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NFL Regular Season Picks
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Week 1. If Dan is ok with it, we can put in some cash for all those participating. Top score takes all. Tie-breaker TBD?

NE | GB | HOU | NYJ | IND | MIA | CAR | SEA | ARI | DET | TB | CIN | DEN | DAL | PHI | SF
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Francois] [ In reply to ]
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Copied from my other pool (home team in caps):

Pittsburgh over NEW ENGLAND
Miami over WASHINGTON
NY JETS over Cleveland
Carolina over JACKSONVILLE
HOUSTON over Kansas City
Green Bay over CHICAGO
Seattle over ST. LOUIS
Indianapolis over BUFFALO
SAN DIEGO over Detroit
ARIZONA over New Orleans
Cincinnati over OAKLAND
DENVER over Baltimore
Tennessee over TAMPA BAY
DALLAS over NY Giants
Philadelphia over ATLANTA
Minnesota over SAN FRANCISCO

The devil made me do it the first time, second time I done it on my own - W
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [sphere] [ In reply to ]
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You let your fandom bias your picks

Suck it Steelers.
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [CW in NH] [ In reply to ]
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At work, we have a fantasy football league. One good thing about this is that start paying attention to a lot more in the game than just your team.
I ended up with Antonio Brown in my team, I forgot when we were drafting and was stuck in auto draft (got Edelman and Gronk so it was a productive night). Get to notice excellent players.
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [sphere] [ In reply to ]
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Regardless of where your fandom lies, did you really believe the Patriots would lose their first game back after what happened this off-season? And unveiling their Super Bowl 49 banner to boot?
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [champy] [ In reply to ]
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Three immutable laws of spherehood:
1) never bet against my Steelers
2) fuck Baltimore
3) fuck New England

I had no expectation of winning last night.

The devil made me do it the first time, second time I done it on my own - W
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [champy] [ In reply to ]
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champy wrote:
Regardless of where your fandom lies, did you really believe the Patriots would lose their first game back after what happened this off-season? And unveiling their Super Bowl 49 banner to boot?

And cutting communications on the Steelers' sideline by pumping the Patriots Network through their headsets?

I agree. No chance the Pats were going to lose that game.

If there are no dogs in Heaven, then when I die I want to go where they went. - Will Rogers

Emery's Third Coast Triathlon | Tri Wisconsin Triathlon Team | Push Endurance | GLWR
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [JSA] [ In reply to ]
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JSA wrote:
champy wrote:
Regardless of where your fandom lies, did you really believe the Patriots would lose their first game back after what happened this off-season? And unveiling their Super Bowl 49 banner to boot?


And cutting communications on the Steelers' sideline by pumping the Patriots Network through their headsets?

I agree. No chance the Pats were going to lose that game.

The NFL is in charge of those communication devices. The Pats claim that they also had issues. The NFL says that the issue was weather related.

Just throwing out some additional info.

Do you really think that Belichick is that bold to cheat so blatantly in week one after the shitstorm of deflategate?

How does Danny Hart sit down with balls that big?
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [BLeP] [ In reply to ]
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BLeP wrote:
Do you really think that Belichick is that bold to cheat so blatantly in week one after the shitstorm of deflategate?

Yes
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [JSA] [ In reply to ]
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You know the NFL supplied the headsets last night, right? And the Patriots headsets were getting the same audio from the radio broadcast? You know it was absolutely pouring in Massachusetts last night? And a lot of electrical problems were happening throughout the stadium? Or did the broadcasters forget to mention all this?

I'm not pushing the conspiracy/witch hunt like a lot of Patriots fans, but lets just take a collective breathe and realize that having the radio broadcast "bleed" into the headsets has no affect on the outcome of the game. Time to move on and not believe much more you are getting out of the mouth of anyone from the NFL, the Patriots, or the media.
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [sphere] [ In reply to ]
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sphere wrote:
Three immutable laws of spherehood:
1) never bet against my Steelers
2) fuck Baltimore
3) fuck New England

I had no expectation of winning last night.

I respect #1, I agree with #2, and I can understand #3.
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [windywave] [ In reply to ]
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windywave wrote:
BLeP wrote:

Do you really think that Belichick is that bold to cheat so blatantly in week one after the shitstorm of deflategate?


Yes

Shockingly, you do.

How does Danny Hart sit down with balls that big?
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [BLeP] [ In reply to ]
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BLeP wrote:
JSA wrote:
champy wrote:
Regardless of where your fandom lies, did you really believe the Patriots would lose their first game back after what happened this off-season? And unveiling their Super Bowl 49 banner to boot?


And cutting communications on the Steelers' sideline by pumping the Patriots Network through their headsets?

I agree. No chance the Pats were going to lose that game.


The NFL is in charge of those communication devices. The Pats claim that they also had issues. The NFL says that the issue was weather related.

Just throwing out some additional info.

Do you really think that Belichick is that bold to cheat so blatantly in week one after the shitstorm of deflategate?

You bet.

If there are no dogs in Heaven, then when I die I want to go where they went. - Will Rogers

Emery's Third Coast Triathlon | Tri Wisconsin Triathlon Team | Push Endurance | GLWR
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [champy] [ In reply to ]
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champy wrote:
You know the NFL supplied the headsets last night, right? And the Patriots headsets were getting the same audio from the radio broadcast? You know it was absolutely pouring in Massachusetts last night? And a lot of electrical problems were happening throughout the stadium? Or did the broadcasters forget to mention all this?

I'm not pushing the conspiracy/witch hunt like a lot of Patriots fans, but lets just take a collective breathe and realize that having the radio broadcast "bleed" into the headsets has no affect on the outcome of the game. Time to move on and not believe much more you are getting out of the mouth of anyone from the NFL, the Patriots, or the media.

You bet.

