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Gas Prices 101
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After reading the other thread I thought I would put this out there.

Here is an overview of gas pricing.

Oil companies base their marketing margin on the difference between the wholesale “rack” price and what they charge their “branded” customers. So if the price for Joe’s gas or anybody who has a fuel delivery truck drives up to the common carrier rack and loads they will pay today in the SF East Bay Area 2.668 Cents per gallon of regular 87. By the way the price just went up 5 cents at 1pm today. If the oil company sells that same gallon to their branded dealer above that price marketing makes a profit, if it is below they claim a loss. So that 9 cents per gallon it not necessarily true.

They also make money at the well head with the oil they produce if they are intagrated. Say there fixed cost is $24 a 42 gallon barrel, they the sell it to themselves at whatever the market rate is that day. At $70 a barrel they in theory just made $46 but it all depends on what kind of oil the produce. The “record” prices you see are for light sweet crude but most crude is sour and trades at a significant discount to the light sweet.

The third area of profit is the crack spread. This is the profit the refiner makes by refining or cracking the oil into distillate products like gas, diesel, Jet A or whatever. This is generally stated on a per barrel basis.

Now the government gets in on every level of the process taxing and regulating it all. So on that rack priced gallon of gas above of 2.668 there is already taxes built in to the price. But now the big taxes get added. Onto the invoice is added .483 in tax. This includes 18.4 fed tax, 18 California tax, other misc tax totaling .374 cents per gallon as well a part of the sales tax that is pre collected. So right now in California at 8% sales tax there is close to 24 cents sales tax per gallon. So one could argue that there is close to $1 of tax on every gallon of gas sold in California.

You also need to take into account credit card fees of 2-3%. So at $3 if ou use a credit card at the pump the big banks get 6-9 cents taken right out of the gas station owners profit and this is added to the price as well.

So an integrated oil company is right now making way more then 9 cents per gallon and that is reflected it the huge profits you see reported. But you don’t hear too much about how profitable it is for the government as in addition to the tax per gallon the will now collect tax on these giant profits as well. California just announced they "found" 12 billion dollars in additional revinue. I would bet it is mostly from additional sales tax on the higher gas price.

Hope this helps.

Dave
Last edited by: Hinds57: May 1, 06 14:37
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Crude oil update [ In reply to ]
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2006-05-02 08:00:13 EDT
***MORNING PREVIEW: FACE-OFF WITH IRAN PUSHES PRICES HIGHER
5/2/2006 - Oil prices are once again march higher as the U.S., Britain, and France team up to introduce a resolution in the United Nations to stop from its uranium enrichment program in pursuit of a nuclear weapon.
The face-off with Iran, when combined with supply disruptions in Nigeria,

keeps the upward pressure on oil supplies.
West Texas crude and Brent crude prices are back over $74 per barrel and some pundits think prices will hit $80 before they drop back to $70.
Iran's Deputy oil minister has suggested that prices could hit $100.
Crude oil and refined product prices are higher in overnight trading.
Crude
has advanced about 50 cents, while refined product prices are up 1.25 to
1.75
cents per gallon.
The overnight increases follow yesterday's nickel gain in product values and nearly $2 rise in crude prices, making last week's large decline in prices a distant memory.
Spot prices followed the NYMEX higher and cash premiums for physical barrels remain very strong - especially for the harder-to-find RBOB gasoline

grades. Record premiums continue to highlight West Coast CARBOB trading.
We did see some of our first Gulf Coast deals based on the NYMEX RBOB futures contract. The 9 lb M2 unleaded traded on the Colonial 26th cycle yesterday at 12 to 14 cents under the June RBOB futures contract.
Barrels traded against the RFG futures contract came out to be about the same physical value as those traded against the RBOB contract.
OPIS has also begun to track spot prices for ultra-low-sulfur diesel starting May 1st.

EUROPEAN OIL PRICES AT A GLANCE
-----------------------------------------------------
Brent Crude: $73.63 up $0.63 dollars per barrel London Gas Oil: $205.75 up 0.75 cents per gallon

Dave
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Re: Crude oil update [ In reply to ]
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I know a volume buy of fuel , will knock about $1.20 -1.50 a gallon off the price ,even with road tax -fed -state it almost a buck cheaper . Seeing the retail price jet fuel - diesel , costs for 20,000 gallons. I think the stations are forced to hold their prices , They give you a sad story about 3 - 8 cents a gallon profit .
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Re: Crude oil update [Helitech] [ In reply to ]
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Right now if you buy a full tender of 50K barrels cash in advance you woldn't save more then 10 cents per gallon. The west cost market is tight. Unless you are talking jet A or red die diesel.

