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Sure! Gain 2-3 minutes on the swim, lose 20 minutes on the bike and 15 minutes on the run.
I assume you're talking about Ironman-distance. I suppose that at that distance, skipping the endurance work needed for the bike and run would have a big impact on bike and run. However - the gain in the swim time is also likely more than 2-3 minutes. Given the OP's registered handle, he's probably not a great swimmer. Wildly guessing, there might be 10-20 minutes on the table there.
For me at Olympic distance - I was forced by injury to do a swim-focus winter last season. My swim time dropped by 4 minutes as a result, from 31 at end of season 2014 to 27 at first event in May 2015. I can't address affect on run time as the injury still hangs on, but my bike times did not suffer as much as you might have thought. I lost about 1 to 1.5 minutes which might map forward to a 10 minute full distance loss. The flat-out intensity of the swim interval workouts was such that I don't think I lost any aerobic fitness at all, but the leg power felt a little off till I got more spring miles into them.
I do think that run would really take a beating though, especially at full distance, with no running worked into the mix.
There are benefits to moving from LastIntoT1 to more towards the front other than the strict time gain:
- less tired getting on the bike. My swim time continues to improve, but I get out of the water more relaxed. The swim was panic-inducing when I started doing tris, and I'd get out battered and fatigued. Now it's just a swim, at a controlled pace that's slower than what I train at in the pool.
- easier swim traffic. The FOP swimmers have better swim awareness: they won't freak out if you touch their feet, they'll accommodate a pass without freaking out, they'll hold their lines better, they'll miss a stroke rather than bash you in the head a second time, etc.
- faster company for the rest of the event. If you are FOP for the run and bike, you'll leave T1 with your competition, and hopefully (depending on the event & wave structure) with less slow bike traffic in front of you to deal with.
and finally, swim training is still less boring than indoor riding, regardless of how many Sufferfest videos you have.