If there are no dogs in Heaven, then when I die I want to go where they went. - Will Rogers

Emery's Third Coast Triathlon | Tri Wisconsin Triathlon Team | Push Endurance | GLWR
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [JSA] [ In reply to ]
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JSA wrote:
Quote:


The NFL is in charge of those communication devices. The Pats claim that they also had issues. The NFL says that the issue was weather related.

Just throwing out some additional info.

Do you really think that Belichick is that bold to cheat so blatantly in week one after the shitstorm of deflategate?


You bet.


Sorry stupid question, I forgot that you've never met a conspiracy theory that you couldn't support.

How does Danny Hart sit down with balls that big?
Last edited by: BLeP: Sep 11, 15 5:56
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Francois] [ In reply to ]
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You're gonna have a helluva fantasy season with Antonio Brown, Edelman, and Gronk... They should just give you the title now.
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [champy] [ In reply to ]
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I also have Romo and Sanders.
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Francois] [ In reply to ]
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Francois wrote:
I also have Romo and Sanders.

Barry Sanders? He's a stud.
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [champy] [ In reply to ]
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Emmanuel Sanders. Broncos WR.
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [BLeP] [ In reply to ]
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BLeP wrote:
windywave wrote:
BLeP wrote:

Do you really think that Belichick is that bold to cheat so blatantly in week one after the shitstorm of deflategate?


Yes


Shockingly, you do.

It's the perfect time to do it as you adroitly pointed out: no one would expect it.
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [sphere] [ In reply to ]
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sphere wrote:
Three immutable laws of spherehood:
1) never bet against my Steelers
2) fuck Baltimore
3) fuck New England

I had no expectation of winning last night.

4) mike tomlin is one of the most overrated coaches in the NFL. or maybe he's just really that dumb
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [bullshark] [ In reply to ]
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bullshark wrote:
sphere wrote:
Three immutable laws of spherehood:
1) never bet against my Steelers
2) fuck Baltimore
3) fuck New England

I had no expectation of winning last night.


4) mike tomlin is one of the most overrated coaches in the NFL. or maybe he's just really that dumb


It wasn't Mike Tomlin, it was Omar Epps yesterday.
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [bullshark] [ In reply to ]
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He hasn't impressed me much.

The devil made me do it the first time, second time I done it on my own - W
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [sphere] [ In reply to ]
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Honestly, I think the Steelers could be really solid this year. They have a lot of new blood, and it may take a few games for synergy to occur.
They definitely looked like a playoff team yesterday, if they can fix the few issues they have. And as otto pointed out, hope that Roethlisberger slight limp
yesterday doesn't get worse.
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Francois] [ In reply to ]
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Agree, other than the secondary, the Steelers look like they'll be a solid contender come January-February football. DeAngelo Williams looked real good last night. Coaching would be my only concern if I were a part of Steeler nation.
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [champy] [ In reply to ]
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I think the Cowboys are going to be the real surprise this year...We'll see if I'm right Sunday against the Giants. But the drought may be over in TX.
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Francois] [ In reply to ]
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There will be nothing surprising about the Cowboys winning regular season games, especially against the Giants this year.

The surprise will be when the season turns into the new year and the pressure increases.
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [bullshark] [ In reply to ]
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bullshark wrote:
sphere wrote:
Three immutable laws of spherehood:
1) never bet against my Steelers
2) fuck Baltimore
3) fuck New England

I had no expectation of winning last night.

4) mike tomlin is one of the most overrated coaches in the NFL. or maybe he's just really that dumb

Agree Tomlin is overrated, must be from the headsets in the other stadiums around the league including Heinz Field. Not like he uses them any way since he always has that lost blank look whenever they show close-ups of him on the sideline, only thing missing is the giant question mark over his head.

Must be the headsets fault that Gronk was left uncovered quite a few times last night, or that the Steelers missed two field goal attempts, or that they had no answer for a four-tight end set (which the league will probably ban after this season).



"You can never win or lose if you don't run the race." - Richard Butler

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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Francois] [ In reply to ]
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Their offense is elite level now, pending the return of Bryant and Bell. Probably the most potent offense they've had since...well, ever. The offensive overhaul fits very nicely with talent; the days of Ben, Bettis, Hines Ward and co. were potent, but not built for high speed, high scoring competition.

The secondary is still the big question mark. If the potential of the LB squad is ever realized, they'll be back to Steeler form in the middle ranks, which is their bread and butter on defense. The next two seasons carry some serious potential.

The devil made me do it the first time, second time I done it on my own - W
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Francois] [ In reply to ]
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NE | GB | HOU | NYJ | IND | MIA | CAR | SEA | ARI | SD | TB | CIN | DEN | DAL | PHI | MIN
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [windywave] [ In reply to ]
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windywave wrote:
BLeP wrote:

Do you really think that Belichick is that bold to cheat so blatantly in week one after the shitstorm of deflategate?


Yes

Agreed.

Suffer Well.
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [champy] [ In reply to ]
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champy wrote:
You're gonna have a helluva fantasy season with Antonio Brown, Edelman, and Gronk... They should just give you the title now.

Putting up points on the Steels 'Tin Foil' Curtain defense should not be an indicator for the whole season. Next week they play the Bills. I suspect the Patsies won't put up as many points no matter how many of Rex Ryan's headsets fail.

Remember - It's important to be comfortable in your own skin... because it turns out society frowns on wearing other people's
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Guffaw] [ In reply to ]
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I was not using last nights game as an indicator of the whole season. Unfortunately for the Bills and every other team in the NFL, Edelman and Gronkowski have been doing what they did last night for years now. If you were a respectful person, you would have realized that I also mentioned Antonio Brown in my comment, and not because he had any eye-popping numbers last night. It was because I understand as a fan of the game that he is one of the best receivers in the game, regardless of what team he plays for.

