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Volt bailout 2012?
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MJuric
Mar 5, 12 8:05
Post #51 of 65
(639 views)
Re: Volt bailout 2012? [Duffy]
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I don't have numbers but looking around where I live (i.e. grocery store parking lot) hybrids make up much more than 3-4%.
That's the numbers that came up when I looked for them. Looks about right to me. I don't see 3 or 4 out of a hundred hybrids around here.
Again, I see these all the time...
http://en.wikipedia.org/...314_780b7871e1_o.jpg
I could get a golf cart too, but they aren't legal to drive on the roads. We need to alter the road laws to allow cars that do not meet the safety standards of the highway and then come up with a "Car" that won't put the passengers entirely at risk in any accidents with other "Detroit" cars. If you're in a golf cart and get hit by any other car, you're dead.
I'm thinking a vehicle that would have a top speed of ~50-55 MPH with some sort of skeleton frame and minor crumble zones. Light so that if it did get hit it would just get pushed around and the passengers would be safe inside the cage like a race car.
Only time this wouldn't work is if you get crushed between two cars.
Also would have to be completely enclosed to have any long term usefulness up north here.
~Matt
Duffy
Mar 5, 12 8:18
Post #52 of 65
(634 views)
Re: Volt bailout 2012? [MJuric]
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The picture of the "golf cart" I linked to is road legal. You can even see the license plate.
I was at Whole Foods (yes, not exactly a normal store) and out of about 50 cars 11 were Prius.
I realize my area is not average and I'm not disputing your numbers.
____________________________________________________
The revolution will not be televised.
(This post was
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MJuric
Mar 5, 12 8:35
Post #53 of 65
(629 views)
Re: Volt bailout 2012? [Duffy]
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The picture of the "golf cart" I linked to is road legal. You can even see the license plate.
I'd actually have to see the vehicle itself. I've look into this quite a bit because almost 100% of my driving is in town and under 30 miles a day.
Around here and I gather in many states there is a "Classification" for such vehicles and in order for them to be "Road legal" they have to travel 25MPH or less, which of course makes them illegal on any road that has a speed limit more than 5 mph over that, which is most of them.
These cars are typically quite inexpensive and go from 3-4K to nicer ones for 12K or so. From what I gather many of them can easily be modified to go to 45 mph+ at the expense of range, but are not legally sold in that condition.
My larger point is that I'm not driving a golf cart on a road with normal cars driving 45-55mph. I think you could design and build a vehicle with a skeleton, like a race car, that affords a cockpit that allows for more passenger safety, with very little weight. Add a little more battery and have a vehicle that is enclosed and all weather, "Safer" particularly at those speeds, and have a range of 50 miles or so that you could use as a daily driver. I'd also think you could do a stripped down version for under 15K, I'm even thinking 10K could be possible.
Around here however the laws would have to be changed to allow this I believe as the cars would not meet current "Safety standards" for these speeds.
That being said I wonder if you could somehow use the same "Classification" that motor cycles are using in some way...clearly they aren't passing vehicle safety ratings.
~Matt
Duffy
Mar 5, 12 8:47
Post #54 of 65
(626 views)
Re: Volt bailout 2012? [MJuric]
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A family at my son's school has a 4 seat version of one. I'll try to get some info from them.
I do know they plug into 110 or 220 and they go well over 25mph.
I'll get back to you when I have more info.
____________________________________________________
The revolution will not be televised.
MJuric
Mar 5, 12 8:59
Post #55 of 65
(625 views)
Re: Volt bailout 2012? [Duffy]
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A family at my son's school has a 4 seat version of one. I'll try to get some info from them.
I do know they plug into 110 or 220 and they go well over 25mph.
I'll get back to you when I have more info.
Yes definitely let me know. I've looked at several and the big draw backs for me were.
1) Didn't go over 25 MPH
2) No enclosure, I'm not driving 45MPH behind a car in the middle of a winter storm when it's 15 below out woth nothing around me.
3) legality. I've read several articles about going over the 25MPH as not being legal without meeting federal/state safety standards and on road. I believe this probably varies by state though.
4) Safety. Not riding a golf cart with other cars doing 45-50 MPH and no protection around me.
That being said if I could pick up a vehicle for cheap, I bet I could make a "Roll cage" and enclosure that would provide a decent level of protection safety wise and weather wise.
~Matt
jriosa
Mar 5, 12 9:08
Post #56 of 65
(623 views)
Re: Volt bailout 2012? [MJuric]
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MJuric wrote:
H
mm - let's check the math - EPA electric range for Prius - 11 Volt 35 - so less than a third and not " about half"
Numbers I've seen were 10 and 15 for the Prius and 25-35 for the Volt...so yes, "About half".
