torrey wrote:
RangerGress wrote:
Interesting that none of the computer models, NONE of the computer models, 3 days ago showed the hurricane going W of FL.I checked the archives and the models from 3 days ago showed a 10% chance that Tampa would get hit. As Monty said, some of the models had it going west, but more had it going east so they showed that as the most likely path. If you read the NHC text discussions they clearly stated there was a high degree of uncertainty as to when it was going to turn north. The problem is when they put out their cone of uncertainty, most people associate that with how wide the storm is. The cone actually represents all the potential tracks the center of the storm might take and west Florida was always covered by the cone.
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