I will not reply to your other drivel.
Last edited by: champy: Sep 11, 15 10:36
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [BLeP] [ In reply to ]
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Conspiracy. You keep using that word. However, I do not think it means what you think it means.

If there are no dogs in Heaven, then when I die I want to go where they went. - Will Rogers

Emery's Third Coast Triathlon | Tri Wisconsin Triathlon Team | Push Endurance | GLWR
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [JSA] [ In reply to ]
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Well the NFL is saying that it was weather so they are clearly covering for them amiright?!?

How does Danny Hart sit down with balls that big?
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [BLeP] [ In reply to ]
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BLeP wrote:
Well the NFL is saying that it was weather so they are clearly covering for them amiright?!?

Yeah, that happens all the time ...

If there are no dogs in Heaven, then when I die I want to go where they went. - Will Rogers

Emery's Third Coast Triathlon | Tri Wisconsin Triathlon Team | Push Endurance | GLWR
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [BLeP] [ In reply to ]
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BLeP wrote:
Well the NFL is saying that it was weather so they are clearly covering for them amiright?!?

Uh huh. And who controls the weather, one might ask.

Hmm?

The devil made me do it the first time, second time I done it on my own - W
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [sphere] [ In reply to ]
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sphere wrote:
BLeP wrote:
Well the NFL is saying that it was weather so they are clearly covering for them amiright?!?


Uh huh. And who controls the weather, one might ask.

Hmm?

Belichick.

Citizen of the world, former drunkard. Resident Traumatic Brain Injury advocate.
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Richard Blaine] [ In reply to ]
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Damn right Bill does:


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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Guffaw] [ In reply to ]
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Guffaw wrote:
champy wrote:
You're gonna have a helluva fantasy season with Antonio Brown, Edelman, and Gronk... They should just give you the title now.


Putting up points on the Steels 'Tin Foil' Curtain defense should not be an indicator for the whole season. Next week they play the Bills. I suspect the Patsies won't put up as many points no matter how many of Rex Ryan's headsets fail.

Based only on the first half against the Colts, you may be very right on that one. Looks like the Bills have put together a really solid team.
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [sphere] [ In reply to ]
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Well there sure were a few surprises before the last 2 games, the first one being Colts at Bills.
And the second already being discussed in another thread.
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Francois] [ In reply to ]
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The Colts were 3rd in the league last year in points scored. But they couldn't stop the run to save their lives and their offensive line was mediocre. So what do they draft in the first round. A 5-10 WR, you just cant help stupid. A ton of big injuries week 1. And Peyton still cant throw more than 20yds.

But the Bills always play the Pats tough, and when Brady gets happy feet, its not a good thing. But he got rid of the ball ridiculously quickly last week, we'll need more of the same.
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Francois] [ In reply to ]
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10-4 going into tonight's games. The real stunners are the losses of marquee players so early on. Dez, Suggs, Pouncey, and I'm sure there are others. It's a wonder any team makes it to the playoffs largely intact.

Buffalo will go 8-8. They are who we thought they are.

The devil made me do it the first time, second time I done it on my own - W
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [sphere] [ In reply to ]
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Still betting on them beating the Pats next weekend. It's Rex Ryan's ultimate season goal anyway. He could go 2-14 with two wins against NE and he'd probably be happy.
And SEA is probably missing Kam Chancellor a lot more today.
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Francois] [ In reply to ]
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I'm picking them over NE as well, because fuck them.

Denver over KANSAS CITY
San Diego over CINCINNATI
Arizona over CHICAGO
Tennessee over CLEVELAND
Tampa Bay over NEW ORLEANS
BUFFALO over New England
WASHINGTON over St. Louis
Houston over CAROLINA
PITTSBURGH over San Francisco
Detroit over MINNESOTA
NY GIANTS over Atlanta
Miami over JACKSONVILLE
Baltimore over OAKLAND
PHILADELPHIA over Dallas
Seattle over GREEN BAY
INDIANAPOLIS over NY Jets

The devil made me do it the first time, second time I done it on my own - W
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [sphere] [ In reply to ]
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KC | CIN | ARI | TEN | NO | BUF | STL | HOU | PIT | MIN | NYG | MIA | BAL | PHI | GB | IND
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Francois] [ In reply to ]
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Francois wrote:
KC | CIN | ARI | TEN | NO | BUF | STL | HOU | PIT | MIN | NYG | MIA | BAL | PHI | GB | IND

Agree with you on most of your picks.

DEN | CIN | ARI | TEN | NO | NE | STL | HOU | PIT | MIN | NYG | MIA | BAL | DAL | GB | IND
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Francois] [ In reply to ]
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Well, I have only CIN, ARI, PIT correct so far! At best, I'll go 5 and 11. Good thing my FF team is kicking butt.
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Francois] [ In reply to ]
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Francois wrote:
Still betting on them beating the Pats next weekend. It's Rex Ryan's ultimate season goal anyway. He could go 2-14 with two wins against NE and he'd probably be happy.
And SEA is probably missing Kam Chancellor a lot more today.

The problem is it turns into the players ultimate season goal too. Combine that with Ryan not having a disciplined hold on players, keeping them accountable for dumb penalties, and you get what happened yesterday. Aaron Williams still being in the game after two stupid, costly, extra-curricular penalties in the first quarter is all you need to know about a Rex Ryan-coached team. The exact same thing happened in NYJ. It's a great thing that he motivates players to run through brick walls for him. It's a terrible thing that he doesn't hold them accountable for poor play, undisciplined play.

For all his bluster about these games being huge for him, he's now 4-12 against Brady and Belichick, and that 2010 playoff upset is becoming a distant memory, just one win in his last eight games coaching against Brady/Belichick. Brady's numbers, against some incredible Jets defenses (and this fantastic Bills defense) are nothing to sneeze at either: since 2009 he has 26 TD's, 7 INT's in 14 games. And now he has the record for yards against a Bills defense.