Which is why I gave you the EPA numbers - same tests for the vehicles under the same condtions - no claimed ranges/range under ideal conditions etc. If you go to the long term road test for a Volt on Edmunds you will see it regularly exceeds 35 miles - but not the point. So no - well less than half.
Base Price Prius - 32K Volt 39K - that would be 7K difference - not ~16K
My bad. Last I looked base price on the Volt was 48K, they must have dropped it since release. Quick google is still showing base price of 41K
. I came up with the 16K from the 48 to 32K price difference.
Just go to the Chevy site - 39K - it was never 48K - basically what they are selling in 2012 at 42K is the same as 2011 - the did some decontenting to get a vehicle under 40K
The tax credit is based on battery size - base of 2500$ for 5 kwh battery - then 417$ for each kwh over 5 - up to a maximum of 7500$. Prius uses a 4.4 kwh battery (guess they benefited from some sloppy rounding) - Volt 16 kwh. Toyota specifically made the design choice for a small battery pack with a vastly limited EV range for cost reasons. smaller battery, less tax credit. Given this was written up in 2009, it is not like Toyota didn't know what the tax credit situation would be.
I guess one could make the argument that the tax break was specifically meant to support "Larger batteries", which makes no sense when the real goal should be to support "Better efficiency" where depending on usage these cars are about the same. In fact I believe the Prius is better in "Hybrid mode", they are about the same in electric mode so the only area that the Volt is "More efficient" would be when the Prius is non electric and the Volt is still 100% electric. From the numbers above that could be anywhere from 24miles to as little as 10. -
The fallacy in that argument is in real world usage. You would be correct if you ran the car for - oh say a hundred miles. However most people will do a round trip commute of more than 11 and less than 35 - so the Volt will spend far more time at its maximum efficiency than the Prius. If you were to charge it every night, you would never even use the gas. (And yes, there is data to back up that most people are using the car this way - vastly more mileage in EV mode than in Gas). With only 11 mile EV, the Prius will be in ICE/hybrid mode much more frequently. I think you argument better supports why pure EVs like the Leaf, i-mev or Focus get the same rebate as the Volt, when they have no ICE.
So for the gain made in the Volt, little I would argue, the government will give you 5K.
Obviously we disagree that there is little gain - the problem with a mixed mode vehicle is we really don't have a good measure of overall efficiency. EV-EV - OK - conventional hybrid to conventional hybrid - OK. But plug in - plug-in - not so much. Volt would be better for my wife whose crosstown commute is 20 miles round trip. Prius would be better for my friend who commutes to Richmond - 103 miles round trip. All comes down to usage and not a defined quantifiable measure. We actually had a similar issue back in the early days of rebates for conventional hybrids. The best they could come up with was a relative increase in mpg against a comparable standard ICE model. So the Civic, which was (is) a mild hybrid, never got the same rebate as the Prius. Probably not totally fair since you could compare it to a regular civic, but really didn’t have much to compare the Prius to. So now the tables are turned a bit in the Prius/Volt case. But remember, the government is giving the same amount to all the full EVs - so Leaf, Mitsubishi, and Ford are also being favoured in the same way. When folks make the argument that the government is picking the Volt as a winner, that is a bit of a misdirection. The government is picking EV as the winner, which puts other contenders out of the mix - hydrogen,, algal biodiesel etc).
~Matt
Jim
http://www.wwofva.com
-custom wood turned gifts
"In dog beers, I've only had one"
MJuric
Mar 5, 12 9:34
Post #57 of 65
(618 views)
Re: Volt bailout 2012? [jriosa]
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the government is giving the same amount to all the full EVs - so Leaf, Mitsubishi, and Ford are also being favoured in the same way. When folks make the argument that the government is picking the Volt as a winner, that is a bit of a misdirection. The government is picking EV as the winner, which puts other contenders out of the mix - hydrogen,, algal biodiesel etc).
My point is that the Volt is not a "Full EV". It's a hybrid. AS the rest of your post points out the "Efficiency" of any of the hybrid vehicles will be based entirely on usage. We are not giving any larger credits to the Leaf, which you have no choice but to use as an EV.
I'm not necessarily claiming that the policy is meant to "Pick winners", I think the bailout went far enough to make that point for me, I'm saying it's a poorly designed policy that does not take into account the important factor of actual efficiency.
Prius is essentially the same car as the Volt and any other Hybrid. If you never charge the dam thing up I believe the Prius is actually the better choice even. If you drive less than 11 miles and recharge there's no difference. Yes the "Real world" difference is entirely dependent on usage. That means someone who drives ~45 miles a day in a Volt will have the same net effect as someone who drive 21 miles a day in a Prius.
