It depends on wind conditions and how fast you are and what bike your riding. I think the more aero your frame is, the more it fares the wheels and reduced the impact of disc vs deep rear. Disc probably helps the most the more turbulence you have, as it smooths the air somewhat before it reaches the trailing edge.
My own anecdotal evidence at least, not owning a disc, when comparing my race times at disc. legal races vs. my time at Kona, tells me that the difference in the real world, is minimal at best. At low yaw, the old 808 or 404 front is still pretty fast. There was some article recently showing that the amount of time spend at yaw angles over 5 degrees was actually lower than previously estimated, and therefore the time savings data from wheel mfg's is less than is seen in the real world. However, in an IM< which is slower, you might see more savings.
I know BBS doesn't give much "weight" to a disc vs. a deep wheel unless its high yaw.
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