I do worry about Ryan-coached defenses, partly because he has a good eye for talent and his aggressive schemes have definitely rattled Brady at times. But the bigger he makes these games out to be, the more undisciplined his teams are. Plays right into the Pats hands.
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Francois] [ In reply to ]
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7 - 8 right now.

Hoping I can get a win tonight at get to .500 for the week.


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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [JesseR] [ In reply to ]
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Just when we though the Cowboys season was going down the shitter....They make a bold move to save their season



--------------------------
The secret of a long life is you try not to shorten it.
-Nobody
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Francois] [ In reply to ]
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Francois wrote:
Guffaw wrote:
champy wrote:
You're gonna have a helluva fantasy season with Antonio Brown, Edelman, and Gronk... They should just give you the title now.


Putting up points on the Steels 'Tin Foil' Curtain defense should not be an indicator for the whole season. Next week they play the Bills. I suspect the Patsies won't put up as many points no matter how many of Rex Ryan's headsets fail.


Based only on the first half against the Colts, you may be very right on that one. Looks like the Bills have put together a really solid team.

Looks like we were both way off. The Bills' defense, including its 'Elite' front four looked very run-of-the-mill against a savvy Brady and his rookie O-line. As a Bills fan this is very troubling. At least its a better situation that Miami's: The $116M Suh did not even have enough spark to kick a fallen JAX player.

On the positive side the Bills the offense is not as bad as I feared. McCoy, Harvin & Incognito look like great pick-ups. They might still sneak into a wildcard but they won't take the AFC East title from the Patsies just yet.

Remember - It's important to be comfortable in your own skin... because it turns out society frowns on wearing other people's
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Guffaw] [ In reply to ]
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The Saints loss killed a lot of people from Survivor pools. Yesterday decimated the local radio stations by 80%. I picked Pittsburgh.
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Brownie28] [ In reply to ]
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Bills were very undisciplined yesterday, with dumb penalties and mistakes in coverage. On the Pats third TD when they lined up in the same goal-line formation as they did last week against the Steelers where a LB had to try to cover Gronk one-on-one, you could see a brief glimpse of all four guys yelling at each other afterwards in the end zone since no one covered him - not sure I they practiced that during the week but it looked like none of them knew what to do. Williams was a loose cannon where he also got into it on the sidelines with the coaching staff, should have sat him down at that point. Fourth quarter surge made it interesting but doesn't hide the fact the Brady had a career day and the Pats defense came up with eight sacks and three picks.



"You can never win or lose if you don't run the race." - Richard Butler

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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Brian in MA] [ In reply to ]
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Brian in MA wrote:
Bills were very undisciplined yesterday, with dumb penalties and mistakes in coverage. On the Pats third TD when they lined up in the same goal-line formation as they did last week against the Steelers where a LB had to try to cover Gronk one-on-one, you could see a brief glimpse of all four guys yelling at each other afterwards in the end zone since no one covered him - not sure I they practiced that during the week but it looked like none of them knew what to do. Williams was a loose cannon where he also got into it on the sidelines with the coaching staff, should have sat him down at that point. Fourth quarter surge made it interesting but doesn't hide the fact the Brady had a career day and the Pats defense came up with eight sacks and three picks.


Good analysis.

Basically Bill Belichick spent the week properly preparing his team for an important inter-division game. Rex Ryan used his week to strut, swagger and to make bombastic pronouncements.
Rex Ryan did get one thing 100% right - he admitted that the main reason for the loss was because he was out-coached.

I want to believe that the Bills are not screwed yet. The need to beat Miami next week. Winning 2-out-of-3 games against IND, NE & MIA would not be a bad start.
Then their schedule gets a lot more palatable with non-divisional games against: NYG, TEN, CIN, JAX, KC, HOU, WSH, PHI & DAL. Other than CIN and DAL all those teams will not have winning records - and DAL has some serious injury issues.
I may be a pie-eyed optimist, but the Bills seem good enough to win 6-out-of-9 of those games.


That leaves 5 games against against division rivals - as long as they take 2 or 3 of those they would be potentially in the wildcard hunt.

.

Remember - It's important to be comfortable in your own skin... because it turns out society frowns on wearing other people's
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Brian in MA] [ In reply to ]
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The Pats definitely got a bit complacent and made some coaching errors when the lead went up to 20+
It was a blow out that could have turned to crap for the Pats quickly. Good thing they tightened the game when they needed.
Seems to show that they could score whenever, and hold the bills whenever also, but that 4th quarter was sloppy.
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Guffaw] [ In reply to ]
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Despite the Bills going all Ryanesque on Sunday, I think they look like a potential playoff team. There is a lot of talent in that team. I guess we'll have an idea of where the Jets are tonight against Indy.
But if they're average at best, then the Bills could make the playoffs. Not sure what to think of Miami losing against the Jaguars though...
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Francois] [ In reply to ]
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The Jags beating Miami was less surprising to me than the Raiders defeating the Ravens or the Rams losing to the Redskins.

Another crazy Sunday in the NFL.

Suffer Well.
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [jmh] [ In reply to ]
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Agreed. Especially after the Rams took the Seahawks.
Many surprising stuff so far. But then again injuries happen so fast things can change very quickly. The Cowboys looked really good two weeks ago and suddenly the situation looks bad. Pats had the same when they lost Brady one year and gronk a couple of years ago. Rodgers' ankle... Manning's neck ...
16 weeks plus playoffs. A lot can happen.
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Francois] [ In reply to ]
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Francois wrote:
Agreed. Especially after the Rams took the Seahawks.
Many surprising stuff so far. But then again injuries happen so fast things can change very quickly. The Cowboys looked really good two weeks ago and suddenly the situation looks bad. Pats had the same when they lost Brady one year and gronk a couple of years ago. Rodgers' ankle... Manning's neck ...
16 weeks plus playoffs. A lot can happen.

