sentania wrote:
Then that person was 21st OA :)
I agree that the distribution sucks, but for Kona, and 70.3 worlds in the AG ranks - you need to plan to be top 1 or 2 in your AG to have a "guaranteed" shot in the prime age groups. Outside of the prime age groups - you just have to cowboy up and win.
Yup... plus keep in mind that the guy that 4th or 5th in 35-29 is about 100th at Kona in 35-39, so they are cannon fodder out there.
21st overall is a little skewed too because it wasn't a very large or deep pro field and pro tend to race tactically, so you might overbike and hope you can hang on, because finishing 6th vs 7th is irrelevant other than KPR if only the top 5 pay out. So you'll see a lot of BOP pros blow up on the run trying to get 5th with the hope of having a break through race. Plus some are training more and harder than when they were age groupers and race a lot more, I imagine that can be hard to adjust to. Amateurs have hte luxury of peaking for 1 or 2 races in a season. A pro may need to race well at 7-8 races in a year including 2-3 IM and only really peak for one race. Get injured or overreach, and that goes out the window.
Not to take anything away from the winner of 35-39, but he was 9th overall. It was an outstanding performance, but there's a good list of guys even faster than him that are doing 70.3 worlds, or Kona and prefer not to do an IM that close to their "A" races. In a more typical field he's probably 2nd in his age group. Same as IMWI and other Fall IM's. The other popular thing I've seen among top AG's is to race Kona every other year if you have a favorite Fall or late summer IM.
But that's just my perspective.
Best you can do it get as fit & fast as possible and execute and hope for the best. Unless you win your age group and are within 5-6% of the winner's time (i.e. more than fast enough to get your Elite "card"), you're going to get swallowed up at Kona. For men, that's probably at least 8:50-9:00... on a flatter course, sun 9:10-9:20 on a harder course (terrain or conditions) like Louisville.
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