Re: ***Spoiler Alert*** 2018 Spring Classics Thread [McNulty] [ In reply to ]

Mar 21, 18 15:10

Post #326 of 843 (5107 views)

McNulty wrote:

echappist wrote:

PSA: E3 Harelbeke is Friday, followed by Gent Wevelgem on Sunday, and Dwars the following Wednesday. Make sure to load up on your beer for the following Sunday

Been noodling over here. I'm considering taking some flyers with some dark horsish picks here and there. Pretty interesting odds on certain guys and if you really know the parcourse and the weather and the peloton politics, there seem to be some reasonable 10/1 and up propositions. I'm not gonna get too cray, like as much as I appreciate the angry mashing pedal stroke of Damien Gaudin, the human steam engine, I'm probably not going to pick him, though he has done well at PR. But I will take one top fave and then go with riders from about 10/1 and up. Like I said, dark horse "ish". Guys with a real shot though maybe second tier.

where do you get the odds? they aren't provided in my local paper.

Re: ***Spoiler Alert*** 2018 Spring Classics Thread [dsmallwood] [ In reply to ]

Mar 21, 18 16:22

Post #327 of 843 (5095 views)

I get them from William Hill, a UK betting site.

Re: ***Spoiler Alert*** 2018 Spring Classics Thread [McNulty] [ In reply to ]

Mar 21, 18 16:49

Post #328 of 843 (5089 views)

It's a cobbled classic, so 100% odds for awesome.

Re: ***Spoiler Alert*** 2018 Spring Classics Thread [Carl Spackler] [ In reply to ]

Mar 21, 18 20:50

Post #329 of 843 (5065 views)

Carl Spackler wrote:

It's a cobbled classic, so 100% odds for awesome.

Word. They just go racin all over the damn place, in sketchy weather, through alleys, over rocks. Mid week, Friday, Sunday, whatever. People drink a lot of good beer. It’s cool. Once I get really old, I’m going over just to wander around for a month. No Sportifs. Hope money doesn’t fuck it up before then. Like, 2 years from now. Tops.

Re: ***Spoiler Alert*** 2018 Spring Classics Thread [McNulty] [ In reply to ]

Mar 22, 18 7:41

Post #330 of 843 (4963 views)

Yeah, screw the Tour. You can go over there now and see 3 classics with a monument kicker in a week and change, all while drinking gallons of beer. That’s the ticket.

Re: ***Spoiler Alert*** 2018 Spring Classics Thread [Carl Spackler] [ In reply to ]

Mar 22, 18 9:05

Post #331 of 843 (4947 views)

I'm going to start training this summer for the Belgian beer next March. Gotta start slow, lay down a good base.

I couldn't find any odds on E3 so for my "duh" pick I'll take....

Sagan.

then
Benoot, Naesen, van Baarle, Langeveld

first two are not very dark horses...

Re: ***Spoiler Alert*** 2018 Spring Classics Thread [McNulty] [ In reply to ]

Mar 22, 18 9:39

Post #332 of 843 (4936 views)

Sagan, Vanmarcke, Benoot,
Stybar and Naessen

Perhaps GvA could prove us all wrong, but I doubt it

Last edited by: echappist: Mar 22, 18 9:39

Re: ***Spoiler Alert*** 2018 Spring Classics Thread [echappist] [ In reply to ]

Mar 22, 18 11:11

Post #333 of 843 (4928 views)

My picks for E3 (trying to go a little off the beaten path):

Vanmarcke, Benoot, Kristoff

Trentin, Matthews

Re: ***Spoiler Alert*** 2018 Spring Classics Thread [echappist] [ In reply to ]

Mar 22, 18 11:59

Post #334 of 843 (4919 views)

echappist wrote:

Sagan, Vanmarcke, Benoot,
Stybar and Naessen

Perhaps GvA could prove us all wrong, but I doubt it

I'm just not a GvA guy but I think he's going to win a lot again starting this week or next. Can't see why not.

Re: ***Spoiler Alert*** 2018 Spring Classics Thread [McNulty] [ In reply to ]

Mar 22, 18 12:11

Post #335 of 843 (4916 views)

He was off form in Het Nieuwsblad, having the likes of Vanmarcke blast past him on a hill. Then nondescript in Italy...

Re: ***Spoiler Alert*** 2018 Spring Classics Thread [McNulty] [ In reply to ]

Mar 22, 18 13:22

Post #336 of 843 (4901 views)

Perhaps if he's going for the Ronde, but sure has looked off form in past couple races. Though the same can be said of Sagan not showing much.

Re: ***Spoiler Alert*** 2018 Spring Classics Thread [echappist] [ In reply to ]

Mar 22, 18 17:28

Post #337 of 843 (4875 views)

i'm not real sure about tomorrow. i think Sagan is going for PR, GVA for RvV, and Gilbert for both / either. so .....