Every year a team, even two teams some seasons, start 0-2 and make the playoffs. Sometimes you have a 2-4 team turn things around. Lots and lots of football to be played, and injuries dictate a lot of it...the Cowboys are sitting at 2-0 but it can't feel good as a Dallas fan knowing Romo and Bryant are out the next two months or so.

My surprises, so far:
--Miami struggling with Washington then losing to Jax. Lots of people had them as the 2nd best, or even the best, AFC East team. Suh seems to be making headlines for all the wrong reasons right out of the gates, too. Love the offense, but their defense hasn't been what people were expecting so far.
--Baltimore could be in for a rough season. Flacco's been reliant on big, physical receivers he can chuck the ball up to. Does he have one this year? Steve Smith will get his but I'm not seeing that second WR threat now that Torrey Smith is gone. The defense doesn't look as stout as years past, especially the secondary. Manning's noodle arm masked a bad defense, imo, the fact Carr tore them apart should be worrisome for Ravens fans
--Speaking of Carr, I kinda like that Oakland offense. I think that division is as wide open as any in the NFL with Manning a shell of his former self, but they'll have to bank a bunch of wins with their closing stretch (KC, @DEN, GB, SD, @KC). I still think the Denver defense keeps them atop the division but for the first time in a while I think Oakland might be a decent team.
--Never mind that Philly is 0-2...what the hell is going on with that offense? For a guy lauded from every corner as an offensive mastermind Chip Kelly hasn't exactly lit the NFL on fire now that he has 'his team'. Maybe ditching Shady McCoy wasn't so hot a decision?
--The horrible NFC South is a combined 5-3! Seriously though, I think Atlanta is a legit playoff contender, beyond them I'm not buying Carolina's 2-0 start (wins against the Jags and Texans), and TB and NO are pretty garbage
--Arizona might be my dark-horse SB pick this year, IF (big if) Palmer can stay healthy. Defense is legit, dynamic return man, and I like their young offensive weapons, I think they finally have a QB and complementary help for Larry Fitz, just a question of whether he still has enough in the tank to be the elite receiver all season they'll need. But I think they're as complete a team in the NFL as there is, besides maybe NE and GB.
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Brownie28] [ In reply to ]
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We can add the Colts to this list. What an embarrassing performance from someone who is usually an amazing QB. I don't think it's his pocket, as he had on several occasions, plenty of time to throw. Maybe the coverage against his receivers was an issue. I don't think the Jets played all that well. I guess we'll see Oct 25. If the Colts play like that on Oct 18, this is going to be a shit show.
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Francois] [ In reply to ]
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Francois wrote:
We can add the Colts to this list. What an embarrassing performance from someone who is usually an amazing QB. I don't think it's his pocket, as he had on several occasions, plenty of time to throw. Maybe the coverage against his receivers was an issue. I don't think the Jets played all that well. I guess we'll see Oct 25. If the Colts play like that on Oct 18, this is going to be a shit show.


I think people overlook how much he's benefited playing against the Jags, Texans and Titans six games every year. Houston is the only one that's had a semblance of a defense since he's come into the league and even then, they've been mostly a one-man show.

Team ranks in points allowed:
2014 -
Houston: 7th pts allowed, 24th passing TD's allowed
Jacksonville - 26th pts allowed, 12th passing TD's allowed
Tenn - 29th pts allowed, 22nd passing TD's allowed

2013 -
Tenn - 16th pts allowed, 1st passing TD's allowed
Houston: 24th pts allowed, 23rd passing TD's allowed
Jacksonville - 28th pts allowed, 22nd passing TD's allowed

2012 -
Houston: 10th pts allowed, 27th passing TD's allowed
Jacksonville - 29th pts allowed, 12th passing TD's allowed
Tenn - 32nd pts allowed, 29th passing TD's allowed

Anyway, Luck's stats against the AFC South and everyone else:
In 18 games against the putrid AFC South he (and the Colts) are 16-2, and he has a 92.3 rating, 7.4 Y/att, 32 TD’s to 11 INT’s (not great, but serviceable)
In 32 games against the rest of the league he (and the Colts) are 17-15, and he has an 82.8 rating, 6.9 Y/att, 57 TD’s to 37 INT’s (ugly)
In 6 playoff games he (and the Colts) are 3-3, he has a 70.8 rating, 7.0 Y/att, 9 TD to 12 INT (putrid)


Moncrief, Hilton, Johnson and Allen. He has the weapons, he's had time to throw, and he's been awful. Second coming my ass, he's another Stafford/Cutler playing in a cake division and with way, way more hype.
Last edited by: Brownie28: Sep 22, 15 6:04
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Francois] [ In reply to ]
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Francois wrote:
We can add the Colts to this list. What an embarrassing performance from someone who is usually an amazing QB. I don't think it's his pocket, as he had on several occasions, plenty of time to throw. Maybe the coverage against his receivers was an issue. I don't think the Jets played all that well. I guess we'll see Oct 25. If the Colts play like that on Oct 18, this is going to be a shit show.

The Colts will be fine... they still have 6 games vs. AFC South. That should be 6 wins.
They'll need to find 4 more wins out of the 8 games outside their division.
It'll be tough as they are playing the Patriots (Oct 18), Broncos (Nov 8), Steelers (Dec 6), but the other games are against NFC South... so they'll still probably win their division and get blown out in the playoffs.

Remember - It's important to be comfortable in your own skin... because it turns out society frowns on wearing other people's
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Brownie28] [ In reply to ]
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Decided to compare Cutler, Stafford and Luck since he first came into the league.

