Not addressed to me but I think this graph shows the relationship between the absolute rate of fat oxidation and power. I forgotten what %VO2Max corresponds to LT but I assume it is higher than 65%.

One thing about Leito, he races to win. He puts himself out there to win, and often doesn't come out on top. I'd rather go out with a shot to win, than like every other runner saving himself for the run. I've raced Lance, he's a freaking machine. I have no doubt he can crush the bike and crush the run.

If we put the bike last and the run second, would you still say lieto races to win, or would you say he's dogging the run and pacing the run to strategically save enough energy to win on the bike. The reason I mention this is that we all tend to look at each leg in isolation. I'm not sure I would not say he races to win. When the field is a bit weaker, he gets away with this strategy. If we changed the order, I bet he runs a lot hard and perhaps bikes less hard and that's enough for the win, but he seems to think that he NEEDS to bike that hard. I doubt he'd race that way if the run came before the bike.

Thanks. This is the phenomenon I was referring to. Not all calories are equal, and the metabolic demands (and thus, re-fueling demands) can differ by intensity.

At FTP I go through ~1300 calories in an hour. Lance, probably more so. The greater the amount of glycogen used, the more risk to bonk. I guess what I am trying to say is, although lance might be racing well under his threshold or FTP, there's no way he could actually raise his power output as much as he implies. I'm basically calling his bluff.

I'm curious if some of that 50 watts could be "made" by improving his position? He probably could go a little bit more aggressive than he did in Panama.

Lance at panama:
41.49kph aka 2 hour 10 minutes

using some reasonable wild ass guesses as to his CDA/weight this would imply maybe something like 315 watts that he put out at panama

if he raised that to 365 his speed would increase to:

43.7kph aka 2 hours and 3 minutes


this assumes idealized windless, hill-less courses.
so he probably put out more than 315 watts. but the time difference would on the order of 7 minutes either way.

I'm curious if some of that 50 watts could be "made" by improving his position? He probably could go a little bit more aggressive than he did in Panama.

Man, you think too much.

Finally a voice of reason. Anyone who thinks Lance is going to Kona and embarrass himself by riding too hard/fast, etc. is crazy. He has nothing to prove by winning the bike leg.He will know exactly how hard to ride to optimize his ability to run off the bike--nothing more, nothing less. Rarely has there been an athlete who painstakinly attends to training and racing details as much as Lance has done. He will apply this same approach to his preparation for Kona. Lance is probably too old and inexperienced to be on the top podium step in Kona, but if he stays healthy he'll be in top 5.

I'm curious if some of that 50 watts could be "made" by improving his position? He probably could go a little bit more aggressive than he did in Panama.

Man, you think too much.

Thank you.