Generally speaking, rolldowns are unpredictable and appear random from race to race and AG to AG. Sometimes 3-4 slots roll down no more than 5th or 6th place, and then in one AG rolls to like 20th place. Race your best, and ALWAYS go to the awards because you never know.

Thanks, but I understand that is generally true. The question relates to IMMT and IMCdA in particular as late races in the qualifying calendar. Look at how the 70.3 championship works--they are pretty much up for grabs at the end. I know Kona never works like that, but you get the point.

I've wondered this too--last races before Kona slots are for next year. I imagine some AG roll pretty far but I'm just guessing....

Last year at IMMT there were some decent roll downs as I got a spot at 9th in 30-34 i know 40-44 rolled to 14th I think and not sure if it was 45-49 or 50-54 but it rolled to like 20 something. The guys reaction was amazing I've never seen a grown man so happy, it was awesome.