Luck - 50 games, 13,450 yards (269 yards/G), 89 TD, 48 INT, 1.85 TD/INT, 85.4 rating
Cutler - 43 games, 9,811 yards (228 yards/G), 68 TD, 46 INT, 1.47 TD/INT, 86.2 rating
Stafford - 50 games, 14,406 yards (288 yards/G), 75 TD, 51 INT, 1.47 TD/INT, 82.9 rating

GB has had a consistently solid defense and Minnesota's was good 2 out of past 3 seasons.

I'm not at all buying the hype with Luck, he's a 'gunslinger' who turns the ball over way, way too much to be a legit elite-level QB.
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Brownie28] [ In reply to ]
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Here are my picks for this week. Hopefully, I'll do better than this past week (4-12)

NYG | NE | ATL | IND | CLE | CIN | CAR | NYJ | HOU | SD | PIT | ARI | BUF | SEA | DEN | GB
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Francois] [ In reply to ]
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I'll hop in on the fun.

WAS | ATL | TEN | CLE | CIN | NE | CAR | PHI | HOU | SD | STL | ARI | MIA | SEA | DEN | GB
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Francois] [ In reply to ]
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PITTSBURGH over Baltimore (Uuuuuuuuugggghhhhh.)
INDIANAPOLIS over Jacksonville
CINCINNATI over Kansas City
Philadelphia over WASHINGTON (tough pick)
Oakland over CHICAGO
NY Giants over BUFFALO (also tough)
Carolina over TAMPA BAY
ATLANTA over Houston
SAN DIEGO over Cleveland
ARIZONA over St. Louis
DENVER over Minnesota
Green Bay over SAN FRANCISCO
NEW ORLEANS over Dallas
NY Jets over MIAMI
SEATTLE over Detroit

The devil made me do it the first time, second time I done it on my own - W
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [sphere] [ In reply to ]
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I've been sucking pretty bad so far...so I'd agree with what you wrote. I picked the Steelers (not sure if you saw that Landon Donovan offered to kick for them...)
I think Buffalo will win, Dallas will win. Other than that, I agree with you. Beware though it probably means that's way off.
In the meantime the Gators are ready to play Ole Miss and everyone in town thinks they're going to win. I wouldn't bet much on that despite the improvements.
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [sphere] [ In reply to ]
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See my last comment in my first answer to your post. Clearly my predictions are way off. At least at half time
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Francois] [ In reply to ]
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Quote:
PITTSBURGH over Baltimore
INDIANAPOLIS over Jacksonville
CINCINNATI over Kansas City
Philadelphia over WASHINGTON (tough pick)
Oakland over CHICAGO
NY Giants over BUFFALO (also tough)
Carolina over TAMPA BAY
ATLANTA over Houston
SAN DIEGO over Cleveland
ARIZONA over St. Louis
DENVER over Minnesota
Green Bay over SAN FRANCISCO
NEW ORLEANS over Dallas
NY Jets over MIAMI
SEATTLE over Detroit


Barring a catastrophic upset tonight, 11-4 on the week. All four losses were by 3 points or less.

The devil made me do it the first time, second time I done it on my own - W
Last edited by: sphere: Oct 5, 15 11:12
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Francois] [ In reply to ]
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Francois wrote:
Here are my picks for this week. Hopefully, I'll do better than this past week (4-12)

NYG | NE | ATL | IND | CLE | CIN | CAR | NYJ | HOU | SD | PIT | ARI | BUF | SEA | DEN | GB


Not quite sure how to determine your record given that you picked both NYG and BUF, and a team that didn't play...

The devil made me do it the first time, second time I done it on my own - W
Last edited by: sphere: Oct 5, 15 11:22
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [sphere] [ In reply to ]
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That was my pick for the prior week. check the date.
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Francois] [ In reply to ]
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Well shit. You did pretty darn well for picking the wrong week.

The devil made me do it the first time, second time I done it on my own - W
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [sphere] [ In reply to ]
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Lol sadly when looking at the previous week I did horribly :)
Kinda like predicting Florida would get killed by ole miss.
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Francois] [ In reply to ]
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10-4 this week.

How 'bout them Steelers!

The devil made me do it the first time, second time I done it on my own - W
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [sphere] [ In reply to ]
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Yep. Bad clock management though!
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Francois] [ In reply to ]
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It was basically last week's Steelers-Ravens game with a different result.

Wildcat. LOL.

The devil made me do it the first time, second time I done it on my own - W
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [sphere] [ In reply to ]
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You'll really want Big Ben against the Cards though.
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [sphere] [ In reply to ]
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11-3
The losses were Cleveland (OT), Buffalo (1 pt winner) and Pittsburgh (final play).

I'll take it.
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Francois] [ In reply to ]
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I want Big Ben against everyone.

You know your QB is a liability when you routinely snap the ball directly to your tailback, even on the final play of the game. How's that for a vote of confidence.

The devil made me do it the first time, second time I done it on my own - W
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [sphere] [ In reply to ]
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I like watching him play. Always amusing to count how many guys it takes to take him down. We need to create a QB who throws while moving like Rodgers, who can run around the pocket like Wilson, throw fast like Brady and stands up like Ben. Maybe it would make games rather boring though.
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Francois] [ In reply to ]
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Tough picks this week.