Tiesj Benoot
Peter Sagan
Jasper Stuyven

Arnaud Demare
Niki Terpstra

Re: ***Spoiler Alert*** 2018 Spring Classics Thread [echappist] [ In reply to ]

Mar 22, 18 17:32

Post #338 of 843 (4872 views)

For E3 I'm saying:

Sagan, Stybar, Benoot
Stuyven, Durbridge

Re: ***Spoiler Alert*** 2018 Spring Classics Thread [ClayDavis] [ In reply to ]

Mar 22, 18 20:09

Post #339 of 843 (4851 views)

E3

Sagan, GVA, Stybar
Moscon and Naesen

Re: ***Spoiler Alert*** 2018 Spring Classics Thread [Ron_Burgundy] [ In reply to ]

Mar 22, 18 22:06

Post #340 of 843 (4842 views)

E3
Sagan, Vanmarcke, Naesen
Colbrelli, Valgren

Re: ***Spoiler Alert*** 2018 Spring Classics Thread [echappist] [ In reply to ]

Mar 23, 18 3:53

Post #341 of 843 (4830 views)

I'm putting in my GW picks early as I think I will be OOT. I'm figuring on a sprinter's day. and Sagan. always Sagan.

Oliver Naesen
Arnaud Démare
Peter Sagan

Alexander Kristoff
Matteo Trentin

Re: ***Spoiler Alert*** 2018 Spring Classics Thread [echappist] [ In reply to ]

Mar 23, 18 6:10

Post #342 of 843 (4811 views)

E3

Kristoff
GvA
Sagan

Vanmarcke
Stybar

Edit: Ooh, think I missed the start of the race with these picks, so feel free to invalidate me. But I promise I had no idea of the race situation when I made them.

Last edited by: trail: Mar 23, 18 6:49

Re: ***Spoiler Alert*** 2018 Spring Classics Thread [trail] [ In reply to ]

Mar 23, 18 7:51

Post #343 of 843 (4795 views)

trail wrote:

E3

Kristoff
GvA
Sagan

Vanmarcke
Stybar

Edit: Ooh, think I missed the start of the race with these picks, so feel free to invalidate me. But I promise I had no idea of the race situation when I made them.

Your entry will be entered.

------------------------------------

All the people we expect to be at the front are at the front with ~65km left. Only rider missing is Vanmarcke, who's frantically chasing; also missing is Eurosport coverage, and I'm having to tunnel to Belgium.

QS looks strong here.

Re: ***Spoiler Alert*** 2018 Spring Classics Thread [echappist] [ In reply to ]

Mar 23, 18 7:59

Post #344 of 843 (4792 views)

QS might run away from this... Terpstra and Lampaert leading the race with a 30 second gap to a second group containing Gilbert and Stybar

Re: ***Spoiler Alert*** 2018 Spring Classics Thread [echappist] [ In reply to ]

Mar 23, 18 8:07

Post #345 of 843 (4789 views)

Anybody find a vid feed?

Re: ***Spoiler Alert*** 2018 Spring Classics Thread [Carl Spackler] [ In reply to ]

Mar 23, 18 8:11

Post #346 of 843 (4784 views)

English feed:
http://www.ustream.tv/channel/MY4azsR4x87

Re: ***Spoiler Alert*** 2018 Spring Classics Thread [Ken] [ In reply to ]

Mar 23, 18 8:13

Post #347 of 843 (4779 views)

wtf is Gilbert doing here? Attacking from 3rd group with Benoot in tow to chase GvA, while 2 QS riders are at the front? GvA was never going to catch those two...

and Sagan is being a bit too cute here...

Last edited by: echappist: Mar 23, 18 8:15

Re: ***Spoiler Alert*** 2018 Spring Classics Thread [echappist] [ In reply to ]

Mar 23, 18 8:24

Post #348 of 843 (4769 views)

I'd be surprised if Sagan can make up the current gap. there is too much firepower out front. it is amazing how strong the QS squad is for the spring classics.

Re: ***Spoiler Alert*** 2018 Spring Classics Thread [echappist] [ In reply to ]

Mar 23, 18 8:37

Post #349 of 843 (4761 views)

echappist wrote:

wtf is Gilbert doing here? Attacking from 3rd group with Benoot in tow to chase GvA, while 2 QS riders are at the front? GvA was never going to catch those two...

and Sagan is being a bit too cute here...

QS in a super strong position overall. Let's see if they can dig deep and manage to screw it up.

Gilbert has dialed down this chasing, at least.

Last edited by: trail: Mar 23, 18 8:39

Re: ***Spoiler Alert*** 2018 Spring Classics Thread [trail] [ In reply to ]

Mar 23, 18 8:42

Post #350 of 843 (4754 views)

trail wrote:

echappist wrote:

wtf is Gilbert doing here? Attacking from 3rd group with Benoot in tow to chase GvA, while 2 QS riders are at the front? GvA was never going to catch those two...

and Sagan is being a bit too cute here...

QS in a super strong position overall. Let's see if they can dig deep and manage to screw it up.

Gilbert has dialed down this chasing, at least.

tbf, Gilbert stopped contributing once Benoot made the junction, but it seems that QS is just a loose organization of sole proprietors, and the strong riders don't mind sticking it to their teammates if given the opportunity. All that extra pushing Terpstra did on the hills, only to slack and have Lampaert come back; that's just futility in terms of riding a good TTT.

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