Dave
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Re: Crude oil update [ In reply to ]
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We bought 20,000 gallons of Jet-A last month , $1.80 . The fuel-er across the runway was sell it at 3.20 . Maybe we had some spot price multi-year buy deal , but the load prices all varied , so I dont think so. The driver said diesel was less .
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Re: Crude oil update [Helitech] [ In reply to ]
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We bought 20,000 gallons of Jet-A last month , $1.80 . The fuel-er across the runway was sell it at 3.20 . Maybe we had some spot price multi-year buy deal , but the load prices all varied , so I dont think so. The driver said diesel was less .

Jet-A is killing us right now. Last year at this time, I was paying 48k to fully fuel a DTW-NRT 747-400. This year, it's up to 103k for the same flight. NO airline, even with hedging (and many of those contracts are running out) can make a profit at 70 dollars-plus per barrel. I can't wait until we start getting more Airbus A330s and the new 787s. They sip gas compared to our jalopy DC-10s and the older 747-400s.

T.
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Re: Crude oil update [big kahuna] [ In reply to ]
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I think airlines must do the bulk of jet fuel consumption ,You would think they have it locked in at a "better than fair " price. Whats % is fuel ,in the total cost of operation ?
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Re: Crude oil update [Helitech] [ In reply to ]
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Wages and fuels make up 70 to 80% of our total costs. A dollar increase in a barrel of oil adds 100 - 200k a day to our bottom line cost of operating the airline.

T.
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Re: Crude oil update [big kahuna] [ In reply to ]
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Can you say: Boeing 787 ? Airbus is shi%%ing in its pants. For those who want "investigations" into "price gouging", etc. : Oil is a commodity: more people want it, less of it is available: do the math.

Tony Verow MD
Durango, CO 81301
Averow@bresnan.net
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Re: Crude oil update [big kahuna] [ In reply to ]
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"Wages and fuels make up 70 to 80% of our total costs" for airlines .

_________________________________________________

I think the recent 2 month increase is about 10 -15 % , add a summer price spike .
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Re: Crude oil update [Helitech] [ In reply to ]
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Some interesting thoughts that prices may finall be high enough to effect driving.

2006-05-02 09:35:59 EDT
***WESTERN MARKETS APPROACH "CRISIS" LEVEL; MAY CHALLENGE BEHAVIORAL PATTERNS
Many eyes in the oil trading community will be trained on West Coast markets today, where spot prices yesterday burst to new record highs that threaten to push local fuel prices to crisis levels.

Field reports say that CARBOB blends, the California blendstock to which 5.7% ethanol is added to create a finished reformulated fuel, soared to 70- 80cts gal over June futures prices last evening. That would put CARBOB spot values in some cases over $2.90 gal, and point to retail price averages that

could soon eclipse $3.50 gal.

That could set up an interesting beta test of sorts. Investment analysts who have pooh-poohed previous "crisis" price rallies have maintained that it

would take much more dramatic fuel increases to incite any true change in motorist driving habits. So-called "super-spikists" have generally predicted

that crude oil costs would have to hit $100 bbl before provoking behavioral changes that were registered in the late '70's and early '80's when fuel purchases surpassed various thresholds of personal disposable income.

But western gasoline has moved up independent of crude, and somewhat independent of gasoline in the rest of the country. A $2.90 gal spot price for CARBOB gasoline represents a value of nearly $122 bbl, perhaps putting it well beyond what a superspikist might have anticipated with $100 bbl crude.

California retail prices traditionally fetch about 60-70cts gal over the local spot bulk markets. So if these spot increases are sustained, they point to average retail pump prices in the $3.50-$3.60 gal range.

Ironically, the dynamic that many traders believe is driving Pacific Coast markets higher is illiquidity, with the perception among physical suppliers that it is just too dangerous to sell, given tight supply and uncertainty in

the offshore blendstock markets. East of the Rockies, many veteran traders believe that the paper markets have become "too liquid" with hedge fund and index fund money cascading into futures and options positions at an unprecedented pace.

The strength in California has filtered into other West Coast markets.
Retail prices in Hawaii have surpassed $3.35 gal, putting values there some 82cts gal above May 2005 levels. Arizona has quietly moved above $3.02 gal, a 64cts gal increase from last year. Nevada and Washington both now find average unleaded prices above $3.00 gal and Oregon is knocking on the door with an average street price of just over $2.96 gal.

Diesel has not been immune to the dramatic updrafts. Spot prices for CARB

diesel or the EPA material will begin this second day of May right around $2.50 gal and retail prices have breached $3.30 gal in California and are well above $3.00 gal in other western states.

Some traders believe the dramatic nature of yesterday's increases may signal a wind shift. They note that the physics of market rallies often resembles those of Summer fireworks - - there is often a "grand finale" that

suggests the market has run its course.

Dave
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