Atlanta over NEW ORLEANS
Cincinnati over BUFFALO
DETROIT over Chicago
NY JETS over Washington
Denver over CLEVELAND
Arizona over PITTSBURGH (breaking my own rule, here)
TENNESSEE over Miami
MINNESOTA over Kansas City
JACKSONVILLE over Houston
SEATTLE over Carolina
SAN FRANCISCO over Baltimore
GREEN BAY over San Diego
New England over INDIANAPOLIS
PHILADELPHIA over NY Giants

The devil made me do it the first time, second time I done it on my own - W
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [sphere] [ In reply to ]
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OK, I'll try this week

ATL | BUF | DET | WASH | DEN | PIT | TEN | KC | HOU | SEA | BAL | GB | NE | NYG

Guaranteed to be off.
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Francois] [ In reply to ]
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NEW ORLEANS (ATL hasn't been dominate, Brees is due for a huge game)
BUFFALO (trap game for CINN, plus I cannot fathom the Bungles at 6-0)
DETROIT (do I have to pick one? Can I pick a tie?)
Washington (spark of life in them the past couple of weeks)
Denver (still living on borrowed time)
Arizona
TENNESSEE
MINNESOTA
JACKSONVILLE (When we we see Watt at QB for HOU, nothing else is working might as well try it)
SEATTLE (CAR always plays them tough, but home field advantage wins out)
Baltimore (SF is a tire fire, it'll have to burn itself out)
GREEN BAY
New England
PHILADELPHIA (only because it's in Philly)

--------------------------
The secret of a long life is you try not to shorten it.
-Nobody
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Francois] [ In reply to ]
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Francois wrote:
OK, I'll try this week

ATL | BUF | DET | WASH | DEN | PIT | TEN | KC | HOU | SEA | BAL | GB | NE | NYG

Guaranteed to be off.

We agree on only 50% of our picks.

ATL --> Agreed. This is an easy pick.
CIN --> as Bills fan this pains me, but they are outmatched here. Tyrod is injured (ankle and MCL) and EJ Manuel will play. Ouch. Shady McCoy and Karlos Williams are unlikely to play and their replacements (Boobie Dixon and 'Boom' Herron) suck. Sammy Watkins may be back but 1st week back and without a QB I am not expecting much. I predict the Bills will have 3 first downs the entire game and 2 of those will be off defensive penalties by CIN. The Bills Defense may be good, but its not good enough to shut the Bengals out the entire game.
CHI --> The Bears are ascending and nowhere as bad as people think. Detroit is worse than people think.
NYJ --> I hate the Jets but they do have a good team this year. Great defense, decent running and passing and even a passable QB. They will blow WAS out of the water. If anyone steals the AFC wildcard from the Bills, it will be the NY Jests.
DEN --> Agreed. I don't see McCown having two Cinderella games in a row.
ARZ --> The Steelers are always better at home but without Ben Roethlesberger they are not all that good. The Cards are that good.
MIN --> The Vikings are another team ascending. They are coming off a week's rest, while the Chiefs are without Jaamal Charles and just took an embarrassing loss to the Bears. I see a blow-out.
HOU --> Agreed, though this could go either way.
SEA --> This will be an interesting game to watch. The Seahawks are another team that is nowhere as good as they were last few years but they are at home and dominated this game in January (NFC divisional playoff).
SF --> Baltimore is reeling. SF is at home.
NE --> Never start a land war in Asia, and never bet against Brady when he has a chip on his shoulder.
NYG --> another good game. The Eagles seem to be fixing what is broken but the G-men are surprisingly good on defense, even without the finger-less JPP.

Remember - It's important to be comfortable in your own skin... because it turns out society frowns on wearing other people's
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Brownie28] [ In reply to ]
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Forgot I did this a few weeks ago...should've not done it, in fact. Went just 10-6:

WAS | ATL | TEN | CLE | CIN | NE | CAR | PHI | HOU | SD | STL | ARI | MIA | SEA | DEN | GB




This weeks picks:


ATL | NYJ | ARI | MIN | CIN | CHI | DEN | HOU | MIA | SEA | GB | BAL | NWE | NYG




Last edited by: Brownie28: Oct 15, 15 9:55
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Guffaw] [ In reply to ]
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ATL | CIN | CHI | NYJ | DEN | ARI | TEN | MIN | JAX | CAR | BAL | GB | NE | PHI
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Brownie28] [ In reply to ]
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How'd we all do?

ATL | NYJ | ARI | MIN | CIN | CHI | DEN | HOU | MIA | SEA | GB | BAL | NWE | NYG


8-6. Thank god I'm not a gambler, this isn't even against a damn spread.
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Brownie28] [ In reply to ]
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Atlanta over NEW ORLEANS
Cincinnati over BUFFALO
DETROIT over Chicago
NY JETS over Washington
Denver over CLEVELAND
Arizona over PITTSBURGH
TENNESSEE over Miami
MINNESOTA over Kansas City
JACKSONVILLE over Houston
SEATTLE over Carolina
SAN FRANCISCO over Baltimore
GREEN BAY over San Diego
New England over INDIANAPOLIS
PHILADELPHIA over NY Giants

9-5. Worst week of the season for me.

The devil made me do it the first time, second time I done it on my own - W
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Brownie28] [ In reply to ]
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Brownie28 wrote:
How'd we all do?

ATL | NYJ | ARI | MIN | CIN | CHI | DEN | HOU | MIA | SEA | GB | BAL | NWE | NYG


8-6. Thank god I'm not a gambler, this isn't even against a damn spread.
NEW ORLEANS (ATL hasn't been dominate, Brees is due for a huge game)
BUFFALO (trap game for CINN, plus I cannot fathom the Bungles at 6-0)
DETROIT (do I have to pick one? Can I pick a tie?)
Washington (spark of life in them the past couple of weeks)
Denver (still living on borrowed time)
Arizona
TENNESSEE
MINNESOTA
JACKSONVILLE (When we we see Watt at QB for HOU, nothing else is working might as well try it)
SEATTLE (CAR always plays them tough, but home field advantage wins out)
Baltimore (SF is a tire fire, it'll have to burn itself out)
GREEN BAY
New England
PHILADELPHIA (only because it's in Philly

7-7 on the week. Damn

--------------------------
The secret of a long life is you try not to shorten it.
-Nobody
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [mck414] [ In reply to ]
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Next:

Seattle over SAN FRANCISCO
ST. LOUIS over Cleveland
Atlanta over TENNESSEE
WASHINGTON over Tampa Bay
DETROIT over Minnesota
MIAMI over Houston
NEW ENGLAND over NY Jets
INDIANAPOLIS over New Orleans
Pittsburgh over KANSAS CITY
SAN DIEGO over Oakland
Dallas over NY GIANTS
CAROLINA over Philadelphia
Buffalo over JACKSONVILLE
ARIZONA over Baltimore

The devil made me do it the first time, second time I done it on my own - W
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [sphere] [ In reply to ]
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6-10 last week. Still abysmal.

