative effects of the training load (fatigue, inflammation, etc) though it is not really an A+B=C, but conceptually I get what you means and agree. I think that we are all in agreement that performance can be enhance by tapering. What I reject, and have done so with data, is that during typical taper periods (up to 3 weeks) that fitness levels (the positive measurables to performance in this context) will do down and the only reason that performance enhancements are observed is because the negative effects are reduced to a greater degree. I don't think I've even seen data presented here that demonstrated reduced positive physiological measurables of training during a taper that resulted in improved performance and THAT is what was being described as always happening during taper.