~Matt
Duffy
Mar 5, 12 19:01
Post #58 of 65
(592 views)
Re: Volt bailout 2012? [MJuric]
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This is what I'm seeing all around town...
http://www.polarisindustries.com/.../pages/overview.aspx
Sorry, 25mph top speed. I think they must be easily modified because I've seen them going ~ 40ish.
Have you look into CNG or Propane?
____________________________________________________
The revolution will not be televised.
DavHamm
Mar 5, 12 19:38
Post #59 of 65
(582 views)
Re: Volt bailout 2012? [MJuric]
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MJuric wrote:
the government is giving the same amount to all the full EVs - so Leaf, Mitsubishi, and Ford are also being favoured in the same way. When folks make the argument that the government is picking the Volt as a winner, that is a bit of a misdirection. The government is picking EV as the winner, which puts other contenders out of the mix - hydrogen,, algal biodiesel etc).
My point is that the Volt is not a "Full EV". It's a hybrid. AS the rest of your post points out the "Efficiency" of any of the hybrid vehicles will be based entirely on usage. We are not giving any larger credits to the Leaf, which you have no choice but to use as an EV.
I'm not necessarily claiming that the policy is meant to "Pick winners", I think the bailout went far enough to make that point for me, I'm saying it's a poorly designed policy that does not take into account the important factor of actual efficiency.
Prius is essentially the same car as the Volt and any other Hybrid. If you never charge the dam thing up I believe the Prius is actually the better choice even. If you drive less than 11 miles and recharge there's no difference. Yes the "Real world" difference is entirely dependent on usage. That means someone who drives ~45 miles a day in a Volt will have the same net effect as someone who drive 21 miles a day in a Prius.
~Matt
Matt, while there is no "legal" definition of a hybrid. Most define a hybrid as a gas powered vehicle that gets assist from an electric motor/battery. (If the battery were disconnected the car would still go). The Volt is an Extended Range Electric Vehicle. You take its battery, it is not going to go, You take its engine it will go till the battery shuts off.
The Plug in Prius / Volt / Leaf ect. are all competing concepts and Ideas. In 20yrs we will know what the market has decided.
_________
Just Triing
Triathlete since 9:56:39 AM EST Aug 20, 2006.
Rodred
Mar 5, 12 20:37
Post #60 of 65
(576 views)
Re: Volt bailout 2012? [DavHamm]
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Does that hinge on the governemnt keeping its nose out of the market?
~
“The instinct to survive is human nature itself, and every aspect of our personalities derives from it. Anything that conflicts with the survival instinct acts sooner or later to eliminate the individual and thereby fails to show up in future generations.
undrh20
Mar 6, 12 15:01
Post #61 of 65
(563 views)
Re: Volt bailout 2012? [Rodred]
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Rodred wrote:
Does that hinge on the governemnt keeping its nose out of the market?
The automotive market in this country has been enhanced by government involvement.
Ever heard of Unsafe at any Speed?
MOP_Mike
Apr 16, 12 8:57
Post #62 of 65
(505 views)
Re: Volt bailout 2012? [Rodred]
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Why are they still advertising them if they stopped production:
http://youtu.be/avLKiWi71cE
"...Sometimes it's about getting the most speed out of the motor you have." -- Tom A.
jriosa
Apr 16, 12 9:24
Post #63 of 65
(490 views)
Re: Volt bailout 2012? [MOP_Mike]
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Simple - pipeline. Chevy had hoped to sell 10K units in the first year, and had too much inventory out there. The plant should be re-opening this week (6 week layoff starting Mar 2). It is not like the model is going away.
Current high gas prices seem to be influencing buyers - last month was an overall record sales for all hybrid/electric. Still small in the overall market, but a record is a record.
Jim
http://www.wwofva.com
-custom wood turned gifts
"In dog beers, I've only had one"
MOP_Mike
Apr 16, 12 10:23
Post #64 of 65
(469 views)
Re: Volt bailout 2012? [jriosa]
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You didn't click the link in my post, did you?
"...Sometimes it's about getting the most speed out of the motor you have." -- Tom A.
Rodred
Apr 16, 12 10:59
Post #65 of 65
(453 views)
Re: Volt bailout 2012? [MOP_Mike]
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MOP_Mike wrote:
Why are they still advertising them if they stopped production:
http://youtu.be/avLKiWi71cE
[/quote[/url]]
They were advertising the hell out them the week after this was announced. I was watching a station out of either Toledo or Cincy and the poor local dealer must have had a contract to promote the Volt because he was out there talking them up big time. I imagine the commercial was made before the announcement.
I had watched this commercial a few weeks ago and found it very informative. Thank you for posting.
~
“The instinct to survive is human nature itself, and every aspect of our personalities derives from it. Anything that conflicts with the survival instinct acts sooner or later to eliminate the individual and thereby fails to show up in future generations.
(This post was
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by Rodred on Apr 16, 12 11:01)
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