Seattle | Cleveland | Atlanta | Tampa Bay | Detroit | Miami | New England | Indianapolis | Pittsburgh | San Diego | Dallas | Philadelphia | Buffalo | Arizona
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Francois] [ In reply to ]
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5-11 IF Arizona wins. Another nearly perfectly bad pick.
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Francois] [ In reply to ]
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I pick BUFFALO to LOSE every game from here on to eternity. That way they can no longer find new and innovative ways to disappoint me.

Remember - It's important to be comfortable in your own skin... because it turns out society frowns on wearing other people's
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Guffaw] [ In reply to ]
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I suppose the honeymoon with Rex is over?
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Francois] [ In reply to ]
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Francois wrote:
I suppose the honeymoon with Rex is over?

I'm not sure why, but even as a Pats fan I was worried about Rex going to Buffalo, with that young defensive nucleus. It's like I had forgotten the last few years of circus-show Jets teams that consistently underwhelmed; sure they'd play the Pats tough most of the time but that's because he played it up like the SB every year, meanwhile the rest of the season they devolved year-to-year and were a joke by his last year there.

End of the day he's EXACTLY what you want from a D coordinator: great schematically, great motivationally, gets along with the players and adds energy and enthusiasm to the team. But he's exactly what you DON'T want from a head coach: bluster and shit-talking, zero accountability and discipline for the team, a 'players coach' in a league that needs discipline and structure.

He needs to step away from the microphone and spotlight as HC and take a DC job again, he's damn good at it but when he's running an entire team his act just doesn't work.
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Francois] [ In reply to ]
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Another poor showing this week.

week / record:

1 10-6
2 6-10
3 13-3
4 11-4
5 10-4
6 9-5
7 8-6

The devil made me do it the first time, second time I done it on my own - W
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [sphere] [ In reply to ]
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I'm not even trying to tally things up. On average, I must be at 6-10 week in, week out.
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Francois] [ In reply to ]
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Week 8:

NEW ENGLAND over Miami
PITTSBURGH over Cincinnati
Arizona over CLEVELAND
HOUSTON over Tennessee
San Diego over BALTIMORE
Minnesota over CHICAGO
NEW ORLEANS over NY Giants
ATLANTA over Tampa Bay
ST. LOUIS over San Francisco
NY Jets over OAKLAND
Seattle over DALLAS
Green Bay over DENVER
KANSAS CITY over Detroit
CAROLINA over Indianapolis

The devil made me do it the first time, second time I done it on my own - W
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [sphere] [ In reply to ]
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NE | CIN (even if BR is back, he'll be rusty) | ARI | TEN | BAL | MIN | NO | ATL | STL | NYJ | SEA | DEN | DET | CAR
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Francois] [ In reply to ]
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9 so far. My best week by a lot.
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Francois] [ In reply to ]
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CINCINNATI over Cleveland
NEW ORLEANS over Tennessee
NEW ENGLAND over Washington
PITTSBURGH over Oakland
NY JETS over Jacksonville
BUFFALO over Miami
Green Bay over CAROLINA
St. Louis over MINNESOTA
Atlanta over SAN FRANCISCO
NY Giants over TAMPA BAY
Denver over INDIANAPOLIS
Philadelphia over DALLAS
SAN DIEGO over Chicago

The devil made me do it the first time, second time I done it on my own - W
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [sphere] [ In reply to ]
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CINCINNATI over Cleveland
NEW ORLEANS over Tennessee
NEW ENGLAND over Washington
Oakland over PITTSBURGH
NY JETS over Jacksonville
BUFFALO over Miami
Green Bay over CAROLINA
MINNESOTA over St. Louis
Atlanta over SAN FRANCISCO
NY Giants over TAMPA BAY
Denver over INDIANAPOLIS
Philadelphia over DALLAS
SAN DIEGO over Chicago

--------------------------
The secret of a long life is you try not to shorten it.
-Nobody
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [mck414] [ In reply to ]
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CIN | NWE | GB | NO | BUF | STL | NYJ | PIT | TB | ATL | DEN | DAL | CHI

Definitely picking some dogs this week, just going on hunches with young QB's in OAK, TB, riding the Gurley train and thinking the 'good' Cutler shows up this week against a crap SD defense.
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Brownie28] [ In reply to ]
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Remember - It's important to be comfortable in your own skin... because it turns out society frowns on wearing other people's
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Re: NFL Regular Season Picks [Francois] [ In reply to ]
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Tennessee over JACKSONVILLE
HOUSTON over NY Jets
MIAMI over Dallas
Oakland over DETROIT
PHILADELPHIA over Tampa Bay
CHICAGO over Denver
Green Bay over MINNESOTA
Indianapolis over ATLANTA
CAROLINA over Washington
St. Louis over BALTIMORE
ARIZONA over Cincinnati
SEATTLE over San Francisco
Kansas City over SAN DIEGO
NEW ENGLAND over Buffalo

*Subject to change by Thursday.

The devil made me do it the first time, second time I done it on my own - W
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