trail wrote:
racin_rusty wrote:
b bb bbb bbbut that's not the narrative, you must follow the narrative. The EU says so.
This is one of those ones where we have to mark the thread and check back in 10 years.
I'm not sure why, however, that so many in the U.S. are so emotionally invested in "Brexit?"
Even if we come back in 10 years, then barring extremes (e.g. UK going from strength to strength while EU collapses into chaos, or vice versa) it's likely we'll never know for sure if Brexit made things better or worse. Let's assume that following Brexit the EU has some really bad years, with other countries leaving, lots of countries in recession, etc and that as Europe is the UK's biggest trading market then the UK also has some lean times. You could blame Brexit for that, but you could also argue that all Brexit did was highlight the fundamental flaws in the EU model and that if it wasn't Brexit then another crisis would have come along sooner or later and had the same or a worse effect anyway.
I remember when the pound got kicked out of the Exchange Rate Mechanism (which was kind of the precursor to the Euro), and everybody said it was disastrous for Britain, but actually the weak pound and reforms that were put in place saw us bounce back pretty quickly and laid the foundations for an unprecedented period of growth from the mid-90s almost unchecked up until the banking crisis. I also remember when the Euro was launched without us, and a lot of people were saying it was the end of London as a major financial centre, since the centre of gravity would move to a Euro-city like Paris or Frankfurt. London won that one hands down. We'll see how this one plays out.
US is invested partly because there's still some pretty strong affiliations with UK - we all speak the same language (kind of), have a lot of culture in common (movies, music, TV, websites), lots of travel between the 2, and generally on the world stage we tend to be reasonably closely aligned. And partly because the US is going through a similar thing with Trump that we're going through with Brexit. Whether or not Trump gets in, the way that his success to date has completely flummoxed the establishment has a lot of similarities and a lot of the same root causes as the success of the Leave campaign.